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US Equities · Finance research note

GLW — Corning Inc.

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Evidence and analysis

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2. Company Fundamentals

2.1 Competitiveness

Metric Value
Operating Margins 15.66%
Profit Margins 11.09%
Return on Equity 16.74%
Return on Assets 5.38%
Free Float 0.79B
Dividend Yield 0.49%
Short Int % Utilisation 2.81%

2.2 Growth

Metric Value
Revenue Growth 20.0%
Free Cash Flow 0.61B
EBITDA 39.27 (Ratio)
Enterprise Value 153.44B
EV/Revenue 9.4
EV/EBITDA 39.27

Revenue growth of 20.0% indicates steady, moderate expansion.

2.3 Management

Role Metric
Consensus Rating N/A

2.4 Return

Metric Value
Expected Return (Ann.)* 227.92%
Risk / Std Dev (Ann.)* 69.55%
1-Year Price Return* 156.42%

Latest Market Data (as of 2026-08-14, US Eastern time):

Metric Value
Last Price $165.99
52-Week Range $63.37 – $271.78
Observation Count 251 trading days

The return and risk statistics use daily adjusted closes from the retrieved one-year series and annualise daily moments using 252 trading days. The last price is the latest regular-market price reported for the stated date. Source: Yahoo Finance market data.

DuPont Model Analysis

The DuPont model decomposes return on equity (ROE) into three operating and capital-structure drivers:

ROE = Net Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

The comparison uses the latest two comparable annual periods available for the issuer, with reported statement amounts shown in US$. Revenue and net income are income-statement flows; total assets and shareholders’ equity are year-end balance-sheet figures. This is a simplified year-end-balance DuPont comparison rather than an average-balance ROE calculation.

DuPont component Calculation FY2025 FY2024
Revenue Reported revenue $15.63B $13.12B
Net income Reported net income $1.60B $506.00M
Total assets Year-end reported balance $30.98B $27.73B
Shareholders’ equity Year-end reported balance $11.81B $10.69B
Net margin Net income ÷ revenue 10.21% 3.86%
Asset turnover Revenue ÷ total assets 0.5046x 0.4730x
Equity multiplier Total assets ÷ shareholders’ equity 2.6235x 2.5955x
ROE Net margin × asset turnover × equity multiplier 13.52% 4.74%

Source: Yahoo Finance annual statements. Values are based on the two latest comparable annual periods returned by the source; fiscal period labels use the statement period-end year.

2.5 FCFF DCF Valuation

Valuation basis: This research model follows a five-year, unlevered FCFF DCF. It starts from reported annual operating inputs, forecasts revenue and operating cash conversion under an explicit mechanical policy, discounts FCFF at WACC, applies a Gordon-growth terminal value, and bridges enterprise value to an indicative common-equity value per share. It is an analytical estimate rather than a recommendation or personalised target price.

Step 1 — Forecast Operating Profit and NOPAT

Reported operating input Value
Revenue $15.63B
Prior annual revenue $13.12B
EBIT $2.39B
Tax rate 15.11%
NOPAT = EBIT × (1 − tax rate) $2.03B
Forecast start-growth basis 15.00%
Forecast policy latest reported annual revenue growth, bounded to -10.00% / 15.00%

Step 2 — Calculate FCFF

Current FCFF building block Value
NOPAT $2.03B
Add: depreciation & amortisation $1.35B
Less: capital expenditure -$1.28B
Less/(add): working-capital cash-flow movement -$460.00M
Current unlevered FCFF $1.63B

Explicit FCFF forecast

Forecast year Revenue growth NOPAT D&A Capex Change in NWC FCFF Present value
1 15.00% $2.33B $1.55B -$1.47B -$529.00M $1.88B $1.79B
2 11.88% $2.61B $1.73B -$1.67B -$591.82M $2.08B $1.79B
3 8.75% $2.84B $1.88B -$1.84B -$643.60M $2.24B $1.74B
4 5.62% $3.00B $1.99B -$1.97B -$679.81M $2.34B $1.65B
5 2.50% $3.07B $2.04B -$2.04B -$696.80M $2.37B $1.51B

Step 3 — Determine the Discount Rate (WACC)

