US Equities Analysis

TPL — Texas Pacific Land Corporation

TPL Price Chart FCF Yield Dividend Yield Price / Earnings Price / Book EV / EBITDA EV / NOPAT Consensus EPS Broker Sentiment EBITDA Margin EBIT Margin ROIC & ROE Capital Turnover Capex & WC / Sales Net Debt / Equity Price and 100d MA Relative to Index Relative to MSCI


1. Industry Fundamentals

1.1 Cyclicality

The company operates in a cyclical industry sensitive to macroeconomic conditions. Revenue and earnings tend to correlate with broader economic cycles, with periods of expansion driving growth and contractions creating headwinds. Current market capitalisation: 25.88B.

1.2 Competition

The industry is moderately competitive with established players and meaningful barriers to entry. Beta of 0.61 suggests moderate market sensitivity. Competitive advantages stem from brand, scale, or regulatory moats.

1.3 Technology

Key technology drivers include digital transformation, operational efficiency, automation. Companies that invest in R&D and adopt new technologies tend to gain market share. The pace of technological change creates both opportunities for innovation and risks of disruption.


2. Company Fundamentals

2.1 Competitiveness

Metric Value
Operating Margins 77.22%
Profit Margins 60.02%
Return on Equity 36.47%
Return on Assets 25.19%
Free Float 0.06B
Dividend Yield 0.61%
Short Int % Utilisation 9.5%

2.2 Growth

Metric Value
Revenue Growth 20.8%
Free Cash Flow -0.06B
EBITDA 37.16 (Ratio)
Enterprise Value 25.65B
EV/Revenue 30.57
EV/EBITDA 37.16

Revenue growth of 20.8% places the company in a high-growth category.

2.3 Management

Role Metric
Consensus Rating N/A

2.4 Return

Metric Value
Expected Return (Ann.) 27.77%
Risk / Std Dev (Ann.) 46.26%
Sharpe Ratio (rf=4.5%) 0.50
Beta 0.61

2.5 Valuation

Metric Value
P/E (Forward) 5.13
Price/Book 16.40
EV/Revenue 30.57
EV/EBITDA 37.16
Enterprise Value / NOPAT 46.37
FCF Yield (%) -0.22%
Price / Earnings 50.74
Price / Book 16.40
Enterprise Value / EBITDA 36.63

Forward P/E of 5x suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to peers.

2.6 Return Outlook

The stock’s historical risk-return profile shows an annualised expected return of 27.8% with annualised volatility of 46.3%, yielding a Sharpe ratio of 0.50 (rf=4.5%). The risk-adjusted return is attractive relative to the risk-free rate. With a beta of 0.6, the stock is less volatile than the market, offering relative downside protection.


us-equitystockequitytplenergyoil--gas-exploration--productionnasdaq