Checking your sign-in status…

Private workspace

Finance

Research, portfolio tools, and market analysis in one place.

Finance home
Back to US Equities

US Equities · Finance research note

APTV — Aptiv

Research and analysis only
View analysis Browse US Equities

Evidence and analysis

Research evidence pack

Source-backed valuation visuals

Loading verified snapshot
Loading verified market, valuation, and statement data.

2. Company Fundamentals

2.1 Competitiveness

Metric Value
Operating Margins 9.87%
Profit Margins 1.77%
Return on Equity 4.08%
Return on Assets 5.7%
Free Float 0.21B
Short Int % Utilisation 5.82%

2.2 Growth

Metric Value
Revenue Growth 5.4%
Free Cash Flow 1.09B
EBITDA 6.53 (Ratio)
Enterprise Value 20.8B
EV/Revenue 1.01
EV/EBITDA 6.53

Revenue growth of 5.4% indicates steady, moderate expansion.

2.3 Management

Role Metric
Consensus Rating N/A

2.4 Return

Metric Value
Expected Return (Ann.)* -26.86%
Risk / Std Dev (Ann.)* 42.88%
1-Year Price Return* -33.19%

Latest Market Data (as of 2026-08-14, US Eastern time):

Metric Value
Last Price $49.56
52-Week Range $46.16 – $88.93
Observation Count 251 trading days

The return and risk statistics use daily adjusted closes from the retrieved one-year series and annualise daily moments using 252 trading days. The last price is the latest regular-market price reported for the stated date. Source: Yahoo Finance market data.

DuPont Model Analysis

The DuPont model decomposes return on equity (ROE) into three operating and capital-structure drivers:

ROE = Net Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

The comparison uses the latest two comparable annual periods available for the issuer, with reported statement amounts shown in US$. Revenue and net income are income-statement flows; total assets and shareholders’ equity are year-end balance-sheet figures. This is a simplified year-end-balance DuPont comparison rather than an average-balance ROE calculation.

DuPont component Calculation FY2025 FY2024
Revenue Reported revenue $20.40B $19.71B
Net income Reported net income $165.00M $1.79B
Total assets Year-end reported balance $23.41B $23.46B
Shareholders’ equity Year-end reported balance $9.21B $8.80B
Net margin Net income ÷ revenue 0.81% 9.07%
Asset turnover Revenue ÷ total assets 0.8712x 0.8404x
Equity multiplier Total assets ÷ shareholders’ equity 2.5430x 2.6669x
ROE Net margin × asset turnover × equity multiplier 1.79% 20.32%

Source: Yahoo Finance annual statements. Values are based on the two latest comparable annual periods returned by the source; fiscal period labels use the statement period-end year.

2.5 FCFF DCF Valuation

Valuation basis: This research model follows a five-year, unlevered FCFF DCF. It starts from reported annual operating inputs, forecasts revenue and operating cash conversion under an explicit mechanical policy, discounts FCFF at WACC, applies a Gordon-growth terminal value, and bridges enterprise value to an indicative common-equity value per share. It is an analytical estimate rather than a recommendation or personalised target price.

Step 1 — Forecast Operating Profit and NOPAT

Reported operating input Value
Revenue $20.40B
Prior annual revenue $19.71B
EBIT $1.28B
Tax rate 21.00%
NOPAT = EBIT × (1 − tax rate) $1.01B
Forecast start-growth basis 3.47%
Forecast policy latest reported annual revenue growth, bounded to -10.00% / 15.00%

Step 2 — Calculate FCFF

Current FCFF building block Value
NOPAT $1.01B
Add: depreciation & amortisation $991.00M
Less: capital expenditure -$656.00M
Less/(add): working-capital cash-flow movement -$193.00M
Current unlevered FCFF $1.15B

Explicit FCFF forecast

Forecast year Revenue growth NOPAT D&A Capex Change in NWC FCFF Present value
1 3.47% $1.05B $1.03B -$678.80M -$199.71M $1.19B $1.15B
2 3.23% $1.08B $1.06B -$790.19M -$206.16M $1.14B $1.01B
3 2.99% $1.11B $1.09B -$905.93M -$212.32M $1.08B $888.46M
4 2.74% $1.14B $1.12B -$1.03B -$218.14M $1.02B $771.29M
5 2.50% $1.17B $1.15B -$1.15B -$223.60M $947.91M $662.22M

