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US Equities · Finance research note

KO — Coca-Cola Company (The)

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2. Company Fundamentals

2.1 Competitiveness

Metric Value
Operating Margins 35.05%
Profit Margins 27.8%
Return on Equity 43.37%
Return on Assets 9.51%
Free Float 3.87B
Dividend Yield 2.57%
Short Int % Utilisation 1.09%

2.2 Growth

Metric Value
Revenue Growth 12.1%
Free Cash Flow 3.12B
EBITDA 23.49 (Ratio)
Enterprise Value 392.57B
EV/Revenue 7.97
EV/EBITDA 23.49

Revenue growth of 12.1% indicates steady, moderate expansion.

2.3 Management

Role Metric
Consensus Rating N/A

2.4 Return

Metric Value
Expected Return (Ann.)* 31.48%
Risk / Std Dev (Ann.)* 18.57%
1-Year Price Return* 29.00%

Latest Market Data (as of 2026-08-14, US Eastern time):

Metric Value
Last Price $87.71
52-Week Range $65.35 – $90.92
Observation Count 251 trading days

The return and risk statistics use daily adjusted closes from the retrieved one-year series and annualise daily moments using 252 trading days. The last price is the latest regular-market price reported for the stated date. Source: Yahoo Finance market data.

DuPont Model Analysis

The DuPont model decomposes return on equity (ROE) into three operating and capital-structure drivers:

ROE = Net Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

The comparison uses the latest two comparable annual periods available for the issuer, with reported statement amounts shown in US$. Revenue and net income are income-statement flows; total assets and shareholders’ equity are year-end balance-sheet figures. This is a simplified year-end-balance DuPont comparison rather than an average-balance ROE calculation.

DuPont component Calculation FY2025 FY2024
Revenue Reported revenue $47.94B $47.06B
Net income Reported net income $13.11B $10.63B
Total assets Year-end reported balance $104.82B $100.55B
Shareholders’ equity Year-end reported balance $32.17B $24.86B
Net margin Net income ÷ revenue 27.34% 22.59%
Asset turnover Revenue ÷ total assets 0.4574x 0.4680x
Equity multiplier Total assets ÷ shareholders’ equity 3.2583x 4.0453x
ROE Net margin × asset turnover × equity multiplier 40.74% 42.77%

Source: Yahoo Finance annual statements. Values are based on the two latest comparable annual periods returned by the source; fiscal period labels use the statement period-end year.

2.5 FCFF DCF Valuation

Valuation basis: This research model follows a five-year, unlevered FCFF DCF. It starts from reported annual operating inputs, forecasts revenue and operating cash conversion under an explicit mechanical policy, discounts FCFF at WACC, applies a Gordon-growth terminal value, and bridges enterprise value to an indicative common-equity value per share. It is an analytical estimate rather than a recommendation or personalised target price.

Step 1 — Forecast Operating Profit and NOPAT

Reported operating input Value
Revenue $47.94B
Prior annual revenue $47.06B
EBIT $17.65B
Tax rate 17.88%
NOPAT = EBIT × (1 − tax rate) $14.50B
Forecast start-growth basis 1.87%
Forecast policy latest reported annual revenue growth, bounded to -10.00% / 15.00%

Step 2 — Calculate FCFF

Current FCFF building block Value
NOPAT $14.50B
Add: depreciation & amortisation $1.05B
Less: capital expenditure -$2.11B
Less/(add): working-capital cash-flow movement -$7.21B
Current unlevered FCFF $6.23B

Explicit FCFF forecast

Forecast year Revenue growth NOPAT D&A Capex Change in NWC FCFF Present value
1 1.87% $14.77B $1.07B -$2.15B -$7.34B $6.34B $6.15B
2 2.03% $15.07B $1.09B -$1.92B -$7.49B $6.75B $6.16B
3 2.18% $15.39B $1.12B -$1.68B -$7.66B $7.18B $6.17B
4 2.34% $15.76B $1.14B -$1.43B -$7.83B $7.63B $6.18B
5 2.50% $16.15B $1.17B -$1.17B -$8.03B $8.12B $6.19B

Step 3 — Determine the Discount Rate (WACC)

