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LHX — L3Harris

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Evidence and analysis

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2. Company Fundamentals

2.1 Competitiveness

Metric Value
Operating Margins 9.73%
Profit Margins 10.37%
Free Float 0.22B
Dividend Yield 1.72%
Short Int % Utilisation 1.47%

2.2 Growth

Metric Value
Revenue Growth 190.0%
EBITDA 34.51 (Ratio)
Enterprise Value 74.06B
EV/Revenue 5.76
EV/EBITDA 34.51

Revenue growth of 190.0% places the company in a high-growth category.

2.3 Management

Role Metric
Consensus Rating N/A

2.4 Return

Metric Value
Expected Return (Ann.)* 14.10%
Risk / Std Dev (Ann.)* 28.05%
1-Year Price Return* 9.61%

Latest Market Data (as of 2026-08-14, US Eastern time):

Metric Value
Last Price $291.82
52-Week Range $262.68 – $379.23
Observation Count 251 trading days

The return and risk statistics use daily adjusted closes from the retrieved one-year series and annualise daily moments using 252 trading days. The last price is the latest regular-market price reported for the stated date. Source: Yahoo Finance market data.

DuPont Model Analysis

The DuPont model decomposes return on equity (ROE) into three operating and capital-structure drivers:

ROE = Net Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

The comparison uses the latest two comparable annual periods available for the issuer, with reported statement amounts shown in US$. Revenue and net income are income-statement flows; total assets and shareholders’ equity are year-end balance-sheet figures. This is a simplified year-end-balance DuPont comparison rather than an average-balance ROE calculation.

DuPont component Calculation FY2025 FY2024
Revenue Reported revenue $21.86B $21.32B
Net income Reported net income $1.61B $1.50B
Total assets Year-end reported balance $41.20B $42.00B
Shareholders’ equity Year-end reported balance $19.64B $19.51B
Net margin Net income ÷ revenue 7.35% 7.04%
Asset turnover Revenue ÷ total assets 0.5308x 0.5077x
Equity multiplier Total assets ÷ shareholders’ equity 2.0980x 2.1524x
ROE Net margin × asset turnover × equity multiplier 8.18% 7.70%

Source: Yahoo Finance annual statements. Values are based on the two latest comparable annual periods returned by the source; fiscal period labels use the statement period-end year.

2.5 FCFF DCF Valuation

Valuation basis: This research model follows a five-year, unlevered FCFF DCF. It starts from reported annual operating inputs, forecasts revenue and operating cash conversion under an explicit mechanical policy, discounts FCFF at WACC, applies a Gordon-growth terminal value, and bridges enterprise value to an indicative common-equity value per share. It is an analytical estimate rather than a recommendation or personalised target price.

Step 1 — Forecast Operating Profit and NOPAT

Reported operating input Value
Revenue $21.86B
Prior annual revenue $21.32B
EBIT $2.53B
Tax rate 16.87%
NOPAT = EBIT × (1 − tax rate) $2.10B
Forecast start-growth basis 2.53%
Forecast policy latest reported annual revenue growth, bounded to -10.00% / 15.00%

Step 2 — Calculate FCFF

Current FCFF building block Value
NOPAT $2.10B
Add: depreciation & amortisation $1.22B
Less: capital expenditure -$424.00M
Less/(add): working-capital cash-flow movement $22.00M
Current unlevered FCFF $2.92B

Explicit FCFF forecast

Forecast year Revenue growth NOPAT D&A Capex Change in NWC FCFF Present value
1 2.53% $2.16B $1.25B -$434.74M $22.56M $3.00B $2.88B
2 2.52% $2.21B $1.29B -$655.95M $23.13M $2.86B $2.55B
3 2.52% $2.27B $1.32B -$887.99M $23.71M $2.72B $2.24B
4 2.51% $2.32B $1.35B -$1.13B $24.30M $2.57B $1.96B
5 2.50% $2.38B $1.39B -$1.39B $24.91M $2.41B $1.70B

Step 3 — Determine the Discount Rate (WACC)

