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US Equities · Finance research note

HAL — Halliburton

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2. Company Fundamentals

2.1 Competitiveness

Metric Value
Operating Margins 12.57%
Profit Margins 6.95%
Return on Equity 14.63%
Return on Assets 7.38%
Free Float 0.83B
Dividend Yield 1.99%
Short Int % Utilisation 5.22%

2.2 Growth

Metric Value
Revenue Growth -0.3%
Free Cash Flow 2.03B
EBITDA 9.54 (Ratio)
Enterprise Value 39.31B
EV/Revenue 1.77
EV/EBITDA 9.54

Revenue growth of -0.3% suggests mature or challenged top-line momentum.

2.3 Management

Role Metric
Consensus Rating N/A

2.4 Return

Metric Value
Expected Return (Ann.)* 78.68%
Risk / Std Dev (Ann.)* 36.35%
1-Year Price Return* 66.75%

Latest Market Data (as of 2026-08-14, US Eastern time):

Metric Value
Last Price $34.42
52-Week Range $20.79 – $43.59
Observation Count 251 trading days

The return and risk statistics use daily adjusted closes from the retrieved one-year series and annualise daily moments using 252 trading days. The last price is the latest regular-market price reported for the stated date. Source: Yahoo Finance market data.

DuPont Model Analysis

The DuPont model decomposes return on equity (ROE) into three operating and capital-structure drivers:

ROE = Net Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

The comparison uses the latest two comparable annual periods available for the issuer, with reported statement amounts shown in US$. Revenue and net income are income-statement flows; total assets and shareholders’ equity are year-end balance-sheet figures. This is a simplified year-end-balance DuPont comparison rather than an average-balance ROE calculation.

DuPont component Calculation FY2025 FY2024
Revenue Reported revenue $22.18B $22.94B
Net income Reported net income $1.28B $2.50B
Total assets Year-end reported balance $25.01B $25.59B
Shareholders’ equity Year-end reported balance $10.46B $10.51B
Net margin Net income ÷ revenue 5.78% 10.90%
Asset turnover Revenue ÷ total assets 0.8870x 0.8967x
Equity multiplier Total assets ÷ shareholders’ equity 2.3908x 2.4355x
ROE Net margin × asset turnover × equity multiplier 12.26% 23.81%

Source: Yahoo Finance annual statements. Values are based on the two latest comparable annual periods returned by the source; fiscal period labels use the statement period-end year.

2.5 FCFF DCF Valuation

Valuation basis: This research model follows a five-year, unlevered FCFF DCF. It starts from reported annual operating inputs, forecasts revenue and operating cash conversion under an explicit mechanical policy, discounts FCFF at WACC, applies a Gordon-growth terminal value, and bridges enterprise value to an indicative common-equity value per share. It is an analytical estimate rather than a recommendation or personalised target price.

Step 1 — Forecast Operating Profit and NOPAT

Reported operating input Value
Revenue $22.18B
Prior annual revenue $22.94B
EBIT $2.12B
Tax rate 27.00%
NOPAT = EBIT × (1 − tax rate) $1.55B
Forecast start-growth basis -3.31%
Forecast policy latest reported annual revenue growth, bounded to -10.00% / 15.00%

Step 2 — Calculate FCFF

Current FCFF building block Value
NOPAT $1.55B
Add: depreciation & amortisation $1.14B
Less: capital expenditure -$1.25B
Less/(add): working-capital cash-flow movement $196.00M
Current unlevered FCFF $1.63B

Explicit FCFF forecast

Forecast year Revenue growth NOPAT D&A Capex Change in NWC FCFF Present value
1 -3.31% $1.50B $1.10B -$1.21B $189.51M $1.57B $1.52B
2 -1.86% $1.47B $1.08B -$1.16B $185.98M $1.57B $1.41B
3 -0.41% $1.46B $1.07B -$1.13B $185.23M $1.59B $1.33B
4 1.05% $1.48B $1.08B -$1.11B $187.17M $1.64B $1.27B
5 2.50% $1.52B $1.11B -$1.11B $191.85M $1.71B $1.23B

Step 3 — Determine the Discount Rate (WACC)

