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2023

與ChatGPT一起思考未來

最近,我一直在思考ChatGPT和人工智能(AI)在工作未來中的角色。由於技術進步和社會變遷,這個概念總是在不斷變化,持續改變我們的工作景觀。COVID-19大流行加速了一些趨勢,如自動化,同時引入新的挑戰,促使我們重新考慮我們將來如何工作。

有人猜測ChatGPT可能會取代工作,特別是像律師、醫生和會計師這樣的白領職位。這項技術在商界引起了波瀾,迅速達到了炒作周期的高峰。專家們認為ChatGPT和其他形式的生成AI可能對各種行業產生威脅。

2013年牛津大學的一項研究預測,47%的美國工作可能會被AI自動化。ChatGPT有潛力取代初級編碼員,並已經被用來寫求職信、兒童書籍和學生論文。媒體的工作,如內容創建、技術寫作和新聞記者,也越來越容易受到AI技術的影響。

傳統上,白領工作依賴於人類技能來分析和解釋大量的語言數據。生成AI現在可以執行這些任務,不僅能夠閱讀和寫作,還能理解人類語言。這些能力得益於AI算法的進步、大數據的可用性和雲計算技術的發展。

然而,如果AI被用作人力勞動的補充,而不是完全替代,人類的生產力可能會有很大的提高。例如,AI不太可能完全自動化法律行業,這仍然需要一定程度的人為判斷。同樣,雖然聊天機器人已經開始取代一部分客戶服務角色,但許多客戶仍然更喜歡人類的接觸,而不是機器人的互動。

ChatGPT能比人更有效地執行報告和寫作的未來讓人充滿期待。這種效率能讓人們有時間去處理需要人類判斷的更加複雜的問題。

自Google於1998年成立以來,自動化和AI已成為許多行業內變革的力量,這種趨勢可能會繼續下去。涉及重複任務或需要低級技能的工作最容易被自動化,而需要批評性思考、創造力和情感智慧的角色將變得更有價值。適應並獲得新技能的工人將在這個不斷變化的就業市場中獲得更好的生存條件。

與ChatGPT一起思考工作的未來是一種規劃和預測的方式。這涉及到考慮多種可能性,挑戰我們的假設,並衡量各種選擇的可能結果。這種技能在我們快速變化的世界中越來越重要,對於職業晉升和社區參與都非常有益。

與ChatGPT一起思考未來幫助個人和組織預見趨勢並適應變化。通過識別可能的挑戰和機會,我們可以制定主動的策略,有效地應對變化。

考慮多種可能的未來情景讓我們能做出與我們的價值觀和長期目標一致的明智決定。它還促進了社區對話,創造了對未來的共享願景,並探討了多元的可能性。關注AI的新趨勢可以揭示出在職業發展和社區參與方面的新機遇。

總的來說,與ChatGPT一起思考工作的未來顯示,AI可以作為職業和個人發展的有價值的工具。雖然AI可能取代某些工作,但它也可以在需要人類創造力和判斷力的領域創造新的機會。

The Ongoing Revolution in Technology and Its Impact on Work

Today, while attending a class for my Master's in Technology in Digital Leadership at the National University of Singapore (NUS), my professor offered a prediction about technology's landscape a decade from now. This prompted me to reflect on the future of work. How will work evolve, and how can we prepare to stay relevant? What impact will this have on society, and should we be concerned about the advance of technologies like artificial intelligence?

I believe there's no need for concern if we shift our focus from technology to the customer. Although technology keeps evolving, customer needs remain constant. Tools and equipment may change, but fundamental human demands persist. Business models evolve, yet the core purpose of business remains unchanged. Despite the advances associated with Industry 4.0, we are still struggling to provide optimal customer experiences.

A decade ago, phone banking was incredibly frustrating. I had a simple question, called the customer service line, and got a recorded menu instead of a human response. Even today, the frustration persists with advanced technologies like chatbots, which often fail to understand straightforward queries while human operators remain unreachable.

