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US Equities · Finance research note

GNRC — Generac

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2. Company Fundamentals

2.1 Competitiveness

Metric Value
Operating Margins 11.07%
Profit Margins 4.37%
Return on Equity 7.39%
Return on Assets 3.79%
Free Float 0.06B
Short Int % Utilisation 4.09%

2.2 Growth

Metric Value
Revenue Growth 12.4%
Free Cash Flow 0.12B
EBITDA 28.82 (Ratio)
Enterprise Value 15.2B
EV/Revenue 3.51
EV/EBITDA 28.82

Revenue growth of 12.4% indicates steady, moderate expansion.

2.3 Management

Role Metric
Consensus Rating N/A

2.4 Return

Metric Value
Expected Return (Ann.)* 27.60%
Risk / Std Dev (Ann.)* 54.29%
1-Year Price Return* 10.31%

Latest Market Data (as of 2026-08-14, US Eastern time):

Metric Value
Last Price $219.30
52-Week Range $134.80 – $296.44
Observation Count 251 trading days

The return and risk statistics use daily adjusted closes from the retrieved one-year series and annualise daily moments using 252 trading days. The last price is the latest regular-market price reported for the stated date. Source: Yahoo Finance market data.

DuPont Model Analysis

The DuPont model decomposes return on equity (ROE) into three operating and capital-structure drivers:

ROE = Net Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

The comparison uses the latest two comparable annual periods available for the issuer, with reported statement amounts shown in US$. Revenue and net income are income-statement flows; total assets and shareholders’ equity are year-end balance-sheet figures. This is a simplified year-end-balance DuPont comparison rather than an average-balance ROE calculation.

DuPont component Calculation FY2025 FY2024
Revenue Reported revenue $4.21B $4.30B
Net income Reported net income $159.55M $325.26M
Total assets Year-end reported balance $5.57B $5.11B
Shareholders’ equity Year-end reported balance $2.63B $2.49B
Net margin Net income ÷ revenue 3.79% 7.57%
Asset turnover Revenue ÷ total assets 0.7552x 0.8408x
Equity multiplier Total assets ÷ shareholders’ equity 2.1173x 2.0484x
ROE Net margin × asset turnover × equity multiplier 6.06% 13.04%

Source: Yahoo Finance annual statements. Values are based on the two latest comparable annual periods returned by the source; fiscal period labels use the statement period-end year.

2.5 FCFF DCF Valuation

Valuation basis: This research model follows a five-year, unlevered FCFF DCF. It starts from reported annual operating inputs, forecasts revenue and operating cash conversion under an explicit mechanical policy, discounts FCFF at WACC, applies a Gordon-growth terminal value, and bridges enterprise value to an indicative common-equity value per share. It is an analytical estimate rather than a recommendation or personalised target price.

Step 1 — Forecast Operating Profit and NOPAT

Reported operating input Value
Revenue $4.21B
Prior annual revenue $4.30B
EBIT $269.76M
Tax rate 18.90%
NOPAT = EBIT × (1 − tax rate) $218.77M
Forecast start-growth basis -2.02%
Forecast policy latest reported annual revenue growth, bounded to -10.00% / 15.00%

Step 2 — Calculate FCFF

Current FCFF building block Value
NOPAT $218.77M
Add: depreciation & amortisation $194.84M
Less: capital expenditure -$169.85M
Less/(add): working-capital cash-flow movement -$13.12M
Current unlevered FCFF $230.63M

Explicit FCFF forecast

Forecast year Revenue growth NOPAT D&A Capex Change in NWC FCFF Present value
1 -2.02% $214.36M $190.90M -$166.42M -$12.86M $225.98M $211.57M
2 -0.89% $212.45M $189.21M -$171.01M -$12.74M $217.91M $178.82M
3 0.24% $212.97M $189.66M -$177.50M -$12.77M $212.35M $152.75M
4 1.37% $215.88M $192.26M -$186.10M -$12.95M $209.10M $131.84M
5 2.50% $221.28M $197.07M -$197.07M -$13.27M $208.01M $114.96M

Step 3 — Determine the Discount Rate (WACC)

