Checking your sign-in status…

Private workspace

Finance

Research, portfolio tools, and market analysis in one place.

Finance home
Back to HK Equities

HK Equities · Finance research note

HKEX 2378 - Prudential plc

Research and analysis only
View analysis Browse HK Equities

Evidence and analysis

Research evidence pack

Source-backed valuation visuals

Loading verified snapshot
Loading verified market, valuation, and statement data.

2. Company Fundamentals

2.3 Management

Role Metric
Consensus Rating N/A

2.4 Return

Metric Value
Expected Return (Ann.)* 7.84%
Risk / Std Dev (Ann.)* 31.31%
1-Year Price Return* 2.61%

Latest Market Data (as of 2026-08-14, Hong Kong time):

Metric Value
Last Price HK$106.8
52-Week Range HK$95.35 – HK$131.2
Observation Count 245 trading days

The return and risk statistics use daily adjusted closes from the retrieved one-year price series and annualise daily moments using 252 trading days. The last price is the latest regular-market price reported for the stated date. Source: Yahoo Finance market data.

DuPont Model Analysis

The DuPont model decomposes return on equity (ROE) into three operating and capital-structure drivers:

ROE = Net Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

The comparison uses the latest two comparable annual periods available for the issuer, with reported statement amounts shown in HK$. Revenue and net income are income-statement flows; total assets and shareholders’ equity are year-end balance-sheet figures. This is a simplified year-end-balance DuPont comparison rather than an average-balance ROE calculation.

DuPont component Calculation FY2025 FY2024
Revenue Reported revenue HK$27.39B HK$16.21B
Net income Reported net income HK$3.98B HK$2.29B
Total assets Year-end reported balance HK$212.19B HK$181.88B
Shareholders’ equity Year-end reported balance HK$20.12B HK$17.49B
Net margin Net income ÷ revenue 14.52% 14.10%
Asset turnover Revenue ÷ total assets 0.1291x 0.0891x
Equity multiplier Total assets ÷ shareholders’ equity 10.5480x 10.3977x
ROE Net margin × asset turnover × equity multiplier 19.77% 13.06%

Source: Yahoo Finance annual statements. Values are based on the two latest comparable annual periods returned by the source; fiscal period labels use the statement period-end year.

2.5 FCFF DCF Valuation

FCFF DCF exception: FCFF DCF is not the primary valuation method for financial institutions or REITs. This post deliberately does not publish a mechanical enterprise value or implied per-share value on an unsuitable basis.

Available valuation input Value
Last market price HK$109.20
Market capitalisation HK$271.08B
Revenue HK$27.39B
EBIT HK$5.12B
Reported free cash flow HK$2.35B
FCF yield 0.87%
Net debt / EBITDA NM

2.6 Investor-Style Research Screen

Educational screen Result
Buffett-inspired cash-quality checks not rated — FCFF DCF suitability or data-integrity condition not met
Lynch-inspired balance-and-growth checks not rated — FCFF DCF suitability or data-integrity condition not met

Data lineage: Yahoo Finance public market and reported-statement data; retrieval timestamp: 2026-08-18 17:01:27.154973 UTC; latest reported fiscal period: 2025-12-31 00:00:00. Financial institutions and REITs require sector-specific methods rather than a mechanical FCFF DCF. This is research and analysis only, not personalized financial advice.

2.7 Quantitative Factor Diagnostics

Model basis: Daily issuer USD excess returns are regressed in-sample using ordinary least squares on matching regional Fama–French factors. FF3 estimates market, size, and value loadings; FF5 adds profitability and investment. Coefficients are descriptive historical exposures, not predictions.

Estimation input Value
Regional factor set Asia Pacific ex Japan
Factor-return currency USD
Issuer-return basis USD adjusted total return
Estimation window 2025-08-20 to 2026-06-30
Aligned daily observations 210
Minimum observation requirement 120
Currency conversion for HK listings HKD adjusted close divided by daily USD/HKD close before simple daily return calculation

Fama–French Three-Factor and Five-Factor Results

Diagnostic FF3 FF5
Annualised alpha -10.09% -8.83%
Adjusted R² 0.43 0.43
Annualised residual volatility 23.80% 23.69%
Factor loading (t-statistic) FF3 FF5
Market excess return (Mkt-RF) 1.69 (12.45) 1.62 (11.08)
Size (SMB) -0.00 (-0.00) -0.17 (-0.70)
Value (HML) 0.44 (2.35) 0.53 (2.54)
Profitability (RMW) NM 0.10 (0.38)
Investment (CMA) NM -0.39 (-1.30)

Definitions: Mkt-RF is the market return less the risk-free rate; SMB is small minus big; HML is high minus low book-to-market; RMW is robust minus weak profitability; CMA is conservative minus aggressive investment. Factor returns are sourced from the Kenneth R. French Data Library; issuer adjusted-return history is sourced from Yahoo Finance. For Hong Kong listings, adjusted HKD prices are converted into USD with daily USD/HKD closes before return calculation to match the USD regional factor basis. This is an in-sample historical regression; coefficients and t-statistics do not establish causation or predict future returns. This is research and analysis only, not personalized financial advice.

hkexstockequity2378