WACC input Value
Risk-free rate 4.71%
Equity risk premium assumption 5.50%
Beta 0.75
Cost of equity 8.85%
Pre-tax cost of debt 4.21%
WACC 7.58%
WACC validation within standard range

Step 4 — Estimate Terminal Value

Terminal-value input Value
Perpetuity growth rate 2.50%
Terminal value $34.46B
Implied terminal EV / EBITDA 10.80x
Terminal value as % of enterprise value 77.98%

Step 5 — Discount Cash Flows to Enterprise Value

Enterprise-value component Value
Present value of explicit FCFF $6.75B
Present value of terminal value $23.92B
Indicated enterprise value $30.67B
Discounting convention mid-year for explicit FCFF; terminal value discounted at year-end five

Step 6 — Convert Enterprise Value to Equity Value

Equity bridge Value
Indicated enterprise value $30.67B
Less: gross interest-bearing debt $8.13B
Add: cash and equivalents $2.21B
Add: affiliate investments $0.00
Less: minority interests $44.00M
Indicated common equity value $24.70B

Step 7 — Calculate Indicative Value Per Share

Per-share output Value
Shares used 853,000,000.00
Share-count basis reported diluted weighted-average shares
Current market price $34.63
DCF indicative value per share $28.95
Indicative value vs. market price -16.40%

Model Integrity Checks

Check Result
Perpetuity growth is below the risk-free rate pass
Perpetuity growth is below WACC pass
WACC is within the configured operating-company range pass
Terminal-year FCFF is positive pass
Terminal capex converges to D&A pass
Terminal-value concentration within review band
Implied price differs from spot by more than 30% within review band

2.6 Investor-Style Research Screen

Educational screen Result
Buffett-inspired cash-quality checks 4/4 evidenced checks
Lynch-inspired balance-and-growth checks 4/4 evidenced checks

Data lineage: Yahoo Finance public market and reported-statement data; retrieval timestamp: 2026-08-18 17:35:56.741738 UTC; latest reported fiscal period: 2025-12-31 00:00:00. Default assumptions: five-year forecast, mid-year discounting for explicit FCFF, a maximum 2.50% perpetuity-growth rate below both WACC and the risk-free rate, historical operating-ratio persistence, and capex convergence to D&A by year five. No sell-side consensus or management guidance is substituted for reported inputs. This is research and analysis only, not personalized financial advice.

2.7 Quantitative Factor Diagnostics

Model basis: Daily issuer USD excess returns are regressed in-sample using ordinary least squares on matching regional Fama–French factors. FF3 estimates market, size, and value loadings; FF5 adds profitability and investment. Coefficients are descriptive historical exposures, not predictions.

Estimation input Value
Regional factor set US
Factor-return currency USD
Issuer-return basis USD adjusted total return
Estimation window 2025-08-19 to 2026-06-30
Aligned daily observations 217
Minimum observation requirement 120
Currency conversion for HK listings not required

Fama–French Three-Factor and Five-Factor Results

Diagnostic FF3 FF5
Annualised alpha 33.02% 32.50%
Adjusted R² 0.10 0.10
Annualised residual volatility 34.16% 34.08%
Factor loading (t-statistic) FF3 FF5
Market excess return (Mkt-RF) 0.76 (3.77) 0.76 (3.31)
Size (SMB) -0.27 (-1.00) -0.38 (-1.29)
Value (HML) 1.12 (4.80) 0.99 (3.44)
Profitability (RMW) NM -0.12 (-0.51)
Investment (CMA) NM 0.39 (0.92)

Definitions: Mkt-RF is the market return less the risk-free rate; SMB is small minus big; HML is high minus low book-to-market; RMW is robust minus weak profitability; CMA is conservative minus aggressive investment. Factor returns are sourced from the Kenneth R. French Data Library; issuer adjusted-return history is sourced from Yahoo Finance. For Hong Kong listings, adjusted HKD prices are converted into USD with daily USD/HKD closes before return calculation to match the USD regional factor basis. This is an in-sample historical regression; coefficients and t-statistics do not establish causation or predict future returns. This is research and analysis only, not personalized financial advice.

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