WACC input Value
Risk-free rate 4.71%
Equity risk premium assumption 5.50%
Beta 0.34
Cost of equity 6.59%
Pre-tax cost of debt 3.67%
WACC 6.21%
WACC validation requires assumption review

Step 4 — Estimate Terminal Value

Terminal-value input Value
Perpetuity growth rate 2.50%
Terminal value $224.16B
Implied terminal EV / EBITDA 10.76x
Terminal value as % of enterprise value 84.31%

Step 5 — Discount Cash Flows to Enterprise Value

Enterprise-value component Value
Present value of explicit FCFF $30.86B
Present value of terminal value $165.84B
Indicated enterprise value $196.70B
Discounting convention mid-year for explicit FCFF; terminal value discounted at year-end five

Step 6 — Convert Enterprise Value to Equity Value

Equity bridge Value
Indicated enterprise value $196.70B
Less: gross interest-bearing debt $45.49B
Add: cash and equivalents $15.81B
Add: affiliate investments $0.00
Less: minority interests $2.11B
Indicated common equity value $164.90B

Step 7 — Calculate Indicative Value Per Share

Per-share output Value
Shares used 4,313,000,000.00
Share-count basis reported diluted weighted-average shares
Current market price $88.75
DCF indicative value per share $38.23
Indicative value vs. market price -56.92%

Model Integrity Checks

Check Result
Perpetuity growth is below the risk-free rate pass
Perpetuity growth is below WACC pass
WACC is within the configured operating-company range review required
Terminal-year FCFF is positive pass
Terminal capex converges to D&A pass
Terminal-value concentration within review band
Implied price differs from spot by more than 30% review required

2.6 Investor-Style Research Screen

Educational screen Result
Buffett-inspired cash-quality checks 3/4 evidenced checks
Lynch-inspired balance-and-growth checks 4/4 evidenced checks

Data lineage: Yahoo Finance public market and reported-statement data; retrieval timestamp: 2026-08-18 17:39:40.308890 UTC; latest reported fiscal period: 2025-12-31 00:00:00. Default assumptions: five-year forecast, mid-year discounting for explicit FCFF, a maximum 2.50% perpetuity-growth rate below both WACC and the risk-free rate, historical operating-ratio persistence, and capex convergence to D&A by year five. No sell-side consensus or management guidance is substituted for reported inputs. This is research and analysis only, not personalized financial advice.

2.7 Quantitative Factor Diagnostics

Model basis: Daily issuer USD excess returns are regressed in-sample using ordinary least squares on matching regional Fama–French factors. FF3 estimates market, size, and value loadings; FF5 adds profitability and investment. Coefficients are descriptive historical exposures, not predictions.

Estimation input Value
Regional factor set US
Factor-return currency USD
Issuer-return basis USD adjusted total return
Estimation window 2025-08-19 to 2026-06-30
Aligned daily observations 217
Minimum observation requirement 120
Currency conversion for HK listings not required

Fama–French Three-Factor and Five-Factor Results

Diagnostic FF3 FF5
Annualised alpha 19.08% 35.30%
Adjusted R² 0.07 0.19
Annualised residual volatility 16.59% 15.42%
Factor loading (t-statistic) FF3 FF5
Market excess return (Mkt-RF) -0.22 (-2.28) 0.06 (0.58)
Size (SMB) 0.12 (0.88) 0.06 (0.47)
Value (HML) 0.24 (2.10) -0.12 (-0.95)
Profitability (RMW) NM 0.40 (3.65)
Investment (CMA) NM 0.68 (3.55)

Definitions: Mkt-RF is the market return less the risk-free rate; SMB is small minus big; HML is high minus low book-to-market; RMW is robust minus weak profitability; CMA is conservative minus aggressive investment. Factor returns are sourced from the Kenneth R. French Data Library; issuer adjusted-return history is sourced from Yahoo Finance. For Hong Kong listings, adjusted HKD prices are converted into USD with daily USD/HKD closes before return calculation to match the USD regional factor basis. This is an in-sample historical regression; coefficients and t-statistics do not establish causation or predict future returns. This is research and analysis only, not personalized financial advice.

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