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US Equities · Finance research note

J — Jacobs Solutions

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2. Company Fundamentals

2.1 Competitiveness

Metric Value
Operating Margins -0.94%
Profit Margins 2.9%
Return on Equity 9.38%
Return on Assets 4.35%
Free Float 0.12B
Dividend Yield 1.16%
Short Int % Utilisation 6.91%

2.2 Growth

Metric Value
Revenue Growth 27.0%
Free Cash Flow 0.51B
EBITDA 17.13 (Ratio)
Enterprise Value 17.56B
EV/Revenue 1.33
EV/EBITDA 17.13

Revenue growth of 27.0% places the company in a high-growth category.

2.3 Management

Role Metric
Consensus Rating N/A

2.4 Return

Metric Value
Expected Return (Ann.)* 4.28%
Risk / Std Dev (Ann.)* 32.80%
1-Year Price Return* -1.21%

Latest Market Data (as of 2026-08-14, US Eastern time):

Metric Value
Last Price $144.66
52-Week Range $105.68 – $168.44
Observation Count 251 trading days

The return and risk statistics use daily adjusted closes from the retrieved one-year series and annualise daily moments using 252 trading days. The last price is the latest regular-market price reported for the stated date. Source: Yahoo Finance market data.

DuPont Model Analysis

The DuPont model decomposes return on equity (ROE) into three operating and capital-structure drivers:

ROE = Net Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

The comparison uses the latest two comparable annual periods available for the issuer, with reported statement amounts shown in US$. Revenue and net income are income-statement flows; total assets and shareholders’ equity are year-end balance-sheet figures. This is a simplified year-end-balance DuPont comparison rather than an average-balance ROE calculation.

DuPont component Calculation FY2025 FY2024
Revenue Reported revenue $12.03B $11.50B
Net income Reported net income $289.34M $806.09M
Total assets Year-end reported balance $11.25B $11.76B
Shareholders’ equity Year-end reported balance $3.64B $4.55B
Net margin Net income ÷ revenue 2.41% 7.01%
Asset turnover Revenue ÷ total assets 1.0691x 0.9781x
Equity multiplier Total assets ÷ shareholders’ equity 3.0907x 2.5847x
ROE Net margin × asset turnover × equity multiplier 7.95% 17.72%

Source: Yahoo Finance annual statements. Values are based on the two latest comparable annual periods returned by the source; fiscal period labels use the statement period-end year.

2.5 FCFF DCF Valuation

Valuation basis: This research model follows a five-year, unlevered FCFF DCF. It starts from reported annual operating inputs, forecasts revenue and operating cash conversion under an explicit mechanical policy, discounts FCFF at WACC, applies a Gordon-growth terminal value, and bridges enterprise value to an indicative common-equity value per share. It is an analytical estimate rather than a recommendation or personalised target price.

Step 1 — Forecast Operating Profit and NOPAT

Reported operating input Value
Revenue $12.03B
Prior annual revenue $11.50B
EBIT $689.26M
Tax rate 39.66%
NOPAT = EBIT × (1 − tax rate) $415.89M
Forecast start-growth basis 4.60%
Forecast policy latest reported annual revenue growth, bounded to -10.00% / 15.00%

Step 2 — Calculate FCFF

Current FCFF building block Value
NOPAT $415.89M
Add: depreciation & amortisation $237.58M
Less: capital expenditure -$79.23M
Less/(add): working-capital cash-flow movement -$50.64M
Current unlevered FCFF $523.59M

Explicit FCFF forecast

Forecast year Revenue growth NOPAT D&A Capex Change in NWC FCFF Present value
1 4.60% $435.01M $248.50M -$82.88M -$52.97M $547.67M $527.79M
2 4.07% $452.73M $258.62M -$129.34M -$55.13M $526.88M $471.59M
3 3.55% $468.80M $267.80M -$178.56M -$57.08M $500.96M $416.44M
4 3.02% $482.98M $275.90M -$229.93M -$58.81M $470.14M $362.97M
5 2.50% $495.05M $282.80M -$282.80M -$60.28M $434.77M $311.75M

Step 3 — Determine the Discount Rate (WACC)

