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HK Equities · Finance research note

HKEX 0483 - Bauhaus International (Holdings) Ltd.

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Evidence and analysis

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2. Company Fundamentals

2.3 Management

Role Metric
Consensus Rating N/A

2.4 Return

Metric Value
Expected Return (Ann.)* 12.87%
Risk / Std Dev (Ann.)* 51.92%
1-Year Price Return* -0.99%

Latest Market Data (as of 2026-08-06, Hong Kong time):

Metric Value
Last Price HK$0.2
52-Week Range HK$0.155 – HK$0.38
Observation Count 245 trading days

The return and risk statistics use daily adjusted closes from the retrieved one-year price series and annualise daily moments using 252 trading days. The last price is the latest regular-market price reported for the stated date. Source: Yahoo Finance market data.

DuPont Model Analysis

The DuPont model decomposes return on equity (ROE) into three operating and capital-structure drivers:

ROE = Net Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

The comparison uses the latest two comparable annual periods available for the issuer, with reported statement amounts shown in HK$. Revenue and net income are income-statement flows; total assets and shareholders’ equity are year-end balance-sheet figures. This is a simplified year-end-balance DuPont comparison rather than an average-balance ROE calculation.

DuPont component Calculation FY2026 FY2025
Revenue Reported revenue HK$177.18M HK$194.50M
Net income Reported net income HK$-3.03M HK$11.67M
Total assets Year-end reported balance HK$231.32M HK$235.57M
Shareholders’ equity Year-end reported balance HK$172.88M HK$175.74M
Net margin Net income ÷ revenue -1.71% 6.00%
Asset turnover Revenue ÷ total assets 0.7660x 0.8257x
Equity multiplier Total assets ÷ shareholders’ equity 1.3381x 1.3405x
ROE Net margin × asset turnover × equity multiplier -1.76% 6.64%

Source: Yahoo Finance annual statements. Values are based on the two latest comparable annual periods returned by the source; fiscal period labels use the statement period-end year.

2.5 FCFF DCF Valuation

Valuation basis: This research model follows a five-year, unlevered FCFF DCF. It starts from reported annual operating inputs, forecasts revenue and operating cash conversion under an explicit mechanical policy, discounts FCFF at WACC, applies a Gordon-growth terminal value, and bridges enterprise value to an indicative common-equity value per share. It is an analytical estimate rather than a recommendation or personalised target price.

Step 1 — Forecast Operating Profit and NOPAT

Reported operating input Value
Revenue HK$177.18M
Prior annual revenue HK$194.50M
EBIT HK$50,000.00
Tax rate 1.20%
NOPAT = EBIT × (1 − tax rate) HK$49,400.00
Forecast start-growth basis -8.90%
Forecast policy latest reported annual revenue growth, bounded to -10.00% / 15.00%

Step 2 — Calculate FCFF

Current FCFF building block Value
NOPAT HK$49,400.00
Add: depreciation & amortisation HK$42.15M
Less: capital expenditure -HK$13.94M
Less/(add): working-capital cash-flow movement HK$6.41M
Current unlevered FCFF HK$34.67M

Explicit FCFF forecast

Forecast year Revenue growth NOPAT D&A Capex Change in NWC FCFF Present value
1 -8.90% HK$45,001.75 HK$38.40M -HK$12.70M HK$5.84M HK$31.58M HK$30.79M
2 -6.05% HK$42,278.02 HK$36.08M -HK$17.97M HK$5.49M HK$23.64M HK$21.89M
3 -3.20% HK$40,924.41 HK$34.92M -HK$23.24M HK$5.31M HK$17.04M HK$14.99M
4 -0.35% HK$40,780.84 HK$34.80M -HK$28.98M HK$5.29M HK$11.16M HK$9.33M
5 2.50% HK$41,800.36 HK$35.67M -HK$35.67M HK$5.43M HK$5.47M HK$4.34M

Step 3 — Determine the Discount Rate (WACC)

WACC input Value
Risk-free rate 4.71%
Equity risk premium assumption 5.50%
Beta -0.06
Cost of equity 4.37%
Pre-tax cost of debt 6.75%
WACC 5.25%
WACC validation requires assumption review