Banks invest heavily in digital transformation, but they also waste a lot. They spend hours posting on social media to engage customers, who forget about these interactions within minutes. They create subscription models that customers rarely revisit. They generate digital documents, emails, and files that often get lost in the cloud rather than serving the customer effectively.

We have reached a point where technology is advanced and user-friendly enough to be effectively integrated to better serve our customers. This is not just about productivity; it's also about meaningful customer engagement. If banks don't continually improve the customer experience, they will remain stuck in mediocrity, regardless of their innovative financial products.

Digital transformation is not just about technology; it's primarily about the customer. While technology plays a role, the real transformation lies in serving customer needs more effectively through improved operations, mass customization, and new offers.

Contrary to popular belief, ATMs didn't eliminate bank teller jobs. No technology can transform an industry unless it is linked to an emerging market through a viable business model. Interestingly, the technology driving digital companies' explosive growth often isn't even that sophisticated. For impactful changes, all you need is a system that can perform tasks traditionally handled by humans more efficiently.

From a societal perspective, investment in new technology, equipment, and software is crucial for economic growth. An ongoing technological revolution will enable the economy to produce goods and services more efficiently. Simply put, the better the technological innovations we have, the more output we can generate compared to older systems.

Human productivity is the driving force behind the increase in global wealth, power, and living standards over time. Productivity, defined as output per person and driven by advances in technology, has steadily improved over the years.

In the banking industry where I work, technology will continue to be a driving force behind economic growth in the fourth industrial revolution. The financial market is highly competitive, with rapid technological adoption by competitors. Our ability to compete effectively hinges on the timely introduction of innovative products, services, and technologies.

In summary, we should focus on how both customers and society benefit from the continuous revolution in technology. We need to become better at recognizing the true value of new technologies, master their use, and surpass our competitors by offering a superior customer experience, all while boosting our productivity.

The Ongoing Revolution in Technology and Its Impact on Work

Welcome back to Continuous Improvement, the podcast where we explore how we can adapt and thrive in an ever-changing world. I'm your host, Victor, and today we're diving into the topic of technology and its impact on how we work.

A decade from now, what will the technology landscape look like? Will we be replaced by robots and artificial intelligence, or can we harness the power of technology to enhance our work and stay relevant? These are the questions that have been on my mind lately, prompted by a conversation I had with my professor.

During my Master's program in Technology and Digital Leadership at the National University of Singapore, my professor made an interesting prediction. This got me thinking about the future of work and how we can prepare for it. Today, I want to share some insights with you on this topic.

One thing is certain: technology is continuously evolving. But amidst all the advancements, one thing remains constant – the needs of the customer. No matter how much technology changes, the fundamental human demands persist. As businesses and individuals, our focus should be on understanding and meeting those needs.

Take the banking industry, for example. A decade ago, phone banking was incredibly frustrating. We would call the customer service line only to be greeted by a recorded menu. Fast forward to today, and we still face similar challenges with chatbots failing to understand our queries while human operators remain unreachable.

Yes, banks invest heavily in digital transformation, but sometimes, they miss the mark. They waste resources on activities that don't effectively serve the customer. Hours spent posting on social media go unnoticed, subscription models are rarely revisited, and digital documents often get lost in the cloud.

The truth is, no matter how advanced our technology is, if we don't continually improve the customer experience, we will remain stuck in mediocrity. Digital transformation is not just about using technology; it's about understanding and serving customer needs more effectively. It's about meaningful engagement.

Contrary to popular belief, advancements in technology don't necessarily eliminate jobs. The key is to integrate technology with emerging markets and viable business models. Sometimes, even simple technology can have a profound impact if it performs essential tasks more efficiently.