WACC input Value
Risk-free rate 4.71%
Equity risk premium assumption 5.50%
Beta 0.67
Cost of equity 8.38%
Pre-tax cost of debt 5.34%
WACC 7.67%
WACC validation within standard range

Step 4 — Estimate Terminal Value

Terminal-value input Value
Perpetuity growth rate 2.50%
Terminal value $8.62B
Implied terminal EV / EBITDA 7.81x
Terminal value as % of enterprise value 74.01%

Step 5 — Discount Cash Flows to Enterprise Value

Enterprise-value component Value
Present value of explicit FCFF $2.09B
Present value of terminal value $5.95B
Indicated enterprise value $8.04B
Discounting convention mid-year for explicit FCFF; terminal value discounted at year-end five

Step 6 — Convert Enterprise Value to Equity Value

Equity bridge Value
Indicated enterprise value $8.04B
Less: gross interest-bearing debt $2.71B
Add: cash and equivalents $1.24B
Add: affiliate investments $0.00
Less: minority interests $1.03B
Indicated common equity value $5.54B

Step 7 — Calculate Indicative Value Per Share

Per-share output Value
Shares used 121,932,000.00
Share-count basis reported diluted weighted-average shares
Current market price $144.14
DCF indicative value per share $45.47
Indicative value vs. market price -68.45%

Model Integrity Checks

Check Result
Perpetuity growth is below the risk-free rate pass
Perpetuity growth is below WACC pass
WACC is within the configured operating-company range pass
Terminal-year FCFF is positive pass
Terminal capex converges to D&A pass
Terminal-value concentration within review band
Implied price differs from spot by more than 30% review required

2.6 Investor-Style Research Screen

Educational screen Result
Buffett-inspired cash-quality checks 4/4 evidenced checks
Lynch-inspired balance-and-growth checks 4/4 evidenced checks

Data lineage: Yahoo Finance public market and reported-statement data; retrieval timestamp: 2026-08-18 17:38:40.642411 UTC; latest reported fiscal period: 2025-09-30 00:00:00. Default assumptions: five-year forecast, mid-year discounting for explicit FCFF, a maximum 2.50% perpetuity-growth rate below both WACC and the risk-free rate, historical operating-ratio persistence, and capex convergence to D&A by year five. No sell-side consensus or management guidance is substituted for reported inputs. This is research and analysis only, not personalized financial advice.

2.7 Quantitative Factor Diagnostics

Model basis: Daily issuer USD excess returns are regressed in-sample using ordinary least squares on matching regional Fama–French factors. FF3 estimates market, size, and value loadings; FF5 adds profitability and investment. Coefficients are descriptive historical exposures, not predictions.

Estimation input Value
Regional factor set US
Factor-return currency USD
Issuer-return basis USD adjusted total return
Estimation window 2025-08-19 to 2026-06-30
Aligned daily observations 217
Minimum observation requirement 120
Currency conversion for HK listings not required

Fama–French Three-Factor and Five-Factor Results

Diagnostic FF3 FF5
Annualised alpha -34.05% -29.61%
Adjusted R² 0.21 0.23
Annualised residual volatility 29.58% 29.16%
Factor loading (t-statistic) FF3 FF5
Market excess return (Mkt-RF) 0.92 (5.31) 1.09 (5.50)
Size (SMB) 0.81 (3.45) 0.66 (2.63)
Value (HML) 0.28 (1.40) -0.07 (-0.28)
Profitability (RMW) NM 0.07 (0.35)
Investment (CMA) NM 0.83 (2.30)

Definitions: Mkt-RF is the market return less the risk-free rate; SMB is small minus big; HML is high minus low book-to-market; RMW is robust minus weak profitability; CMA is conservative minus aggressive investment. Factor returns are sourced from the Kenneth R. French Data Library; issuer adjusted-return history is sourced from Yahoo Finance. For Hong Kong listings, adjusted HKD prices are converted into USD with daily USD/HKD closes before return calculation to match the USD regional factor basis. This is an in-sample historical regression; coefficients and t-statistics do not establish causation or predict future returns. This is research and analysis only, not personalized financial advice.

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