Step 3 — Determine the Discount Rate (WACC)

WACC input Value
Risk-free rate 4.71%
Equity risk premium assumption 5.50%
Beta 1.36
Cost of equity 12.19%
Pre-tax cost of debt 4.25%
WACC 8.30%
WACC validation within standard range

Step 4 — Estimate Terminal Value

Terminal-value input Value
Perpetuity growth rate 2.50%
Terminal value $16.76B
Implied terminal EV / EBITDA 6.37x
Terminal value as % of enterprise value 71.51%

Step 5 — Discount Cash Flows to Enterprise Value

Enterprise-value component Value
Present value of explicit FCFF $4.48B
Present value of terminal value $11.25B
Indicated enterprise value $15.74B
Discounting convention mid-year for explicit FCFF; terminal value discounted at year-end five

Step 6 — Convert Enterprise Value to Equity Value

Equity bridge Value
Indicated enterprise value $15.74B
Less: gross interest-bearing debt $8.09B
Add: cash and equivalents $1.85B
Add: affiliate investments $0.00
Less: minority interests $292.00M
Indicated common equity value $9.20B

Step 7 — Calculate Indicative Value Per Share

Per-share output Value
Shares used 220,750,000.00
Share-count basis reported diluted weighted-average shares
Current market price $49.41
DCF indicative value per share $41.68
Indicative value vs. market price -15.65%

Model Integrity Checks

Check Result
Perpetuity growth is below the risk-free rate pass
Perpetuity growth is below WACC pass
WACC is within the configured operating-company range pass
Terminal-year FCFF is positive pass
Terminal capex converges to D&A pass
Terminal-value concentration within review band
Implied price differs from spot by more than 30% within review band

2.6 Investor-Style Research Screen

Educational screen Result
Buffett-inspired cash-quality checks 4/4 evidenced checks
Lynch-inspired balance-and-growth checks 4/4 evidenced checks

Data lineage: Yahoo Finance public market and reported-statement data; retrieval timestamp: 2026-08-18 17:23:08.799946 UTC; latest reported fiscal period: 2025-12-31 00:00:00. Default assumptions: five-year forecast, mid-year discounting for explicit FCFF, a maximum 2.50% perpetuity-growth rate below both WACC and the risk-free rate, historical operating-ratio persistence, and capex convergence to D&A by year five. No sell-side consensus or management guidance is substituted for reported inputs. This is research and analysis only, not personalized financial advice.

2.7 Quantitative Factor Diagnostics

Model basis: Daily issuer USD excess returns are regressed in-sample using ordinary least squares on matching regional Fama–French factors. FF3 estimates market, size, and value loadings; FF5 adds profitability and investment. Coefficients are descriptive historical exposures, not predictions.

Estimation input Value
Regional factor set US
Factor-return currency USD
Issuer-return basis USD adjusted total return
Estimation window 2025-08-19 to 2026-06-30
Aligned daily observations 217
Minimum observation requirement 120
Currency conversion for HK listings not required

Fama–French Three-Factor and Five-Factor Results

Diagnostic FF3 FF5
Annualised alpha -46.16% -42.63%
Adjusted R² 0.26 0.32
Annualised residual volatility 34.43% 32.94%
Factor loading (t-statistic) FF3 FF5
Market excess return (Mkt-RF) 1.56 (7.68) 1.75 (7.85)
Size (SMB) 0.37 (1.34) -0.04 (-0.13)
Value (HML) 0.75 (3.19) 0.06 (0.23)
Profitability (RMW) NM -0.20 (-0.84)
Investment (CMA) NM 1.81 (4.42)

Definitions: Mkt-RF is the market return less the risk-free rate; SMB is small minus big; HML is high minus low book-to-market; RMW is robust minus weak profitability; CMA is conservative minus aggressive investment. Factor returns are sourced from the Kenneth R. French Data Library; issuer adjusted-return history is sourced from Yahoo Finance. For Hong Kong listings, adjusted HKD prices are converted into USD with daily USD/HKD closes before return calculation to match the USD regional factor basis. This is an in-sample historical regression; coefficients and t-statistics do not establish causation or predict future returns. This is research and analysis only, not personalized financial advice.

us-equitystockequityaptvconsumer-discretionaryautomotive-parts--equipmentnasdaq