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US Equities · Finance research note

DASH — DoorDash

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2. Company Fundamentals

2.1 Competitiveness

Metric Value
Operating Margins 5.25%
Profit Margins 6.29%
Return on Equity 9.92%
Return on Assets 3.31%
Free Float 0.37B
Short Int % Utilisation 4.27%

2.2 Growth

Metric Value
Revenue Growth 33.1%
Free Cash Flow 2.3B
EBITDA 47.08 (Ratio)
Enterprise Value 63.56B
EV/Revenue 4.32
EV/EBITDA 47.08

Revenue growth of 33.1% places the company in a high-growth category.

2.3 Management

Role Metric
Consensus Rating N/A

2.4 Return

Metric Value
Expected Return (Ann.)* -2.28%
Risk / Std Dev (Ann.)* 46.97%
1-Year Price Return* -12.49%

Latest Market Data (as of 2026-08-14, US Eastern time):

Metric Value
Last Price $217.02
52-Week Range $143.30 – $285.50
Observation Count 251 trading days

The return and risk statistics use daily adjusted closes from the retrieved one-year series and annualise daily moments using 252 trading days. The last price is the latest regular-market price reported for the stated date. Source: Yahoo Finance market data.

DuPont Model Analysis

The DuPont model decomposes return on equity (ROE) into three operating and capital-structure drivers:

ROE = Net Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

The comparison uses the latest two comparable annual periods available for the issuer, with reported statement amounts shown in US$. Revenue and net income are income-statement flows; total assets and shareholders’ equity are year-end balance-sheet figures. This is a simplified year-end-balance DuPont comparison rather than an average-balance ROE calculation.

DuPont component Calculation FY2025 FY2024
Revenue Reported revenue $13.72B $10.72B
Net income Reported net income $935.00M $123.00M
Total assets Year-end reported balance $19.66B $12.85B
Shareholders’ equity Year-end reported balance $10.03B $7.80B
Net margin Net income ÷ revenue 6.82% 1.15%
Asset turnover Revenue ÷ total assets 0.6977x 0.8347x
Equity multiplier Total assets ÷ shareholders’ equity 1.9594x 1.6462x
ROE Net margin × asset turnover × equity multiplier 9.32% 1.58%

Source: Yahoo Finance annual statements. Values are based on the two latest comparable annual periods returned by the source; fiscal period labels use the statement period-end year.

2.5 FCFF DCF Valuation

Valuation basis: This research model follows a five-year, unlevered FCFF DCF. It starts from reported annual operating inputs, forecasts revenue and operating cash conversion under an explicit mechanical policy, discounts FCFF at WACC, applies a Gordon-growth terminal value, and bridges enterprise value to an indicative common-equity value per share. It is an analytical estimate rather than a recommendation or personalised target price.

Step 1 — Forecast Operating Profit and NOPAT

Reported operating input Value
Revenue $13.72B
Prior annual revenue $10.72B
EBIT $725.00M
Tax rate 0.75%
NOPAT = EBIT × (1 − tax rate) $719.60M
Forecast start-growth basis 15.00%
Forecast policy latest reported annual revenue growth, bounded to -10.00% / 15.00%

Step 2 — Calculate FCFF

Current FCFF building block Value
NOPAT $719.60M
Add: depreciation & amortisation $747.00M
Less: capital expenditure -$605.00M
Less/(add): working-capital cash-flow movement -$400.00M
Current unlevered FCFF $461.60M

Explicit FCFF forecast

Forecast year Revenue growth NOPAT D&A Capex Change in NWC FCFF Present value
1 15.00% $827.53M $859.05M -$695.75M -$460.00M $530.83M $496.69M
2 11.88% $925.80M $961.06M -$824.04M -$514.62M $548.20M $449.08M
3 8.75% $1.01B $1.05B -$945.82M -$559.65M $546.50M $391.95M
4 5.62% $1.06B $1.10B -$1.05B -$591.14M $524.77M $329.51M
5 2.50% $1.09B $1.13B -$1.13B -$605.91M $484.12M $266.14M

Step 3 — Determine the Discount Rate (WACC)

