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EVRG — Evergy

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2. Company Fundamentals

2.1 Competitiveness

Metric Value
Operating Margins 21.92%
Profit Margins 14.63%
Return on Equity 8.87%
Return on Assets 2.9%
Free Float 0.23B
Dividend Yield 3.21%
Short Int % Utilisation 7.54%

2.2 Growth

Metric Value
Revenue Growth 5.0%
Free Cash Flow -1.1B
EBITDA 12.56 (Ratio)
Enterprise Value 35.0B
EV/Revenue 5.8
EV/EBITDA 12.56

Revenue growth of 5.0% suggests mature or challenged top-line momentum.

2.3 Management

Role Metric
Consensus Rating N/A

2.4 Return

Metric Value
Expected Return (Ann.)* 22.71%
Risk / Std Dev (Ann.)* 16.00%
1-Year Price Return* 20.97%

Latest Market Data (as of 2026-08-14, US Eastern time):

Metric Value
Last Price $84.03
52-Week Range $70.42 – $88.62
Observation Count 251 trading days

The return and risk statistics use daily adjusted closes from the retrieved one-year series and annualise daily moments using 252 trading days. The last price is the latest regular-market price reported for the stated date. Source: Yahoo Finance market data.

DuPont Model Analysis

The DuPont model decomposes return on equity (ROE) into three operating and capital-structure drivers:

ROE = Net Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

The comparison uses the latest two comparable annual periods available for the issuer, with reported statement amounts shown in US$. Revenue and net income are income-statement flows; total assets and shareholders’ equity are year-end balance-sheet figures. This is a simplified year-end-balance DuPont comparison rather than an average-balance ROE calculation.

DuPont component Calculation FY2025 FY2024
Revenue Reported revenue $5.96B $5.85B
Net income Reported net income $855.60M $873.50M
Total assets Year-end reported balance $33.95B $32.28B
Shareholders’ equity Year-end reported balance $10.22B $9.96B
Net margin Net income ÷ revenue 14.35% 14.94%
Asset turnover Revenue ÷ total assets 0.1756x 0.1811x
Equity multiplier Total assets ÷ shareholders’ equity 3.3213x 3.2428x
ROE Net margin × asset turnover × equity multiplier 8.37% 8.77%

Source: Yahoo Finance annual statements. Values are based on the two latest comparable annual periods returned by the source; fiscal period labels use the statement period-end year.

2.5 FCFF DCF Valuation

Valuation basis: This research model follows a five-year, unlevered FCFF DCF. It starts from reported annual operating inputs, forecasts revenue and operating cash conversion under an explicit mechanical policy, discounts FCFF at WACC, applies a Gordon-growth terminal value, and bridges enterprise value to an indicative common-equity value per share. It is an analytical estimate rather than a recommendation or personalised target price.

Step 1 — Forecast Operating Profit and NOPAT

Reported operating input Value
Revenue $5.96B
Prior annual revenue $5.85B
EBIT $1.51B
Tax rate 3.30%
NOPAT = EBIT × (1 − tax rate) $1.46B
Forecast start-growth basis 1.95%
Forecast policy latest reported annual revenue growth, bounded to -10.00% / 15.00%

Step 2 — Calculate FCFF

Current FCFF building block Value
NOPAT $1.46B
Add: depreciation & amortisation $1.22B
Less: capital expenditure -$2.80B
Less/(add): working-capital cash-flow movement -$119.30M
Current unlevered FCFF -$240.54M

Explicit FCFF forecast

Forecast year Revenue growth NOPAT D&A Capex Change in NWC FCFF Present value
1 1.95% $1.49B $1.24B -$2.85B -$121.63M -$245.24M -$238.18M
2 2.09% $1.52B $1.27B -$2.50B -$124.18M $160.46M $146.99M
3 2.23% $1.55B $1.30B -$2.14B -$126.94M $584.01M $504.65M
4 2.36% $1.59B $1.33B -$1.76B -$129.94M $1.03B $837.66M
5 2.50% $1.63B $1.36B -$1.36B -$133.19M $1.49B $1.15B

Step 3 — Determine the Discount Rate (WACC)

