US Equities Analysis

EMR — Emerson Electric

Research evidence pack

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2. Company Fundamentals

2.1 Competitiveness

Metric Value
Operating Margins 24.24%
Profit Margins 13.35%
Return on Equity 12.33%
Return on Assets 6.68%
Free Float 0.56B
Dividend Yield 1.55%
Short Int % Utilisation 2.3%

2.2 Growth

Metric Value
Revenue Growth 2.9%
Free Cash Flow 3.27B
EBITDA 15.16 (Ratio)
Enterprise Value 89.08B
EV/Revenue 4.86
EV/EBITDA 15.16

Revenue growth of 2.9% suggests mature or challenged top-line momentum.

2.3 Management

Role Metric
Consensus Rating N/A

2.4 Return

Metric Value
Expected Return (Ann.)* 32.56%
Risk / Std Dev (Ann.)* 32.40%
1-Year Price Return* 25.37%

Latest Market Data (as of 2026-08-14, US Eastern time):

Metric Value
Last Price $163.17
52-Week Range $122.64 – $166.35
Observation Count 249 trading days

The return and risk statistics use daily adjusted closes from the retrieved one-year series and annualise daily moments using 252 trading days. The last price is the latest regular-market price reported for the stated date. Source: Yahoo Finance market data.

2.5 FCFF DCF Valuation

Valuation basis: This research model follows a five-year, unlevered FCFF DCF. It starts from reported annual operating inputs, forecasts revenue and operating cash conversion under an explicit mechanical policy, discounts FCFF at WACC, applies a Gordon-growth terminal value, and bridges enterprise value to an indicative common-equity value per share. It is an analytical estimate rather than a recommendation or personalised target price.

Step 1 — Forecast Operating Profit and NOPAT

Reported operating input Value
Revenue $18.02B
Prior annual revenue $17.49B
EBIT $3.32B
Tax rate 23.70%
NOPAT = EBIT × (1 − tax rate) $2.53B
Forecast start-growth basis 3.00%
Forecast policy latest reported annual revenue growth, bounded to -10.00% / 15.00%

Step 2 — Calculate FCFF

Current FCFF building block Value
NOPAT $2.53B
Add: depreciation & amortisation $1.52B
Less: capital expenditure -$431.00M
Less/(add): working-capital cash-flow movement -$9.00M
Current unlevered FCFF $3.61B

Explicit FCFF forecast

Forecast year Revenue growth NOPAT D&A Capex Change in NWC FCFF Present value
1 3.00% $2.61B $1.56B -$443.91M -$9.27M $3.72B $3.54B
2 2.87% $2.68B $1.61B -$744.59M -$9.54M $3.54B $3.05B
3 2.75% $2.76B $1.65B -$1.06B -$9.80M $3.34B $2.61B
4 2.62% $2.83B $1.70B -$1.39B -$10.05M $3.12B $2.22B
5 2.50% $2.90B $1.74B -$1.74B -$10.31M $2.89B $1.86B

Step 3 — Determine the Discount Rate (WACC)

WACC input Value
Risk-free rate 4.71%
Equity risk premium assumption 5.50%
Beta 1.24
Cost of equity 11.50%
Pre-tax cost of debt 3.50%
WACC 10.31%
WACC validation within standard range

Step 4 — Estimate Terminal Value

Terminal-value input Value
Perpetuity growth rate 2.50%
Terminal value $37.92B
Implied terminal EV / EBITDA 6.84x
Terminal value as % of enterprise value 63.60%

Step 5 — Discount Cash Flows to Enterprise Value

Enterprise-value component Value
Present value of explicit FCFF $13.28B
Present value of terminal value $23.21B
Indicated enterprise value $36.50B
Discounting convention mid-year for explicit FCFF; terminal value discounted at year-end five

Step 6 — Convert Enterprise Value to Equity Value

Equity bridge Value
Indicated enterprise value $36.50B
Less: gross interest-bearing debt $13.76B
Add: cash and equivalents $1.54B
Add: affiliate investments $0.00
Less: minority interests $16.00M
Indicated common equity value $24.27B

Step 7 — Calculate Indicative Value Per Share

Per-share output Value
Shares used 566,700,000.00
Share-count basis reported diluted weighted-average shares
Current market price $158.49
DCF indicative value per share $42.82
Indicative value vs. market price -72.98%

Model Integrity Checks

Check Result
Perpetuity growth is below the risk-free rate pass
Perpetuity growth is below WACC pass
WACC is within the configured operating-company range pass
Terminal-year FCFF is positive pass
Terminal capex converges to D&A pass
Terminal-value concentration within review band
Implied price differs from spot by more than 30% review required

2.6 Investor-Style Research Screen

Educational screen Result
Buffett-inspired cash-quality checks 4/4 evidenced checks
Lynch-inspired balance-and-growth checks 4/4 evidenced checks

Data lineage: Yahoo Finance public market and reported-statement data; retrieval timestamp: 2026-08-18 17:31:45.954219 UTC; latest reported fiscal period: 2025-09-30 00:00:00. Default assumptions: five-year forecast, mid-year discounting for explicit FCFF, a maximum 2.50% perpetuity-growth rate below both WACC and the risk-free rate, historical operating-ratio persistence, and capex convergence to D&A by year five. No sell-side consensus or management guidance is substituted for reported inputs. This is research and analysis only, not personalized financial advice.

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