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US Equities · Finance research note

KEYS — Keysight Technologies

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2. Company Fundamentals

2.1 Competitiveness

Metric Value
Operating Margins 18.81%
Profit Margins 17.31%
Return on Equity 18.17%
Return on Assets 6.04%
Free Float 0.17B
Short Int % Utilisation 1.41%

2.2 Growth

Metric Value
Revenue Growth 31.5%
Free Cash Flow 1.09B
EBITDA 38.97 (Ratio)
Enterprise Value 55.72B
EV/Revenue 9.15
EV/EBITDA 38.97

Revenue growth of 31.5% places the company in a high-growth category.

2.3 Management

Role Metric
Consensus Rating N/A

2.4 Return

Metric Value
Expected Return (Ann.)* 140.86%
Risk / Std Dev (Ann.)* 43.11%
1-Year Price Return* 118.98%

Latest Market Data (as of 2026-08-14, US Eastern time):

Metric Value
Last Price $357.82
52-Week Range $152.85 – $374.96
Observation Count 251 trading days

The return and risk statistics use daily adjusted closes from the retrieved one-year series and annualise daily moments using 252 trading days. The last price is the latest regular-market price reported for the stated date. Source: Yahoo Finance market data.

DuPont Model Analysis

The DuPont model decomposes return on equity (ROE) into three operating and capital-structure drivers:

ROE = Net Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

The comparison uses the latest two comparable annual periods available for the issuer, with reported statement amounts shown in US$. Revenue and net income are income-statement flows; total assets and shareholders’ equity are year-end balance-sheet figures. This is a simplified year-end-balance DuPont comparison rather than an average-balance ROE calculation.

DuPont component Calculation FY2025 FY2024
Revenue Reported revenue $5.38B $4.98B
Net income Reported net income $850.00M $614.00M
Total assets Year-end reported balance $11.30B $9.27B
Shareholders’ equity Year-end reported balance $5.88B $5.11B
Net margin Net income ÷ revenue 15.81% 12.33%
Asset turnover Revenue ÷ total assets 0.4756x 0.5372x
Equity multiplier Total assets ÷ shareholders’ equity 1.9216x 1.8157x
ROE Net margin × asset turnover × equity multiplier 14.45% 12.03%

Source: Yahoo Finance annual statements. Values are based on the two latest comparable annual periods returned by the source; fiscal period labels use the statement period-end year.

2.5 FCFF DCF Valuation

Valuation basis: This research model follows a five-year, unlevered FCFF DCF. It starts from reported annual operating inputs, forecasts revenue and operating cash conversion under an explicit mechanical policy, discounts FCFF at WACC, applies a Gordon-growth terminal value, and bridges enterprise value to an indicative common-equity value per share. It is an analytical estimate rather than a recommendation or personalised target price.

Step 1 — Forecast Operating Profit and NOPAT

Reported operating input Value
Revenue $5.38B
Prior annual revenue $4.98B
EBIT $1.18B
Tax rate 20.00%
NOPAT = EBIT × (1 − tax rate) $942.40M
Forecast start-growth basis 7.95%
Forecast policy latest reported annual revenue growth, bounded to -10.00% / 15.00%

Step 2 — Calculate FCFF

Current FCFF building block Value
NOPAT $942.40M
Add: depreciation & amortisation $276.00M
Less: capital expenditure -$128.00M
Less/(add): working-capital cash-flow movement $302.00M
Current unlevered FCFF $1.39B

Explicit FCFF forecast

Forecast year Revenue growth NOPAT D&A Capex Change in NWC FCFF Present value
1 7.95% $1.02B $297.95M -$138.18M $326.02M $1.50B $1.43B
2 6.59% $1.08B $317.59M -$189.86M $347.50M $1.56B $1.33B
3 5.23% $1.14B $334.19M -$244.59M $365.67M $1.60B $1.23B
4 3.86% $1.19B $347.10M -$300.57M $379.79M $1.61B $1.12B
5 2.50% $1.21B $355.77M -$355.77M $389.29M $1.60B $1.00B

Step 3 — Determine the Discount Rate (WACC)