WACC input Value
Risk-free rate 4.71%
Equity risk premium assumption 5.50%
Beta 0.52
Cost of equity 7.54%
Pre-tax cost of debt 4.21%
WACC 6.02%
WACC validation requires assumption review

Step 4 — Estimate Terminal Value

Terminal-value input Value
Perpetuity growth rate 2.50%
Terminal value $43.55B
Implied terminal EV / EBITDA 14.31x
Terminal value as % of enterprise value 93.13%

Step 5 — Discount Cash Flows to Enterprise Value

Enterprise-value component Value
Present value of explicit FCFF $2.40B
Present value of terminal value $32.51B
Indicated enterprise value $34.91B
Discounting convention mid-year for explicit FCFF; terminal value discounted at year-end five

Step 6 — Convert Enterprise Value to Equity Value

Equity bridge Value
Indicated enterprise value $34.91B
Less: gross interest-bearing debt $15.20B
Add: cash and equivalents $19.80M
Add: affiliate investments $0.00
Less: minority interests $46.50M
Indicated common equity value $19.69B

Step 7 — Calculate Indicative Value Per Share

Per-share output Value
Shares used 233,600,000.00
Share-count basis reported diluted weighted-average shares
Current market price $83.94
DCF indicative value per share $84.27
Indicative value vs. market price 0.39%

Model Integrity Checks

Check Result
Perpetuity growth is below the risk-free rate pass
Perpetuity growth is below WACC pass
WACC is within the configured operating-company range review required
Terminal-year FCFF is positive pass
Terminal capex converges to D&A pass
Terminal-value concentration review required
Implied price differs from spot by more than 30% within review band

2.6 Investor-Style Research Screen

Educational screen Result
Buffett-inspired cash-quality checks 0/4 evidenced checks
Lynch-inspired balance-and-growth checks 1/4 evidenced checks

Data lineage: Yahoo Finance public market and reported-statement data; retrieval timestamp: 2026-08-18 17:32:33.171251 UTC; latest reported fiscal period: 2025-12-31 00:00:00. Default assumptions: five-year forecast, mid-year discounting for explicit FCFF, a maximum 2.50% perpetuity-growth rate below both WACC and the risk-free rate, historical operating-ratio persistence, and capex convergence to D&A by year five. No sell-side consensus or management guidance is substituted for reported inputs. This is research and analysis only, not personalized financial advice.

2.7 Quantitative Factor Diagnostics

Model basis: Daily issuer USD excess returns are regressed in-sample using ordinary least squares on matching regional Fama–French factors. FF3 estimates market, size, and value loadings; FF5 adds profitability and investment. Coefficients are descriptive historical exposures, not predictions.

Estimation input Value
Regional factor set US
Factor-return currency USD
Issuer-return basis USD adjusted total return
Estimation window 2025-08-19 to 2026-06-30
Aligned daily observations 217
Minimum observation requirement 120
Currency conversion for HK listings not required

Fama–French Three-Factor and Five-Factor Results

Diagnostic FF3 FF5
Annualised alpha 17.67% 21.24%
Adjusted R² 0.05 0.05
Annualised residual volatility 15.30% 15.24%
Factor loading (t-statistic) FF3 FF5
Market excess return (Mkt-RF) 0.02 (0.17) 0.08 (0.77)
Size (SMB) 0.19 (1.57) 0.19 (1.46)
Value (HML) 0.28 (2.68) 0.21 (1.65)
Profitability (RMW) NM 0.11 (0.99)
Investment (CMA) NM 0.11 (0.57)

Definitions: Mkt-RF is the market return less the risk-free rate; SMB is small minus big; HML is high minus low book-to-market; RMW is robust minus weak profitability; CMA is conservative minus aggressive investment. Factor returns are sourced from the Kenneth R. French Data Library; issuer adjusted-return history is sourced from Yahoo Finance. For Hong Kong listings, adjusted HKD prices are converted into USD with daily USD/HKD closes before return calculation to match the USD regional factor basis. This is an in-sample historical regression; coefficients and t-statistics do not establish causation or predict future returns. This is research and analysis only, not personalized financial advice.

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