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TDY — Teledyne Technologies

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Evidence and analysis

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2. Company Fundamentals

2.1 Competitiveness

Metric Value
Operating Margins 19.03%
Profit Margins 14.99%
Return on Equity 9.05%
Return on Assets 4.89%
Free Float 0.05B
Short Int % Utilisation 3.89%

2.2 Growth

Metric Value
Revenue Growth 7.6%
Free Cash Flow 0.76B
EBITDA 19.38 (Ratio)
Enterprise Value 29.81B
EV/Revenue 4.79
EV/EBITDA 19.38

Revenue growth of 7.6% indicates steady, moderate expansion.

2.3 Management

Role Metric
Consensus Rating N/A

2.4 Return

Metric Value
Expected Return (Ann.)* 30.78%
Risk / Std Dev (Ann.)* 26.11%
1-Year Price Return* 26.22%

Latest Market Data (as of 2026-08-14, US Eastern time):

Metric Value
Last Price $679.67
52-Week Range $483.02 – $697.67
Observation Count 251 trading days

The return and risk statistics use daily adjusted closes from the retrieved one-year series and annualise daily moments using 252 trading days. The last price is the latest regular-market price reported for the stated date. Source: Yahoo Finance market data.

DuPont Model Analysis

The DuPont model decomposes return on equity (ROE) into three operating and capital-structure drivers:

ROE = Net Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

The comparison uses the latest two comparable annual periods available for the issuer, with reported statement amounts shown in US$. Revenue and net income are income-statement flows; total assets and shareholders’ equity are year-end balance-sheet figures. This is a simplified year-end-balance DuPont comparison rather than an average-balance ROE calculation.

DuPont component Calculation FY2025 FY2024
Revenue Reported revenue $6.12B $5.67B
Net income Reported net income $894.80M $819.20M
Total assets Year-end reported balance $15.29B $14.20B
Shareholders’ equity Year-end reported balance $10.51B $9.55B
Net margin Net income ÷ revenue 14.63% 14.45%
Asset turnover Revenue ÷ total assets 0.4001x 0.3993x
Equity multiplier Total assets ÷ shareholders’ equity 1.4538x 1.4871x
ROE Net margin × asset turnover × equity multiplier 8.51% 8.58%

Source: Yahoo Finance annual statements. Values are based on the two latest comparable annual periods returned by the source; fiscal period labels use the statement period-end year.

2.5 FCFF DCF Valuation

Valuation basis: This research model follows a five-year, unlevered FCFF DCF. It starts from reported annual operating inputs, forecasts revenue and operating cash conversion under an explicit mechanical policy, discounts FCFF at WACC, applies a Gordon-growth terminal value, and bridges enterprise value to an indicative common-equity value per share. It is an analytical estimate rather than a recommendation or personalised target price.

Step 1 — Forecast Operating Profit and NOPAT

Reported operating input Value
Revenue $6.12B
Prior annual revenue $5.67B
EBIT $1.15B
Tax rate 18.20%
NOPAT = EBIT × (1 − tax rate) $944.05M
Forecast start-growth basis 7.86%
Forecast policy latest reported annual revenue growth, bounded to -10.00% / 15.00%

Step 2 — Calculate FCFF

Current FCFF building block Value
NOPAT $944.05M
Add: depreciation & amortisation $336.30M
Less: capital expenditure -$117.30M
Less/(add): working-capital cash-flow movement -$65.30M
Current unlevered FCFF $1.10B

Explicit FCFF forecast

Forecast year Revenue growth NOPAT D&A Capex Change in NWC FCFF Present value
1 7.86% $1.02B $362.72M -$126.51M -$70.43M $1.18B $1.13B
2 6.52% $1.08B $386.35M -$197.66M -$75.02M $1.20B $1.05B
3 5.18% $1.14B $406.36M -$274.05M -$78.90M $1.19B $959.47M
4 3.84% $1.18B $421.96M -$353.26M -$81.93M $1.17B $862.25M
5 2.50% $1.21B $432.51M -$432.51M -$83.98M $1.13B $762.25M

Step 3 — Determine the Discount Rate (WACC)