Step 4 — Estimate Terminal Value

Terminal-value input Value
Perpetuity growth rate 2.50%
Terminal value HK$204.09M
Implied terminal EV / EBITDA 5.72x
Terminal value as % of enterprise value 66.02%

Step 5 — Discount Cash Flows to Enterprise Value

Enterprise-value component Value
Present value of explicit FCFF HK$81.34M
Present value of terminal value HK$158.05M
Indicated enterprise value HK$239.39M
Discounting convention mid-year for explicit FCFF; terminal value discounted at year-end five

Step 6 — Convert Enterprise Value to Equity Value

Equity bridge Value
Indicated enterprise value HK$239.39M
Less: gross interest-bearing debt HK$45.08M
Add: cash and equivalents HK$98.68M
Add: affiliate investments HK$0.00
Less: minority interests HK$0.00
Indicated common equity value HK$292.98M

Step 7 — Calculate Indicative Value Per Share

Per-share output Value
Shares used 367,380,000.00
Share-count basis reported shares outstanding; option/RSU dilution data not separately available
Current market price HK$0.20
DCF indicative value per share HK$0.80
Indicative value vs. market price 298.75%

Model Integrity Checks

Check Result
Perpetuity growth is below the risk-free rate pass
Perpetuity growth is below WACC pass
WACC is within the configured operating-company range review required
Terminal-year FCFF is positive pass
Terminal capex converges to D&A pass
Terminal-value concentration within review band
Implied price differs from spot by more than 30% review required

2.6 Investor-Style Research Screen

Educational screen Result
Buffett-inspired cash-quality checks 4/4 evidenced checks
Lynch-inspired balance-and-growth checks 4/4 evidenced checks

Data lineage: Yahoo Finance public market and reported-statement data; retrieval timestamp: 2026-08-18 16:24:32.808576 UTC; latest reported fiscal period: 2026-03-31 00:00:00. Default assumptions: five-year forecast, mid-year discounting for explicit FCFF, a maximum 2.50% perpetuity-growth rate below both WACC and the risk-free rate, historical operating-ratio persistence, and capex convergence to D&A by year five. No sell-side consensus or management guidance is substituted for reported inputs. This is research and analysis only, not personalized financial advice.

2.7 Quantitative Factor Diagnostics

Model basis: Daily issuer USD excess returns are regressed in-sample using ordinary least squares on matching regional Fama–French factors. FF3 estimates market, size, and value loadings; FF5 adds profitability and investment. Coefficients are descriptive historical exposures, not predictions.

Estimation input Value
Regional factor set Asia Pacific ex Japan
Factor-return currency USD
Issuer-return basis USD adjusted total return
Estimation window 2025-08-20 to 2026-06-30
Aligned daily observations 210
Minimum observation requirement 120
Currency conversion for HK listings HKD adjusted close divided by daily USD/HKD close before simple daily return calculation

Fama–French Three-Factor and Five-Factor Results

Diagnostic FF3 FF5
Annualised alpha -21.96% -16.55%
Adjusted R² -0.01 -0.01
Annualised residual volatility 52.32% 52.08%
Factor loading (t-statistic) FF3 FF5
Market excess return (Mkt-RF) 0.28 (0.94) 0.14 (0.44)
Size (SMB) 0.15 (0.33) -0.29 (-0.52)
Value (HML) 0.17 (0.40) 0.14 (0.30)
Profitability (RMW) NM -0.47 (-0.80)
Investment (CMA) NM -0.76 (-1.15)

Definitions: Mkt-RF is the market return less the risk-free rate; SMB is small minus big; HML is high minus low book-to-market; RMW is robust minus weak profitability; CMA is conservative minus aggressive investment. Factor returns are sourced from the Kenneth R. French Data Library; issuer adjusted-return history is sourced from Yahoo Finance. For Hong Kong listings, adjusted HKD prices are converted into USD with daily USD/HKD closes before return calculation to match the USD regional factor basis. This is an in-sample historical regression; coefficients and t-statistics do not establish causation or predict future returns. This is research and analysis only, not personalized financial advice.

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