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US Equities · Finance research note

ETN — Eaton Corporation

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2. Company Fundamentals

2.1 Competitiveness

Metric Value
Operating Margins 16.1%
Profit Margins 13.99%
Return on Equity 20.84%
Return on Assets 7.02%
Free Float 0.39B
Dividend Yield 1.05%
Short Int % Utilisation 2.52%

2.2 Growth

Metric Value
Revenue Growth 16.8%
Free Cash Flow 2.65B
EBITDA 26.32 (Ratio)
Enterprise Value 166.92B
EV/Revenue 5.85
EV/EBITDA 26.32

Revenue growth of 16.8% indicates steady, moderate expansion.

2.3 Management

Role Metric
Consensus Rating N/A

2.4 Return

Metric Value
Expected Return (Ann.)* 39.84%
Risk / Std Dev (Ann.)* 37.58%
1-Year Price Return* 30.06%

Latest Market Data (as of 2026-08-14, US Eastern time):

Metric Value
Last Price $451.51
52-Week Range $311.92 – $478.00
Observation Count 251 trading days

The return and risk statistics use daily adjusted closes from the retrieved one-year series and annualise daily moments using 252 trading days. The last price is the latest regular-market price reported for the stated date. Source: Yahoo Finance market data.

DuPont Model Analysis

The DuPont model decomposes return on equity (ROE) into three operating and capital-structure drivers:

ROE = Net Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

The comparison uses the latest two comparable annual periods available for the issuer, with reported statement amounts shown in US$. Revenue and net income are income-statement flows; total assets and shareholders’ equity are year-end balance-sheet figures. This is a simplified year-end-balance DuPont comparison rather than an average-balance ROE calculation.

DuPont component Calculation FY2025 FY2024
Revenue Reported revenue $27.45B $24.88B
Net income Reported net income $4.09B $3.79B
Total assets Year-end reported balance $41.25B $38.38B
Shareholders’ equity Year-end reported balance $19.43B $18.49B
Net margin Net income ÷ revenue 14.89% 15.25%
Asset turnover Revenue ÷ total assets 0.6654x 0.6482x
Equity multiplier Total assets ÷ shareholders’ equity 2.1236x 2.0760x
ROE Net margin × asset turnover × equity multiplier 21.04% 20.52%

Source: Yahoo Finance annual statements. Values are based on the two latest comparable annual periods returned by the source; fiscal period labels use the statement period-end year.

2.5 FCFF DCF Valuation

Valuation basis: This research model follows a five-year, unlevered FCFF DCF. It starts from reported annual operating inputs, forecasts revenue and operating cash conversion under an explicit mechanical policy, discounts FCFF at WACC, applies a Gordon-growth terminal value, and bridges enterprise value to an indicative common-equity value per share. It is an analytical estimate rather than a recommendation or personalised target price.

Step 1 — Forecast Operating Profit and NOPAT

Reported operating input Value
Revenue $27.45B
Prior annual revenue $24.88B
EBIT $5.17B
Tax rate 17.10%
NOPAT = EBIT × (1 − tax rate) $4.29B
Forecast start-growth basis 10.33%
Forecast policy latest reported annual revenue growth, bounded to -10.00% / 15.00%

Step 2 — Calculate FCFF

Current FCFF building block Value
NOPAT $4.29B
Add: depreciation & amortisation $1.01B
Less: capital expenditure -$919.00M
Less/(add): working-capital cash-flow movement -$718.00M
Current unlevered FCFF $3.66B

Explicit FCFF forecast

Forecast year Revenue growth NOPAT D&A Capex Change in NWC FCFF Present value
1 10.33% $4.73B $1.11B -$1.01B -$792.17M $4.04B $3.84B
2 8.37% $5.13B $1.20B -$1.12B -$858.50M $4.35B $3.74B
3 6.42% $5.46B $1.28B -$1.22B -$913.57M $4.60B $3.57B
4 4.46% $5.70B $1.34B -$1.31B -$954.30M $4.77B $3.35B
5 2.50% $5.84B $1.37B -$1.37B -$978.15M $4.86B $3.09B

Step 3 — Determine the Discount Rate (WACC)

