Evidence and analysis
Research evidence pack
Source-backed valuation visuals
2. Company Fundamentals
2.3 Management
| Role | Metric |
|---|---|
| Consensus Rating | N/A |
2.4 Return
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Expected Return (Ann.)* | -17.77% |
| Risk / Std Dev (Ann.)* | 19.68% |
| 1-Year Price Return* | -18.79% |
Latest Market Data (as of 2026-08-14, Hong Kong time):
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Last Price | HK$1.08 |
| 52-Week Range | HK$1.04 – HK$1.35 |
| Observation Count | 245 trading days |
The return and risk statistics use daily adjusted closes from the retrieved one-year price series and annualise daily moments using 252 trading days. The last price is the latest regular-market price reported for the stated date. Source: Yahoo Finance market data.
DuPont Model Analysis
DuPont analysis requires revenue, net income, total assets, and shareholders’ equity for two comparable annual periods. The required historical statement data was not available from the source at the time of refresh, so the analysis is marked N/A rather than estimated.
| DuPont component | Latest two comparable fiscal years |
|---|---|
| Revenue | N/A |
| Net income | N/A |
| Total assets | N/A |
| Shareholders’ equity | N/A |
| Net margin | N/A |
| Asset turnover | N/A |
| Equity multiplier | N/A |
| ROE | N/A |
Source checked: Yahoo Finance annual statements.
2.5 FCFF DCF Valuation
FCFF DCF exception: Reported operating inputs do not support a stable FCFF DCF. This post deliberately does not publish a mechanical enterprise value or implied per-share value on an unsuitable basis.
| Available valuation input | Value |
|---|---|
| Last market price | HK$1.08 |
| Market capitalisation | HK$2.06B |
| Revenue | HK$301.08M |
| EBIT | -HK$283.56M |
| Reported free cash flow | -HK$280.21M |
| FCF yield | -13.60% |
| Net debt / EBITDA | -8.50x |
2.6 Investor-Style Research Screen
| Educational screen | Result |
|---|---|
| Buffett-inspired cash-quality checks | not rated — FCFF DCF suitability or data-integrity condition not met |
| Lynch-inspired balance-and-growth checks | not rated — FCFF DCF suitability or data-integrity condition not met |
Data lineage: Yahoo Finance public market and reported-statement data; retrieval timestamp: 2026-08-18 16:10:50.026370 UTC; latest reported fiscal period: 2025-12-31 00:00:00. Financial institutions and REITs require sector-specific methods rather than a mechanical FCFF DCF. This is research and analysis only, not personalized financial advice.
2.7 Quantitative Factor Diagnostics
Model basis: Daily issuer USD excess returns are regressed in-sample using ordinary least squares on matching regional Fama–French factors. FF3 estimates market, size, and value loadings; FF5 adds profitability and investment. Coefficients are descriptive historical exposures, not predictions.
| Estimation input | Value |
|---|---|
| Regional factor set | Asia Pacific ex Japan |
| Factor-return currency | USD |
| Issuer-return basis | USD adjusted total return |
| Estimation window | 2025-08-20 to 2026-06-30 |
| Aligned daily observations | 210 |
| Minimum observation requirement | 120 |
| Currency conversion for HK listings | HKD adjusted close divided by daily USD/HKD close before simple daily return calculation |
Fama–French Three-Factor and Five-Factor Results
| Diagnostic | FF3 | FF5 |
|---|---|---|
| Annualised alpha | -31.17% | -32.77% |
| Adjusted R² | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Annualised residual volatility | 18.11% | 18.02% |
| Factor loading (t-statistic) | FF3 | FF5 |
|---|---|---|
| Market excess return (Mkt-RF) | 0.52 (5.07) | 0.55 (4.99) |
| Size (SMB) | 0.22 (1.46) | 0.34 (1.77) |
| Value (HML) | 0.38 (2.68) | 0.43 (2.73) |
| Profitability (RMW) | NM | 0.25 (1.23) |
| Investment (CMA) | NM | 0.17 (0.73) |