US Equities Analysis

FCX — Freeport-McMoRan

Research evidence pack

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2. Company Fundamentals

2.1 Competitiveness

Metric Value
Operating Margins 31.07%
Profit Margins 10.34%
Return on Equity 15.63%
Return on Assets 7.77%
Free Float 1.43B
Dividend Yield 0.96%
Short Int % Utilisation 1.98%

2.2 Growth

Metric Value
Revenue Growth 8.8%
Free Cash Flow 1.71B
EBITDA 11.03 (Ratio)
Enterprise Value 107.91B
EV/Revenue 4.08
EV/EBITDA 11.03

Revenue growth of 8.8% indicates steady, moderate expansion.

2.3 Management

Role Metric
Consensus Rating N/A

2.4 Return

Metric Value
Expected Return (Ann.)* 80.84%
Risk / Std Dev (Ann.)* 50.06%
1-Year Price Return* 58.65%

Latest Market Data (as of 2026-08-14, US Eastern time):

Metric Value
Last Price $66.49
52-Week Range $35.15 – $72.28
Observation Count 251 trading days

The return and risk statistics use daily adjusted closes from the retrieved one-year series and annualise daily moments using 252 trading days. The last price is the latest regular-market price reported for the stated date. Source: Yahoo Finance market data.

2.5 FCFF DCF Valuation

Valuation basis: This research model follows a five-year, unlevered FCFF DCF. It starts from reported annual operating inputs, forecasts revenue and operating cash conversion under an explicit mechanical policy, discounts FCFF at WACC, applies a Gordon-growth terminal value, and bridges enterprise value to an indicative common-equity value per share. It is an analytical estimate rather than a recommendation or personalised target price.

Step 1 — Forecast Operating Profit and NOPAT

Reported operating input Value
Revenue $25.91B
Prior annual revenue $25.45B
EBIT $6.74B
Tax rate 34.86%
NOPAT = EBIT × (1 − tax rate) $4.39B
Forecast start-growth basis 1.81%
Forecast policy latest reported annual revenue growth, bounded to -10.00% / 15.00%

Step 2 — Calculate FCFF

Current FCFF building block Value
NOPAT $4.39B
Add: depreciation & amortisation $2.24B
Less: capital expenditure -$4.49B
Less/(add): working-capital cash-flow movement -$1.34B
Current unlevered FCFF $803.38M

Explicit FCFF forecast

Forecast year Revenue growth NOPAT D&A Capex Change in NWC FCFF Present value
1 1.81% $4.47B $2.28B -$4.58B -$1.36B $817.90M $775.33M
2 1.98% $4.56B $2.33B -$4.08B -$1.39B $1.42B $1.21B
3 2.15% $4.66B $2.38B -$3.57B -$1.42B $2.05B $1.57B
4 2.33% $4.77B $2.44B -$3.05B -$1.45B $2.70B $1.86B
5 2.50% $4.88B $2.50B -$2.50B -$1.49B $3.40B $2.10B

Step 3 — Determine the Discount Rate (WACC)

WACC input Value
Risk-free rate 4.71%
Equity risk premium assumption 5.50%
Beta 1.38
Cost of equity 12.30%
Pre-tax cost of debt 3.65%
WACC 11.28%
WACC validation within standard range

Step 4 — Estimate Terminal Value

Terminal-value input Value
Perpetuity growth rate 2.50%
Terminal value $39.63B
Implied terminal EV / EBITDA 3.97x
Terminal value as % of enterprise value 75.57%

Step 5 — Discount Cash Flows to Enterprise Value

Enterprise-value component Value
Present value of explicit FCFF $7.51B
Present value of terminal value $23.22B
Indicated enterprise value $30.73B
Discounting convention mid-year for explicit FCFF; terminal value discounted at year-end five

Step 6 — Convert Enterprise Value to Equity Value

Equity bridge Value
Indicated enterprise value $30.73B
Less: gross interest-bearing debt $10.49B
Add: cash and equivalents $3.82B
Add: affiliate investments $0.00
Less: minority interests $11.87B
Indicated common equity value $12.19B

Step 7 — Calculate Indicative Value Per Share

Per-share output Value
Shares used 1,443,000,000.00
Share-count basis reported diluted weighted-average shares
Current market price $65.96
DCF indicative value per share $8.45
Indicative value vs. market price -87.19%

Model Integrity Checks

Check Result
Perpetuity growth is below the risk-free rate pass
Perpetuity growth is below WACC pass
WACC is within the configured operating-company range pass
Terminal-year FCFF is positive pass
Terminal capex converges to D&A pass
Terminal-value concentration within review band
Implied price differs from spot by more than 30% review required

2.6 Investor-Style Research Screen

Educational screen Result
Buffett-inspired cash-quality checks 3/4 evidenced checks
Lynch-inspired balance-and-growth checks 4/4 evidenced checks

Data lineage: Yahoo Finance public market and reported-statement data; retrieval timestamp: 2026-08-18 17:33:15.425949 UTC; latest reported fiscal period: 2025-12-31 00:00:00. Default assumptions: five-year forecast, mid-year discounting for explicit FCFF, a maximum 2.50% perpetuity-growth rate below both WACC and the risk-free rate, historical operating-ratio persistence, and capex convergence to D&A by year five. No sell-side consensus or management guidance is substituted for reported inputs. This is research and analysis only, not personalized financial advice.

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