WACC input Value
Risk-free rate 4.71%
Equity risk premium assumption 5.50%
Beta 1.15
Cost of equity 11.03%
Pre-tax cost of debt 3.85%
WACC 10.53%
WACC validation within standard range

Step 4 — Estimate Terminal Value

Terminal-value input Value
Perpetuity growth rate 2.50%
Terminal value $30.30B
Implied terminal EV / EBITDA 5.36x
Terminal value as % of enterprise value 68.42%

Step 5 — Discount Cash Flows to Enterprise Value

Enterprise-value component Value
Present value of explicit FCFF $8.48B
Present value of terminal value $18.37B
Indicated enterprise value $26.84B
Discounting convention mid-year for explicit FCFF; terminal value discounted at year-end five

Step 6 — Convert Enterprise Value to Equity Value

Equity bridge Value
Indicated enterprise value $26.84B
Less: gross interest-bearing debt $9.38B
Add: cash and equivalents $1.53B
Add: affiliate investments $0.00
Less: minority interests $500.00M
Indicated common equity value $18.49B

Step 7 — Calculate Indicative Value Per Share

Per-share output Value
Shares used 871,000,000.00
Share-count basis reported diluted weighted-average shares
Current market price $160.13
DCF indicative value per share $21.23
Indicative value vs. market price -86.74%

Model Integrity Checks

Check Result
Perpetuity growth is below the risk-free rate pass
Perpetuity growth is below WACC pass
WACC is within the configured operating-company range pass
Terminal-year FCFF is positive pass
Terminal capex converges to D&A pass
Terminal-value concentration within review band
Implied price differs from spot by more than 30% review required

2.6 Investor-Style Research Screen

Educational screen Result
Buffett-inspired cash-quality checks 3/4 evidenced checks
Lynch-inspired balance-and-growth checks 4/4 evidenced checks

Data lineage: Yahoo Finance public market and reported-statement data; retrieval timestamp: 2026-08-18 17:35:11.530812 UTC; latest reported fiscal period: 2025-12-31 00:00:00. Default assumptions: five-year forecast, mid-year discounting for explicit FCFF, a maximum 2.50% perpetuity-growth rate below both WACC and the risk-free rate, historical operating-ratio persistence, and capex convergence to D&A by year five. No sell-side consensus or management guidance is substituted for reported inputs. This is research and analysis only, not personalized financial advice.

2.7 Quantitative Factor Diagnostics

Model basis: Daily issuer USD excess returns are regressed in-sample using ordinary least squares on matching regional Fama–French factors. FF3 estimates market, size, and value loadings; FF5 adds profitability and investment. Coefficients are descriptive historical exposures, not predictions.

Estimation input Value
Regional factor set US
Factor-return currency USD
Issuer-return basis USD adjusted total return
Estimation window 2025-08-19 to 2026-06-30
Aligned daily observations 217
Minimum observation requirement 120
Currency conversion for HK listings not required

Fama–French Three-Factor and Five-Factor Results

Diagnostic FF3 FF5
Annualised alpha 255.53% 163.64%
Adjusted R² 0.27 0.34
Annualised residual volatility 55.05% 52.29%
Factor loading (t-statistic) FF3 FF5
Market excess return (Mkt-RF) 2.81 (8.69) 2.26 (6.38)
Size (SMB) -0.68 (-1.55) -1.31 (-2.91)
Value (HML) 0.58 (1.55) 0.42 (0.95)
Profitability (RMW) NM -1.75 (-4.65)
Investment (CMA) NM 1.34 (2.06)

Definitions: Mkt-RF is the market return less the risk-free rate; SMB is small minus big; HML is high minus low book-to-market; RMW is robust minus weak profitability; CMA is conservative minus aggressive investment. Factor returns are sourced from the Kenneth R. French Data Library; issuer adjusted-return history is sourced from Yahoo Finance. For Hong Kong listings, adjusted HKD prices are converted into USD with daily USD/HKD closes before return calculation to match the USD regional factor basis. This is an in-sample historical regression; coefficients and t-statistics do not establish causation or predict future returns. This is research and analysis only, not personalized financial advice.

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