Evidence and analysis
Research evidence pack
Source-backed valuation visuals
2. Company Fundamentals
2.3 Management
| Role | Metric |
|---|---|
| Consensus Rating | N/A |
2.4 Return
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Expected Return (Ann.) | 75.50% |
| Risk / Std Dev (Ann.) | 203.49% |
Price Snapshot:
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Last Price | 0.330 HKD |
| Day Change | -0.010 (-3.03%) |
DuPont Model Analysis
The DuPont model decomposes return on equity (ROE) into three operating and capital-structure drivers:
ROE = Net Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier
The comparison uses the latest two comparable annual periods available for the issuer, with reported statement amounts shown in HK$. Revenue and net income are income-statement flows; total assets and shareholders’ equity are year-end balance-sheet figures. This is a simplified year-end-balance DuPont comparison rather than an average-balance ROE calculation.
| DuPont component | Calculation | FY2025 | FY2024 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | Reported revenue | HK$85.90M | HK$85.22M |
| Net income | Reported net income | HK$-22.04M | HK$4.89M |
| Total assets | Year-end reported balance | HK$421.73M | HK$468.96M |
| Shareholders’ equity | Year-end reported balance | HK$298.26M | HK$321.99M |
| Net margin | Net income ÷ revenue | -25.66% | 5.74% |
| Asset turnover | Revenue ÷ total assets | 0.2037x | 0.1817x |
| Equity multiplier | Total assets ÷ shareholders’ equity | 1.4140x | 1.4565x |
| ROE | Net margin × asset turnover × equity multiplier | -7.39% | 1.52% |
Source: Yahoo Finance annual statements. Values are based on the two latest comparable annual periods returned by the source; fiscal period labels use the statement period-end year.
2.5 FCFF DCF Valuation
FCFF DCF exception: Reported operating inputs do not support a stable FCFF DCF. This post deliberately does not publish a mechanical enterprise value or implied per-share value on an unsuitable basis.
| Available valuation input | Value |
|---|---|
| Last market price | HK$0.16 |
| Market capitalisation | HK$24.92M |
| Revenue | HK$85.90M |
| EBIT | -HK$24.18M |
| Reported free cash flow | -HK$54.36M |
| FCF yield | -218.13% |
| Net debt / EBITDA | 13.00x |
2.6 Investor-Style Research Screen
| Educational screen | Result |
|---|---|
| Buffett-inspired cash-quality checks | not rated — FCFF DCF suitability or data-integrity condition not met |
| Lynch-inspired balance-and-growth checks | not rated — FCFF DCF suitability or data-integrity condition not met |
Data lineage: Yahoo Finance public market and reported-statement data; retrieval timestamp: 2026-08-18 16:56:00.682926 UTC; latest reported fiscal period: 2025-12-31 00:00:00. Financial institutions and REITs require sector-specific methods rather than a mechanical FCFF DCF. This is research and analysis only, not personalized financial advice.
2.7 Quantitative Factor Diagnostics
Model basis: Daily issuer USD excess returns are regressed in-sample using ordinary least squares on matching regional Fama–French factors. FF3 estimates market, size, and value loadings; FF5 adds profitability and investment. Coefficients are descriptive historical exposures, not predictions.
| Estimation input | Value |
|---|---|
| Regional factor set | Asia Pacific ex Japan |
| Factor-return currency | USD |
| Issuer-return basis | USD adjusted total return |
| Estimation window | 2025-08-20 to 2026-06-30 |
| Aligned daily observations | 210 |
| Minimum observation requirement | 120 |
| Currency conversion for HK listings | HKD adjusted close divided by daily USD/HKD close before simple daily return calculation |
Fama–French Three-Factor and Five-Factor Results
| Diagnostic | FF3 | FF5 |
|---|---|---|
| Annualised alpha | -65.06% | -61.56% |
| Adjusted R² | 0.01 | 0.02 |
| Annualised residual volatility | 71.62% | 70.96% |
| Factor loading (t-statistic) | FF3 | FF5 |
|---|---|---|
| Market excess return (Mkt-RF) | 0.85 (2.09) | 0.84 (1.91) |
| Size (SMB) | 0.28 (0.47) | 0.04 (0.06) |
| Value (HML) | 0.28 (0.49) | -0.19 (-0.31) |
| Profitability (RMW) | NM | -1.56 (-1.96) |
| Investment (CMA) | NM | -0.03 (-0.04) |