Evidence and analysis
Research evidence pack
Source-backed valuation visuals
2. Company Fundamentals
2.3 Management
| Role | Metric |
|---|---|
| Consensus Rating | N/A |
2.4 Return
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Expected Return (Ann.) | 68.71% |
| Risk / Std Dev (Ann.) | 125.52% |
Price Snapshot:
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Last Price | 0.057 HKD |
| Day Change | -0.005 (-8.77%) |
DuPont Model Analysis
The DuPont model decomposes return on equity (ROE) into three operating and capital-structure drivers:
ROE = Net Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier
The comparison uses the latest two comparable annual periods available for the issuer, with reported statement amounts shown in HK$. Revenue and net income are income-statement flows; total assets and shareholders’ equity are year-end balance-sheet figures. This is a simplified year-end-balance DuPont comparison rather than an average-balance ROE calculation.
| DuPont component | Calculation | FY2026 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | Reported revenue | HK$179.31M | HK$14.46M |
| Net income | Reported net income | HK$-656K | HK$-20.20M |
| Total assets | Year-end reported balance | HK$240.99M | HK$76.17M |
| Shareholders’ equity | Year-end reported balance | HK$-2.33M | HK$-3.06M |
| Net margin | Net income ÷ revenue | -0.37% | -139.76% |
| Asset turnover | Revenue ÷ total assets | 0.7440x | 0.1898x |
| Equity multiplier | Total assets ÷ shareholders’ equity | -103.4300x | -24.8502x |
| ROE | Net margin × asset turnover × equity multiplier | 28.15% | 659.22% |
Source: Yahoo Finance annual statements. Values are based on the two latest comparable annual periods returned by the source; fiscal period labels use the statement period-end year.
2.5 FCFF DCF Valuation
FCFF DCF exception: Missing verified DCF inputs: capex. This post deliberately does not publish a mechanical enterprise value or implied per-share value on an unsuitable basis.
| Available valuation input | Value |
|---|---|
| Last market price | HK$0.06 |
| Market capitalisation | HK$53.24M |
| Revenue | HK$179.31M |
| EBIT | HK$7.34M |
| Reported free cash flow | -HK$89.59M |
| FCF yield | -168.27% |
| Net debt / EBITDA | 12.36x |
2.6 Investor-Style Research Screen
| Educational screen | Result |
|---|---|
| Buffett-inspired cash-quality checks | not rated — FCFF DCF suitability or data-integrity condition not met |
| Lynch-inspired balance-and-growth checks | not rated — FCFF DCF suitability or data-integrity condition not met |
Data lineage: Yahoo Finance public market and reported-statement data; retrieval timestamp: 2026-08-18 16:40:02.778395 UTC; latest reported fiscal period: 2026-03-31 00:00:00. Financial institutions and REITs require sector-specific methods rather than a mechanical FCFF DCF. This is research and analysis only, not personalized financial advice.
2.7 Quantitative Factor Diagnostics
Model basis: Daily issuer USD excess returns are regressed in-sample using ordinary least squares on matching regional Fama–French factors. FF3 estimates market, size, and value loadings; FF5 adds profitability and investment. Coefficients are descriptive historical exposures, not predictions.
| Estimation input | Value |
|---|---|
| Regional factor set | Asia Pacific ex Japan |
| Factor-return currency | USD |
| Issuer-return basis | USD adjusted total return |
| Estimation window | 2025-08-20 to 2026-06-30 |
| Aligned daily observations | 210 |
| Minimum observation requirement | 120 |
| Currency conversion for HK listings | HKD adjusted close divided by daily USD/HKD close before simple daily return calculation |
Fama–French Three-Factor and Five-Factor Results
| Diagnostic | FF3 | FF5 |
|---|---|---|
| Annualised alpha | 40.20% | 36.92% |
| Adjusted R² | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Annualised residual volatility | 100.14% | 100.13% |
| Factor loading (t-statistic) | FF3 | FF5 |
|---|---|---|
| Market excess return (Mkt-RF) | 0.87 (1.52) | 0.92 (1.49) |
| Size (SMB) | -0.53 (-0.63) | -0.36 (-0.34) |
| Value (HML) | -0.99 (-1.26) | -1.00 (-1.13) |
| Profitability (RMW) | NM | 0.13 (0.12) |
| Investment (CMA) | NM | 0.31 (0.24) |