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2. Company Fundamentals

2.1 Competitiveness

Metric Value
Operating Margins 6.94%
Profit Margins 4.88%
Return on Equity 15.87%
Return on Assets 5.03%
Free Float 0.22B
Dividend Yield 1.53%
Short Int % Utilisation 1.52%

2.2 Growth

Metric Value
Revenue Growth 8.3%
Free Cash Flow 0.89B
EBITDA 9.51 (Ratio)
Enterprise Value 109.98B
EV/Revenue 1.2
EV/EBITDA 9.51

Revenue growth of 8.3% indicates steady, moderate expansion.

2.3 Management

Role Metric
Consensus Rating N/A

2.4 Return

Metric Value
Expected Return (Ann.)* 95.50%
Risk / Std Dev (Ann.)* 28.61%
1-Year Price Return* 86.30%

Latest Market Data (as of 2026-08-14, US Eastern time):

Metric Value
Last Price $334.64
52-Week Range $178.33 – $345.37
Observation Count 250 trading days

The return and risk statistics use daily adjusted closes from the retrieved one-year series and annualise daily moments using 252 trading days. The last price is the latest regular-market price reported for the stated date. Source: Yahoo Finance market data.

DuPont Model Analysis

The DuPont model decomposes return on equity (ROE) into three operating and capital-structure drivers:

ROE = Net Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

The comparison uses the latest two comparable annual periods available for the issuer, with reported statement amounts shown in US$. Revenue and net income are income-statement flows; total assets and shareholders’ equity are year-end balance-sheet figures. This is a simplified year-end-balance DuPont comparison rather than an average-balance ROE calculation.

DuPont component Calculation FY2026 FY2025
Revenue Reported revenue $94.72B $87.93B
Net income Reported net income $4.43B $4.09B
Total assets Year-end reported balance $98.94B $87.63B
Shareholders’ equity Year-end reported balance $31.65B $28.07B
Net margin Net income ÷ revenue 4.67% 4.65%
Asset turnover Revenue ÷ total assets 0.9574x 1.0034x
Equity multiplier Total assets ÷ shareholders’ equity 3.1263x 3.1213x
ROE Net margin × asset turnover × equity multiplier 13.99% 14.56%

Source: Yahoo Finance annual statements. Values are based on the two latest comparable annual periods returned by the source; fiscal period labels use the statement period-end year.

2.5 FCFF DCF Valuation

Valuation basis: This research model follows a five-year, unlevered FCFF DCF. It starts from reported annual operating inputs, forecasts revenue and operating cash conversion under an explicit mechanical policy, discounts FCFF at WACC, applies a Gordon-growth terminal value, and bridges enterprise value to an indicative common-equity value per share. It is an analytical estimate rather than a recommendation or personalised target price.

Step 1 — Forecast Operating Profit and NOPAT

Reported operating input Value
Revenue $94.72B
Prior annual revenue $87.93B
EBIT $6.76B
Tax rate 23.50%
NOPAT = EBIT × (1 − tax rate) $5.17B
Forecast start-growth basis 7.73%
Forecast policy latest reported annual revenue growth, bounded to -10.00% / 15.00%

Step 2 — Calculate FCFF

Current FCFF building block Value
NOPAT $5.17B
Add: depreciation & amortisation $4.37B
Less: capital expenditure -$3.81B
Less/(add): working-capital cash-flow movement -$3.51B
Current unlevered FCFF $2.22B

Explicit FCFF forecast

Forecast year Revenue growth NOPAT D&A Capex Change in NWC FCFF Present value
1 7.73% $5.57B $4.71B -$4.10B -$3.78B $2.39B $2.30B
2 6.42% $5.93B $5.01B -$4.53B -$4.03B $2.39B $2.11B
3 5.11% $6.23B $5.26B -$4.93B -$4.23B $2.34B $1.91B
4 3.81% $6.47B $5.47B -$5.29B -$4.39B $2.25B $1.69B
5 2.50% $6.63B $5.60B -$5.60B -$4.50B $2.13B $1.47B

Step 3 — Determine the Discount Rate (WACC)