WACC input Value
Risk-free rate 4.71%
Equity risk premium assumption 5.50%
Beta 1.77
Cost of equity 14.45%
Pre-tax cost of debt 7.71%
WACC 14.22%
WACC validation within standard range

Step 4 — Estimate Terminal Value

Terminal-value input Value
Perpetuity growth rate 2.50%
Terminal value $4.23B
Implied terminal EV / EBITDA 1.90x
Terminal value as % of enterprise value 52.97%

Step 5 — Discount Cash Flows to Enterprise Value

Enterprise-value component Value
Present value of explicit FCFF $1.93B
Present value of terminal value $2.18B
Indicated enterprise value $4.11B
Discounting convention mid-year for explicit FCFF; terminal value discounted at year-end five

Step 6 — Convert Enterprise Value to Equity Value

Equity bridge Value
Indicated enterprise value $4.11B
Less: gross interest-bearing debt $3.29B
Add: cash and equivalents $5.51B
Add: affiliate investments $0.00
Less: minority interests $13.00M
Indicated common equity value $6.31B

Step 7 — Calculate Indicative Value Per Share

Per-share output Value
Shares used 439,686,000.00
Share-count basis reported diluted weighted-average shares
Current market price $218.45
DCF indicative value per share $14.36
Indicative value vs. market price -93.43%

Model Integrity Checks

Check Result
Perpetuity growth is below the risk-free rate pass
Perpetuity growth is below WACC pass
WACC is within the configured operating-company range pass
Terminal-year FCFF is positive pass
Terminal capex converges to D&A pass
Terminal-value concentration within review band
Implied price differs from spot by more than 30% review required

2.6 Investor-Style Research Screen

Educational screen Result
Buffett-inspired cash-quality checks 3/4 evidenced checks
Lynch-inspired balance-and-growth checks 4/4 evidenced checks

Data lineage: Yahoo Finance public market and reported-statement data; retrieval timestamp: 2026-08-18 17:29:27.137025 UTC; latest reported fiscal period: 2025-12-31 00:00:00. Default assumptions: five-year forecast, mid-year discounting for explicit FCFF, a maximum 2.50% perpetuity-growth rate below both WACC and the risk-free rate, historical operating-ratio persistence, and capex convergence to D&A by year five. No sell-side consensus or management guidance is substituted for reported inputs. This is research and analysis only, not personalized financial advice.

2.7 Quantitative Factor Diagnostics

Model basis: Daily issuer USD excess returns are regressed in-sample using ordinary least squares on matching regional Fama–French factors. FF3 estimates market, size, and value loadings; FF5 adds profitability and investment. Coefficients are descriptive historical exposures, not predictions.

Estimation input Value
Regional factor set US
Factor-return currency USD
Issuer-return basis USD adjusted total return
Estimation window 2025-08-19 to 2026-06-30
Aligned daily observations 217
Minimum observation requirement 120
Currency conversion for HK listings not required

Fama–French Three-Factor and Five-Factor Results

Diagnostic FF3 FF5
Annualised alpha -24.18% -27.59%
Adjusted R² 0.23 0.23
Annualised residual volatility 41.37% 41.32%
Factor loading (t-statistic) FF3 FF5
Market excess return (Mkt-RF) 0.99 (4.05) 0.89 (3.17)
Size (SMB) 0.68 (2.07) 0.69 (1.94)
Value (HML) -1.22 (-4.32) -1.11 (-3.17)
Profitability (RMW) NM -0.16 (-0.53)
Investment (CMA) NM -0.20 (-0.39)

Definitions: Mkt-RF is the market return less the risk-free rate; SMB is small minus big; HML is high minus low book-to-market; RMW is robust minus weak profitability; CMA is conservative minus aggressive investment. Factor returns are sourced from the Kenneth R. French Data Library; issuer adjusted-return history is sourced from Yahoo Finance. For Hong Kong listings, adjusted HKD prices are converted into USD with daily USD/HKD closes before return calculation to match the USD regional factor basis. This is an in-sample historical regression; coefficients and t-statistics do not establish causation or predict future returns. This is research and analysis only, not personalized financial advice.

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