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LYB — LyondellBasell

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2. Company Fundamentals

2.1 Competitiveness

Metric Value
Operating Margins 3.47%
Profit Margins -2.69%
Return on Equity -6.01%
Return on Assets 1.74%
Free Float 0.26B
Dividend Yield 7.38%
Short Int % Utilisation 4.41%

2.2 Growth

Metric Value
Revenue Growth -6.3%
Free Cash Flow 0.99B
EBITDA 14.79 (Ratio)
Enterprise Value 32.85B
EV/Revenue 1.11
EV/EBITDA 14.79

Revenue growth of -6.3% suggests mature or challenged top-line momentum.

2.3 Management

Role Metric
Consensus Rating N/A

2.4 Return

Metric Value
Expected Return (Ann.)* 41.56%
Risk / Std Dev (Ann.)* 43.36%
1-Year Price Return* 28.67%

Latest Market Data (as of 2026-08-14, US Eastern time):

Metric Value
Last Price $63.76
52-Week Range $41.58 – $83.94
Observation Count 251 trading days

The return and risk statistics use daily adjusted closes from the retrieved one-year series and annualise daily moments using 252 trading days. The last price is the latest regular-market price reported for the stated date. Source: Yahoo Finance market data.

DuPont Model Analysis

The DuPont model decomposes return on equity (ROE) into three operating and capital-structure drivers:

ROE = Net Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

The comparison uses the latest two comparable annual periods available for the issuer, with reported statement amounts shown in US$. Revenue and net income are income-statement flows; total assets and shareholders’ equity are year-end balance-sheet figures. This is a simplified year-end-balance DuPont comparison rather than an average-balance ROE calculation.

DuPont component Calculation FY2025 FY2024
Revenue Reported revenue $30.15B $33.39B
Net income Reported net income $-752.00M $1.35B
Total assets Year-end reported balance $34.00B $35.75B
Shareholders’ equity Year-end reported balance $10.08B $12.46B
Net margin Net income ÷ revenue -2.49% 4.05%
Asset turnover Revenue ÷ total assets 0.8868x 0.9342x
Equity multiplier Total assets ÷ shareholders’ equity 3.3726x 2.8684x
ROE Net margin × asset turnover × equity multiplier -7.46% 10.87%

Source: Yahoo Finance annual statements. Values are based on the two latest comparable annual periods returned by the source; fiscal period labels use the statement period-end year.

2.5 FCFF DCF Valuation

FCFF DCF exception: Reported operating inputs do not support a stable FCFF DCF. This post deliberately does not publish a mechanical enterprise value or implied per-share value on an unsuitable basis.

Available valuation input Value
Last market price $65.08
Market capitalisation $21.02B
Revenue $30.15B
EBIT -$228.00M
Reported free cash flow $384.00M
FCF yield 1.83%
Net debt / EBITDA 9.63x

2.6 Investor-Style Research Screen

Educational screen Result
Buffett-inspired cash-quality checks not rated — FCFF DCF suitability or data-integrity condition not met
Lynch-inspired balance-and-growth checks not rated — FCFF DCF suitability or data-integrity condition not met

Data lineage: Yahoo Finance public market and reported-statement data; retrieval timestamp: 2026-08-18 17:40:58.543550 UTC; latest reported fiscal period: 2025-12-31 00:00:00. Financial institutions and REITs require sector-specific methods rather than a mechanical FCFF DCF. This is research and analysis only, not personalized financial advice.

2.7 Quantitative Factor Diagnostics

Model basis: Daily issuer USD excess returns are regressed in-sample using ordinary least squares on matching regional Fama–French factors. FF3 estimates market, size, and value loadings; FF5 adds profitability and investment. Coefficients are descriptive historical exposures, not predictions.

Estimation input Value
Regional factor set US
Factor-return currency USD
Issuer-return basis USD adjusted total return
Estimation window 2025-08-19 to 2026-06-30
Aligned daily observations 217
Minimum observation requirement 120
Currency conversion for HK listings not required

Fama–French Three-Factor and Five-Factor Results

Diagnostic FF3 FF5
Annualised alpha -11.38% -12.44%
Adjusted R² 0.08 0.07
Annualised residual volatility 42.38% 42.32%
Factor loading (t-statistic) FF3 FF5
Market excess return (Mkt-RF) 0.15 (0.60) 0.14 (0.48)
Size (SMB) 0.40 (1.17) 0.30 (0.81)
Value (HML) 1.07 (3.69) 0.96 (2.69)
Profitability (RMW) NM -0.15 (-0.49)
Investment (CMA) NM 0.35 (0.66)

Definitions: Mkt-RF is the market return less the risk-free rate; SMB is small minus big; HML is high minus low book-to-market; RMW is robust minus weak profitability; CMA is conservative minus aggressive investment. Factor returns are sourced from the Kenneth R. French Data Library; issuer adjusted-return history is sourced from Yahoo Finance. For Hong Kong listings, adjusted HKD prices are converted into USD with daily USD/HKD closes before return calculation to match the USD regional factor basis. This is an in-sample historical regression; coefficients and t-statistics do not establish causation or predict future returns. This is research and analysis only, not personalized financial advice.

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