WACC input Value
Risk-free rate 4.71%
Equity risk premium assumption 5.50%
Beta 1.93
Cost of equity 15.30%
Pre-tax cost of debt 4.75%
WACC 14.09%
WACC validation within standard range

Step 4 — Estimate Terminal Value

Terminal-value input Value
Perpetuity growth rate 2.50%
Terminal value $1.84B
Implied terminal EV / EBITDA 3.92x
Terminal value as % of enterprise value 54.66%

Step 5 — Discount Cash Flows to Enterprise Value

Enterprise-value component Value
Present value of explicit FCFF $789.93M
Present value of terminal value $952.12M
Indicated enterprise value $1.74B
Discounting convention mid-year for explicit FCFF; terminal value discounted at year-end five

Step 6 — Convert Enterprise Value to Equity Value

Equity bridge Value
Indicated enterprise value $1.74B
Less: gross interest-bearing debt $1.50B
Add: cash and equivalents $341.41M
Add: affiliate investments $0.00
Less: minority interests $6.62M
Indicated common equity value $578.57M

Step 7 — Calculate Indicative Value Per Share

Per-share output Value
Shares used 59,275,781.00
Share-count basis reported diluted weighted-average shares
Current market price $214.13
DCF indicative value per share $9.76
Indicative value vs. market price -95.44%

Model Integrity Checks

Check Result
Perpetuity growth is below the risk-free rate pass
Perpetuity growth is below WACC pass
WACC is within the configured operating-company range pass
Terminal-year FCFF is positive pass
Terminal capex converges to D&A pass
Terminal-value concentration within review band
Implied price differs from spot by more than 30% review required

2.6 Investor-Style Research Screen

Educational screen Result
Buffett-inspired cash-quality checks 3/4 evidenced checks
Lynch-inspired balance-and-growth checks 4/4 evidenced checks

Data lineage: Yahoo Finance public market and reported-statement data; retrieval timestamp: 2026-08-18 17:35:18.389650 UTC; latest reported fiscal period: 2025-12-31 00:00:00. Default assumptions: five-year forecast, mid-year discounting for explicit FCFF, a maximum 2.50% perpetuity-growth rate below both WACC and the risk-free rate, historical operating-ratio persistence, and capex convergence to D&A by year five. No sell-side consensus or management guidance is substituted for reported inputs. This is research and analysis only, not personalized financial advice.

2.7 Quantitative Factor Diagnostics

Model basis: Daily issuer USD excess returns are regressed in-sample using ordinary least squares on matching regional Fama–French factors. FF3 estimates market, size, and value loadings; FF5 adds profitability and investment. Coefficients are descriptive historical exposures, not predictions.

Estimation input Value
Regional factor set US
Factor-return currency USD
Issuer-return basis USD adjusted total return
Estimation window 2025-08-19 to 2026-06-30
Aligned daily observations 217
Minimum observation requirement 120
Currency conversion for HK listings not required

Fama–French Three-Factor and Five-Factor Results

Diagnostic FF3 FF5
Annualised alpha 1.11% -7.91%
Adjusted R² 0.26 0.31
Annualised residual volatility 46.28% 44.62%
Factor loading (t-statistic) FF3 FF5
Market excess return (Mkt-RF) 2.25 (8.26) 2.13 (7.04)
Size (SMB) 0.05 (0.13) -0.51 (-1.34)
Value (HML) 1.02 (3.21) 0.47 (1.25)
Profitability (RMW) NM -0.93 (-2.90)
Investment (CMA) NM 1.84 (3.32)

Definitions: Mkt-RF is the market return less the risk-free rate; SMB is small minus big; HML is high minus low book-to-market; RMW is robust minus weak profitability; CMA is conservative minus aggressive investment. Factor returns are sourced from the Kenneth R. French Data Library; issuer adjusted-return history is sourced from Yahoo Finance. For Hong Kong listings, adjusted HKD prices are converted into USD with daily USD/HKD closes before return calculation to match the USD regional factor basis. This is an in-sample historical regression; coefficients and t-statistics do not establish causation or predict future returns. This is research and analysis only, not personalized financial advice.

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