WACC input Value
Risk-free rate 4.71%
Equity risk premium assumption 5.50%
Beta 0.92
Cost of equity 9.77%
Pre-tax cost of debt 2.19%
WACC 9.15%
WACC validation within standard range

Step 4 — Estimate Terminal Value

Terminal-value input Value
Perpetuity growth rate 2.50%
Terminal value $17.43B
Implied terminal EV / EBITDA 9.09x
Terminal value as % of enterprise value 70.24%

Step 5 — Discount Cash Flows to Enterprise Value

Enterprise-value component Value
Present value of explicit FCFF $4.77B
Present value of terminal value $11.25B
Indicated enterprise value $16.02B
Discounting convention mid-year for explicit FCFF; terminal value discounted at year-end five

Step 6 — Convert Enterprise Value to Equity Value

Equity bridge Value
Indicated enterprise value $16.02B
Less: gross interest-bearing debt $2.64B
Add: cash and equivalents $352.40M
Add: affiliate investments $0.00
Less: minority interests $0.00
Indicated common equity value $13.73B

Step 7 — Calculate Indicative Value Per Share

Per-share output Value
Shares used 47,400,000.00
Share-count basis reported diluted weighted-average shares
Current market price $669.22
DCF indicative value per share $289.69
Indicative value vs. market price -56.71%

Model Integrity Checks

Check Result
Perpetuity growth is below the risk-free rate pass
Perpetuity growth is below WACC pass
WACC is within the configured operating-company range pass
Terminal-year FCFF is positive pass
Terminal capex converges to D&A pass
Terminal-value concentration within review band
Implied price differs from spot by more than 30% review required

2.6 Investor-Style Research Screen

Educational screen Result
Buffett-inspired cash-quality checks 4/4 evidenced checks
Lynch-inspired balance-and-growth checks 4/4 evidenced checks

Data lineage: Yahoo Finance public market and reported-statement data; retrieval timestamp: 2026-08-18 17:50:19.138955 UTC; latest reported fiscal period: 2025-12-31 00:00:00. Default assumptions: five-year forecast, mid-year discounting for explicit FCFF, a maximum 2.50% perpetuity-growth rate below both WACC and the risk-free rate, historical operating-ratio persistence, and capex convergence to D&A by year five. No sell-side consensus or management guidance is substituted for reported inputs. This is research and analysis only, not personalized financial advice.

2.7 Quantitative Factor Diagnostics

Model basis: Daily issuer USD excess returns are regressed in-sample using ordinary least squares on matching regional Fama–French factors. FF3 estimates market, size, and value loadings; FF5 adds profitability and investment. Coefficients are descriptive historical exposures, not predictions.

Estimation input Value
Regional factor set US
Factor-return currency USD
Issuer-return basis USD adjusted total return
Estimation window 2025-08-19 to 2026-06-30
Aligned daily observations 217
Minimum observation requirement 120
Currency conversion for HK listings not required

Fama–French Three-Factor and Five-Factor Results

Diagnostic FF3 FF5
Annualised alpha -4.28% -7.49%
Adjusted R² 0.36 0.39
Annualised residual volatility 21.22% 20.66%
Factor loading (t-statistic) FF3 FF5
Market excess return (Mkt-RF) 1.13 (9.02) 1.09 (7.75)
Size (SMB) 0.49 (2.93) 0.27 (1.54)
Value (HML) 0.39 (2.67) 0.17 (0.96)
Profitability (RMW) NM -0.36 (-2.40)
Investment (CMA) NM 0.73 (2.85)

Definitions: Mkt-RF is the market return less the risk-free rate; SMB is small minus big; HML is high minus low book-to-market; RMW is robust minus weak profitability; CMA is conservative minus aggressive investment. Factor returns are sourced from the Kenneth R. French Data Library; issuer adjusted-return history is sourced from Yahoo Finance. For Hong Kong listings, adjusted HKD prices are converted into USD with daily USD/HKD closes before return calculation to match the USD regional factor basis. This is an in-sample historical regression; coefficients and t-statistics do not establish causation or predict future returns. This is research and analysis only, not personalized financial advice.

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