From a societal perspective, investing in new technology, equipment, and software is crucial for economic growth. Technological advancements enable us to produce goods and services more efficiently, leading to increased wealth and living standards. As the banking industry, we must adapt to this ongoing technological revolution to remain competitive and provide innovative products and services.

So, how can we navigate this continuous revolution in technology? First, we need to shift our focus from technology itself to the customer. We must recognize the true value of new technologies and master their use to offer a superior customer experience. Additionally, improving our productivity through technology will enhance our ability to compete effectively.

That's it for today's episode of Continuous Improvement. Remember, embracing technology doesn't mean losing touch with our core purpose – serving our customers. By continually improving the customer experience and leveraging technology to enhance productivity, we can adapt and thrive in this ever-changing world.

Thank you for listening. I'm Victor, and I'll catch you in the next episode.

持續的科技革命及其對工作的影響

今天,在新加坡國立大學 (National University of Singapore,NUS)數碼領導碩士課程的一堂課裡,教授提到了對未來十年科技格局的預測。這使我思考起工作的未來。工作將如何發展,我們又該如何準備以保持我們的相關性呢?科技如人工智能的進步將對社會產生什麼影響,我們是否應該對此感到擔憂?

我認為,只要我們將注意力從科技轉向客戶,就無需擔心。儘管科技在不斷進化,客戶需求卻始終如一。工具和設備可能會變,但基本的人性需求卻印刻不滅。商業模式在演進,但企業的核心目標卻始終如一。儘管有與工業4.0相關的進步,我們仍然在努力提供最佳的客戶體驗。

十年前,電話銀行令人十分挫败。我有一個簡單的問題,撥打了客服熱線,結果接通的卻是一段錄音菜單,而非人工服務。直至今日,即使技術如聊天機器人等都已相當先進,人們仍然感到挫败,因為這些技術往往無法理解簡單的問題,而真正的人工客服卻總是難以接通。

銀行在數位轉型上投入大量資源,但也浪費不少。他們在社群媒體上花費時間來與顧客互動,然而客戶卻在幾分鐘後就忘記這些互動。他們創造訂閱模式,但客戶可能很少重新關注。他們生成數位文件、郵件和檔案,往往卻在雲端中丟失,而非有效地服務於客戶。

現在我們已經到達一個點,科技已經進步到足夠友好的地步,可以更有效地整合以更好地服務客戶。這不僅僅是關於提高生產力,亦是關於有意義的客戶互動。如果銀行不能持續改善客戶體驗,他們將停滯不前,無論他們的金融產品有多創新。

數位轉型不僅僅是關於科技;主要是關於客戶。科技雖然扮演了一個角色,但提供更有效服務客戶需求的真正轉型在於改進的營運、大規模定制和新範疇的提供。

與一般認知相反,ATM 並未取代銀行櫃員的工作。除非科技得以透過有效商業模式與新興市場結合,否則無任何科技能對行業產生變革。有趣的是,推動數碼公司爆炸性增長的科技往往並不那麽先進。要產生重大變革,你需要的只是一個能更有效地完成傳統被人類處理的任務的系統。

從社會的角度看,投資新科技、設備和軟件對於經濟增長至關重要。一個持續的科技革命將使經濟能夠更有效地生產商品和服務。簡單來說,我們擁有的科技創新越好,我們就可以與較舊的系統相比產出更多的產品。

人類的生產力是隨著時間推移全球財富、權力和生活水平增長的驅動力。由科技推動的生產力,即每人產出量,多年來一直在穩步提升。

在我工作的銀行業,在第四次工業革命中,科技將繼續是推動經濟增長的主要力量。金融市場競爭激烈,競爭對手的科技接受率迅速。我們能否有效競爭,取決於我們是否能及時推出創新的產品、服務和科技。

總結來說,我們應該專注於客戶和社會如何從持續的科技革命中受益。我們需要更好地認識新科技的真實價值,掌握它們的使用,並通過提供卓越的客戶體驗來超越我們的競爭對手,同時提高我們的生產力。