WACC input Value
Risk-free rate 4.71%
Equity risk premium assumption 5.50%
Beta 0.75
Cost of equity 8.81%
Pre-tax cost of debt 5.11%
WACC 8.02%
WACC validation within standard range

Step 4 — Estimate Terminal Value

Terminal-value input Value
Perpetuity growth rate 2.50%
Terminal value $44.65B
Implied terminal EV / EBITDA 10.51x
Terminal value as % of enterprise value 72.81%

Step 5 — Discount Cash Flows to Enterprise Value

Enterprise-value component Value
Present value of explicit FCFF $11.34B
Present value of terminal value $30.36B
Indicated enterprise value $41.70B
Discounting convention mid-year for explicit FCFF; terminal value discounted at year-end five

Step 6 — Convert Enterprise Value to Equity Value

Equity bridge Value
Indicated enterprise value $41.70B
Less: gross interest-bearing debt $11.12B
Add: cash and equivalents $1.07B
Add: affiliate investments $0.00
Less: minority interests $0.00
Indicated common equity value $31.65B

Step 7 — Calculate Indicative Value Per Share

Per-share output Value
Shares used 188,400,000.00
Share-count basis reported diluted weighted-average shares
Current market price $283.66
DCF indicative value per share $168.00
Indicative value vs. market price -40.77%

Model Integrity Checks

Check Result
Perpetuity growth is below the risk-free rate pass
Perpetuity growth is below WACC pass
WACC is within the configured operating-company range pass
Terminal-year FCFF is positive pass
Terminal capex converges to D&A pass
Terminal-value concentration within review band
Implied price differs from spot by more than 30% review required

2.6 Investor-Style Research Screen

Educational screen Result
Buffett-inspired cash-quality checks 4/4 evidenced checks
Lynch-inspired balance-and-growth checks 4/4 evidenced checks

Data lineage: Yahoo Finance public market and reported-statement data; retrieval timestamp: 2026-08-18 17:40:09.282721 UTC; latest reported fiscal period: 2025-12-31 00:00:00. Default assumptions: five-year forecast, mid-year discounting for explicit FCFF, a maximum 2.50% perpetuity-growth rate below both WACC and the risk-free rate, historical operating-ratio persistence, and capex convergence to D&A by year five. No sell-side consensus or management guidance is substituted for reported inputs. This is research and analysis only, not personalized financial advice.

2.7 Quantitative Factor Diagnostics

Model basis: Daily issuer USD excess returns are regressed in-sample using ordinary least squares on matching regional Fama–French factors. FF3 estimates market, size, and value loadings; FF5 adds profitability and investment. Coefficients are descriptive historical exposures, not predictions.

Estimation input Value
Regional factor set US
Factor-return currency USD
Issuer-return basis USD adjusted total return
Estimation window 2025-08-19 to 2026-06-30
Aligned daily observations 217
Minimum observation requirement 120
Currency conversion for HK listings not required

Fama–French Three-Factor and Five-Factor Results

Diagnostic FF3 FF5
Annualised alpha -3.06% -3.66%
Adjusted R² 0.05 0.04
Annualised residual volatility 26.05% 26.04%
Factor loading (t-statistic) FF3 FF5
Market excess return (Mkt-RF) 0.41 (2.69) 0.40 (2.28)
Size (SMB) 0.29 (1.40) 0.27 (1.19)
Value (HML) 0.18 (0.99) 0.16 (0.73)
Profitability (RMW) NM -0.05 (-0.25)
Investment (CMA) NM 0.07 (0.20)

Definitions: Mkt-RF is the market return less the risk-free rate; SMB is small minus big; HML is high minus low book-to-market; RMW is robust minus weak profitability; CMA is conservative minus aggressive investment. Factor returns are sourced from the Kenneth R. French Data Library; issuer adjusted-return history is sourced from Yahoo Finance. For Hong Kong listings, adjusted HKD prices are converted into USD with daily USD/HKD closes before return calculation to match the USD regional factor basis. This is an in-sample historical regression; coefficients and t-statistics do not establish causation or predict future returns. This is research and analysis only, not personalized financial advice.

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