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US Equities · Finance research note

COF — Capital One

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Evidence and analysis

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2. Company Fundamentals

2.1 Competitiveness

Metric Value
Operating Margins 28.59%
Profit Margins 8.88%
Return on Equity 3.26%
Return on Assets 0.49%
Free Float 0.61B
Dividend Yield 1.57%
Short Int % Utilisation 1.93%

2.2 Growth

Metric Value
Revenue Growth 46.3%
EBITDA N/A (Ratio)
Enterprise Value 92.43B
EV/Revenue 2.55

Revenue growth of 46.3% places the company in a high-growth category.

2.3 Management

Role Metric
Consensus Rating N/A

2.4 Return

Metric Value
Expected Return (Ann.)* 12.51%
Risk / Std Dev (Ann.)* 32.02%
1-Year Price Return* 6.79%

Latest Market Data (as of 2026-08-14, US Eastern time):

Metric Value
Last Price $227.34
52-Week Range $174.24 – $259.64
Observation Count 251 trading days

The return and risk statistics use daily adjusted closes from the retrieved one-year series and annualise daily moments using 252 trading days. The last price is the latest regular-market price reported for the stated date. Source: Yahoo Finance market data.

DuPont Model Analysis

The DuPont model decomposes return on equity (ROE) into three operating and capital-structure drivers:

ROE = Net Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

The comparison uses the latest two comparable annual periods available for the issuer, with reported statement amounts shown in US$. Revenue and net income are income-statement flows; total assets and shareholders’ equity are year-end balance-sheet figures. This is a simplified year-end-balance DuPont comparison rather than an average-balance ROE calculation.

DuPont component Calculation FY2025 FY2024
Revenue Reported revenue $53.43B $39.11B
Net income Reported net income $2.18B $4.45B
Total assets Year-end reported balance $669.01B $490.14B
Shareholders’ equity Year-end reported balance $113.62B $60.78B
Net margin Net income ÷ revenue 4.08% 11.36%
Asset turnover Revenue ÷ total assets 0.0799x 0.0798x
Equity multiplier Total assets ÷ shareholders’ equity 5.8883x 8.0637x
ROE Net margin × asset turnover × equity multiplier 1.92% 7.31%

Source: Yahoo Finance annual statements. Values are based on the two latest comparable annual periods returned by the source; fiscal period labels use the statement period-end year.

2.5 FCFF DCF Valuation

FCFF DCF exception: FCFF DCF is not the primary valuation method for financial institutions or REITs. This post deliberately does not publish a mechanical enterprise value or implied per-share value on an unsuitable basis.

Available valuation input Value
Last market price $222.23
Market capitalisation $136.34B
Revenue $53.43B
EBIT NM
Reported free cash flow $26.14B
FCF yield 19.17%
Net debt / EBITDA NM

2.6 Investor-Style Research Screen

Educational screen Result
Buffett-inspired cash-quality checks not rated — FCFF DCF suitability or data-integrity condition not met
Lynch-inspired balance-and-growth checks not rated — FCFF DCF suitability or data-integrity condition not met

Data lineage: Yahoo Finance public market and reported-statement data; retrieval timestamp: 2026-08-18 17:27:39.631512 UTC; latest reported fiscal period: 2025-12-31 00:00:00. Financial institutions and REITs require sector-specific methods rather than a mechanical FCFF DCF. This is research and analysis only, not personalized financial advice.

2.7 Quantitative Factor Diagnostics

Model basis: Daily issuer USD excess returns are regressed in-sample using ordinary least squares on matching regional Fama–French factors. FF3 estimates market, size, and value loadings; FF5 adds profitability and investment. Coefficients are descriptive historical exposures, not predictions.

Estimation input Value
Regional factor set US
Factor-return currency USD
Issuer-return basis USD adjusted total return
Estimation window 2025-08-19 to 2026-06-30
Aligned daily observations 217
Minimum observation requirement 120
Currency conversion for HK listings not required

Fama–French Three-Factor and Five-Factor Results

Diagnostic FF3 FF5
Annualised alpha -41.05% -38.47%
Adjusted R² 0.44 0.45
Annualised residual volatility 24.07% 23.78%
Factor loading (t-statistic) FF3 FF5
Market excess return (Mkt-RF) 1.58 (11.17) 1.65 (10.24)
Size (SMB) 0.34 (1.79) 0.51 (2.48)
Value (HML) 1.01 (6.15) 1.14 (5.67)
Profitability (RMW) NM 0.33 (1.93)
Investment (CMA) NM -0.49 (-1.65)

Definitions: Mkt-RF is the market return less the risk-free rate; SMB is small minus big; HML is high minus low book-to-market; RMW is robust minus weak profitability; CMA is conservative minus aggressive investment. Factor returns are sourced from the Kenneth R. French Data Library; issuer adjusted-return history is sourced from Yahoo Finance. For Hong Kong listings, adjusted HKD prices are converted into USD with daily USD/HKD closes before return calculation to match the USD regional factor basis. This is an in-sample historical regression; coefficients and t-statistics do not establish causation or predict future returns. This is research and analysis only, not personalized financial advice.

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