WACC input Value
Risk-free rate 4.71%
Equity risk premium assumption 5.50%
Beta 1.18
Cost of equity 11.19%
Pre-tax cost of debt 2.37%
WACC 10.64%
WACC validation within standard range

Step 4 — Estimate Terminal Value

Terminal-value input Value
Perpetuity growth rate 2.50%
Terminal value $61.26B
Implied terminal EV / EBITDA 7.28x
Terminal value as % of enterprise value 67.76%

Step 5 — Discount Cash Flows to Enterprise Value

Enterprise-value component Value
Present value of explicit FCFF $17.58B
Present value of terminal value $36.95B
Indicated enterprise value $54.53B
Discounting convention mid-year for explicit FCFF; terminal value discounted at year-end five

Step 6 — Convert Enterprise Value to Equity Value

Equity bridge Value
Indicated enterprise value $54.53B
Less: gross interest-bearing debt $10.53B
Add: cash and equivalents $803.00M
Add: affiliate investments $0.00
Less: minority interests $44.00M
Indicated common equity value $44.76B

Step 7 — Calculate Indicative Value Per Share

Per-share output Value
Shares used 391,200,000.00
Share-count basis reported diluted weighted-average shares
Current market price $430.63
DCF indicative value per share $114.41
Indicative value vs. market price -73.43%

Model Integrity Checks

Check Result
Perpetuity growth is below the risk-free rate pass
Perpetuity growth is below WACC pass
WACC is within the configured operating-company range pass
Terminal-year FCFF is positive pass
Terminal capex converges to D&A pass
Terminal-value concentration within review band
Implied price differs from spot by more than 30% review required

2.6 Investor-Style Research Screen

Educational screen Result
Buffett-inspired cash-quality checks 3/4 evidenced checks
Lynch-inspired balance-and-growth checks 4/4 evidenced checks

Data lineage: Yahoo Finance public market and reported-statement data; retrieval timestamp: 2026-08-18 17:32:22.614157 UTC; latest reported fiscal period: 2025-12-31 00:00:00. Default assumptions: five-year forecast, mid-year discounting for explicit FCFF, a maximum 2.50% perpetuity-growth rate below both WACC and the risk-free rate, historical operating-ratio persistence, and capex convergence to D&A by year five. No sell-side consensus or management guidance is substituted for reported inputs. This is research and analysis only, not personalized financial advice.

2.7 Quantitative Factor Diagnostics

Model basis: Daily issuer USD excess returns are regressed in-sample using ordinary least squares on matching regional Fama–French factors. FF3 estimates market, size, and value loadings; FF5 adds profitability and investment. Coefficients are descriptive historical exposures, not predictions.

Estimation input Value
Regional factor set US
Factor-return currency USD
Issuer-return basis USD adjusted total return
Estimation window 2025-08-19 to 2026-06-30
Aligned daily observations 217
Minimum observation requirement 120
Currency conversion for HK listings not required

Fama–French Three-Factor and Five-Factor Results

Diagnostic FF3 FF5
Annualised alpha -6.44% -17.01%
Adjusted R² 0.35 0.38
Annualised residual volatility 28.70% 27.98%
Factor loading (t-statistic) FF3 FF5
Market excess return (Mkt-RF) 1.73 (10.24) 1.50 (7.93)
Size (SMB) -0.27 (-1.16) -0.48 (-2.00)
Value (HML) 0.37 (1.88) 0.35 (1.48)
Profitability (RMW) NM -0.66 (-3.29)
Investment (CMA) NM 0.40 (1.15)

Definitions: Mkt-RF is the market return less the risk-free rate; SMB is small minus big; HML is high minus low book-to-market; RMW is robust minus weak profitability; CMA is conservative minus aggressive investment. Factor returns are sourced from the Kenneth R. French Data Library; issuer adjusted-return history is sourced from Yahoo Finance. For Hong Kong listings, adjusted HKD prices are converted into USD with daily USD/HKD closes before return calculation to match the USD regional factor basis. This is an in-sample historical regression; coefficients and t-statistics do not establish causation or predict future returns. This is research and analysis only, not personalized financial advice.

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