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US Equities · Finance research note

CVNA — Carvana

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Evidence and analysis

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2. Company Fundamentals

2.1 Competitiveness

Metric Value
Operating Margins 9.03%
Profit Margins 6.4%
Return on Equity 60.17%
Return on Assets 11.43%
Free Float 0.7B
Short Int % Utilisation 13.59%

2.2 Growth

Metric Value
Revenue Growth 52.0%
Free Cash Flow 0.2B
EBITDA 22.12 (Ratio)
Enterprise Value 51.8B
EV/Revenue 2.3
EV/EBITDA 22.12

Revenue growth of 52.0% places the company in a high-growth category.

2.3 Management

Role Metric
Consensus Rating N/A

2.4 Return

Metric Value
Expected Return (Ann.)* 30.21%
Risk / Std Dev (Ann.)* 60.91%
1-Year Price Return* 7.99%

Latest Market Data (as of 2026-08-14, US Eastern time):

Metric Value
Last Price $75.59
52-Week Range $54.46 – $97.38
Observation Count 251 trading days

The return and risk statistics use daily adjusted closes from the retrieved one-year series and annualise daily moments using 252 trading days. The last price is the latest regular-market price reported for the stated date. Source: Yahoo Finance market data.

DuPont Model Analysis

The DuPont model decomposes return on equity (ROE) into three operating and capital-structure drivers:

ROE = Net Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

The comparison uses the latest two comparable annual periods available for the issuer, with reported statement amounts shown in US$. Revenue and net income are income-statement flows; total assets and shareholders’ equity are year-end balance-sheet figures. This is a simplified year-end-balance DuPont comparison rather than an average-balance ROE calculation.

DuPont component Calculation FY2025 FY2024
Revenue Reported revenue $20.32B $13.67B
Net income Reported net income $1.41B $210.00M
Total assets Year-end reported balance $13.20B $8.48B
Shareholders’ equity Year-end reported balance $3.44B $1.26B
Net margin Net income ÷ revenue 6.92% 1.54%
Asset turnover Revenue ÷ total assets 1.5394x 1.6116x
Equity multiplier Total assets ÷ shareholders’ equity 3.8364x 6.7333x
ROE Net margin × asset turnover × equity multiplier 40.89% 16.67%

Source: Yahoo Finance annual statements. Values are based on the two latest comparable annual periods returned by the source; fiscal period labels use the statement period-end year.

2.5 FCFF DCF Valuation

FCFF DCF exception: Reported operating inputs do not support a stable FCFF DCF. This post deliberately does not publish a mechanical enterprise value or implied per-share value on an unsuitable basis.

Available valuation input Value
Last market price $66.30
Market capitalisation $72.90B
Revenue $20.32B
EBIT -$385.00M
Reported free cash flow $889.00M
FCF yield 1.22%
Net debt / EBITDA -24.62x

2.6 Investor-Style Research Screen

Educational screen Result
Buffett-inspired cash-quality checks not rated — FCFF DCF suitability or data-integrity condition not met
Lynch-inspired balance-and-growth checks not rated — FCFF DCF suitability or data-integrity condition not met

Data lineage: Yahoo Finance public market and reported-statement data; retrieval timestamp: 2026-08-18 17:29:05.951797 UTC; latest reported fiscal period: 2025-12-31 00:00:00. Financial institutions and REITs require sector-specific methods rather than a mechanical FCFF DCF. This is research and analysis only, not personalized financial advice.

2.7 Quantitative Factor Diagnostics

Model basis: Daily issuer USD excess returns are regressed in-sample using ordinary least squares on matching regional Fama–French factors. FF3 estimates market, size, and value loadings; FF5 adds profitability and investment. Coefficients are descriptive historical exposures, not predictions.

Estimation input Value
Regional factor set US
Factor-return currency USD
Issuer-return basis USD adjusted total return
Estimation window 2025-08-19 to 2026-06-30
Aligned daily observations 217
Minimum observation requirement 120
Currency conversion for HK listings not required

Fama–French Three-Factor and Five-Factor Results

Diagnostic FF3 FF5
Annualised alpha -20.02% -21.10%
Adjusted R² 0.29 0.29
Annualised residual volatility 51.63% 51.34%
Factor loading (t-statistic) FF3 FF5
Market excess return (Mkt-RF) 2.04 (6.73) 1.98 (5.69)
Size (SMB) 0.92 (2.23) 1.16 (2.62)
Value (HML) -0.67 (-1.91) -0.32 (-0.74)
Profitability (RMW) NM 0.20 (0.55)
Investment (CMA) NM -0.98 (-1.54)

Definitions: Mkt-RF is the market return less the risk-free rate; SMB is small minus big; HML is high minus low book-to-market; RMW is robust minus weak profitability; CMA is conservative minus aggressive investment. Factor returns are sourced from the Kenneth R. French Data Library; issuer adjusted-return history is sourced from Yahoo Finance. For Hong Kong listings, adjusted HKD prices are converted into USD with daily USD/HKD closes before return calculation to match the USD regional factor basis. This is an in-sample historical regression; coefficients and t-statistics do not establish causation or predict future returns. This is research and analysis only, not personalized financial advice.

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