WACC input Value
Risk-free rate 4.71%
Equity risk premium assumption 5.50%
Beta 1.21
Cost of equity 11.37%
Pre-tax cost of debt 3.99%
WACC 10.99%
WACC validation within standard range

Step 4 — Estimate Terminal Value

Terminal-value input Value
Perpetuity growth rate 2.50%
Terminal value $19.36B
Implied terminal EV / EBITDA 10.33x
Terminal value as % of enterprise value 65.28%

Step 5 — Discount Cash Flows to Enterprise Value

Enterprise-value component Value
Present value of explicit FCFF $6.11B
Present value of terminal value $11.49B
Indicated enterprise value $17.60B
Discounting convention mid-year for explicit FCFF; terminal value discounted at year-end five

Step 6 — Convert Enterprise Value to Equity Value

Equity bridge Value
Indicated enterprise value $17.60B
Less: gross interest-bearing debt $2.78B
Add: cash and equivalents $1.87B
Add: affiliate investments $0.00
Less: minority interests $0.00
Indicated common equity value $16.70B

Step 7 — Calculate Indicative Value Per Share

Per-share output Value
Shares used 173,000,000.00
Share-count basis reported diluted weighted-average shares
Current market price $339.36
DCF indicative value per share $96.53
Indicative value vs. market price -71.56%

Model Integrity Checks

Check Result
Perpetuity growth is below the risk-free rate pass
Perpetuity growth is below WACC pass
WACC is within the configured operating-company range pass
Terminal-year FCFF is positive pass
Terminal capex converges to D&A pass
Terminal-value concentration within review band
Implied price differs from spot by more than 30% review required

2.6 Investor-Style Research Screen

Educational screen Result
Buffett-inspired cash-quality checks 3/4 evidenced checks
Lynch-inspired balance-and-growth checks 4/4 evidenced checks

Data lineage: Yahoo Finance public market and reported-statement data; retrieval timestamp: 2026-08-18 17:39:11.863300 UTC; latest reported fiscal period: 2025-10-31 00:00:00. Default assumptions: five-year forecast, mid-year discounting for explicit FCFF, a maximum 2.50% perpetuity-growth rate below both WACC and the risk-free rate, historical operating-ratio persistence, and capex convergence to D&A by year five. No sell-side consensus or management guidance is substituted for reported inputs. This is research and analysis only, not personalized financial advice.

2.7 Quantitative Factor Diagnostics

Model basis: Daily issuer USD excess returns are regressed in-sample using ordinary least squares on matching regional Fama–French factors. FF3 estimates market, size, and value loadings; FF5 adds profitability and investment. Coefficients are descriptive historical exposures, not predictions.

Estimation input Value
Regional factor set US
Factor-return currency USD
Issuer-return basis USD adjusted total return
Estimation window 2025-08-19 to 2026-06-30
Aligned daily observations 217
Minimum observation requirement 120
Currency conversion for HK listings not required

Fama–French Three-Factor and Five-Factor Results

Diagnostic FF3 FF5
Annualised alpha 70.66% 51.07%
Adjusted R² 0.30 0.35
Annualised residual volatility 35.79% 34.41%
Factor loading (t-statistic) FF3 FF5
Market excess return (Mkt-RF) 1.86 (8.83) 1.66 (7.12)
Size (SMB) 0.21 (0.73) -0.22 (-0.73)
Value (HML) 0.45 (1.83) 0.15 (0.53)
Profitability (RMW) NM -0.89 (-3.60)
Investment (CMA) NM 1.21 (2.82)

Definitions: Mkt-RF is the market return less the risk-free rate; SMB is small minus big; HML is high minus low book-to-market; RMW is robust minus weak profitability; CMA is conservative minus aggressive investment. Factor returns are sourced from the Kenneth R. French Data Library; issuer adjusted-return history is sourced from Yahoo Finance. For Hong Kong listings, adjusted HKD prices are converted into USD with daily USD/HKD closes before return calculation to match the USD regional factor basis. This is an in-sample historical regression; coefficients and t-statistics do not establish causation or predict future returns. This is research and analysis only, not personalized financial advice.

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