WACC input Value
Risk-free rate 4.71%
Equity risk premium assumption 5.50%
Beta 1.36
Cost of equity 12.19%
Pre-tax cost of debt 2.41%
WACC 8.52%
WACC validation within standard range

Step 4 — Estimate Terminal Value

Terminal-value input Value
Perpetuity growth rate 2.50%
Terminal value $36.26B
Implied terminal EV / EBITDA 2.54x
Terminal value as % of enterprise value 71.77%

Step 5 — Discount Cash Flows to Enterprise Value

Enterprise-value component Value
Present value of explicit FCFF $9.48B
Present value of terminal value $24.09B
Indicated enterprise value $33.57B
Discounting convention mid-year for explicit FCFF; terminal value discounted at year-end five

Step 6 — Convert Enterprise Value to Equity Value

Equity bridge Value
Indicated enterprise value $33.57B
Less: gross interest-bearing debt $42.94B
Add: cash and equivalents $13.31B
Add: affiliate investments $0.00
Less: minority interests $0.00
Indicated common equity value $3.94B

Step 7 — Calculate Indicative Value Per Share

Per-share output Value
Shares used 239,000,000.00
Share-count basis reported diluted weighted-average shares
Current market price $329.78
DCF indicative value per share $16.48
Indicative value vs. market price -95.00%

Model Integrity Checks

Check Result
Perpetuity growth is below the risk-free rate pass
Perpetuity growth is below WACC pass
WACC is within the configured operating-company range pass
Terminal-year FCFF is positive pass
Terminal capex converges to D&A pass
Terminal-value concentration within review band
Implied price differs from spot by more than 30% review required

2.6 Investor-Style Research Screen

Educational screen Result
Buffett-inspired cash-quality checks 4/4 evidenced checks
Lynch-inspired balance-and-growth checks 4/4 evidenced checks

Data lineage: Yahoo Finance public market and reported-statement data; retrieval timestamp: 2026-08-18 17:33:22.893073 UTC; latest reported fiscal period: 2026-05-31 00:00:00. Default assumptions: five-year forecast, mid-year discounting for explicit FCFF, a maximum 2.50% perpetuity-growth rate below both WACC and the risk-free rate, historical operating-ratio persistence, and capex convergence to D&A by year five. No sell-side consensus or management guidance is substituted for reported inputs. This is research and analysis only, not personalized financial advice.

2.7 Quantitative Factor Diagnostics

Model basis: Daily issuer USD excess returns are regressed in-sample using ordinary least squares on matching regional Fama–French factors. FF3 estimates market, size, and value loadings; FF5 adds profitability and investment. Coefficients are descriptive historical exposures, not predictions.

Estimation input Value
Regional factor set US
Factor-return currency USD
Issuer-return basis USD adjusted total return
Estimation window 2025-08-19 to 2026-06-30
Aligned daily observations 217
Minimum observation requirement 120
Currency conversion for HK listings not required

Fama–French Three-Factor and Five-Factor Results

Diagnostic FF3 FF5
Annualised alpha 32.53% 41.93%
Adjusted R² 0.28 0.31
Annualised residual volatility 24.85% 24.24%
Factor loading (t-statistic) FF3 FF5
Market excess return (Mkt-RF) 1.15 (7.90) 1.33 (8.09)
Size (SMB) 0.23 (1.15) 0.05 (0.25)
Value (HML) 0.88 (5.18) 0.49 (2.39)
Profitability (RMW) NM 0.06 (0.37)
Investment (CMA) NM 0.93 (3.09)

Definitions: Mkt-RF is the market return less the risk-free rate; SMB is small minus big; HML is high minus low book-to-market; RMW is robust minus weak profitability; CMA is conservative minus aggressive investment. Factor returns are sourced from the Kenneth R. French Data Library; issuer adjusted-return history is sourced from Yahoo Finance. For Hong Kong listings, adjusted HKD prices are converted into USD with daily USD/HKD closes before return calculation to match the USD regional factor basis. This is an in-sample historical regression; coefficients and t-statistics do not establish causation or predict future returns. This is research and analysis only, not personalized financial advice.

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