US Equities Analysis

LULU — Lululemon Athletica

Research evidence pack

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2. Company Fundamentals

2.1 Competitiveness

Metric Value
Operating Margins 11.21%
Profit Margins 13.03%
Return on Equity 32.03%
Return on Assets 16.05%
Free Float 0.1B
Short Int % Utilisation 6.68%

2.2 Growth

Metric Value
Revenue Growth 4.3%
Free Cash Flow 1.13B
EBITDA 5.5 (Ratio)
Enterprise Value 14.13B
EV/Revenue 1.26
EV/EBITDA 5.5

Revenue growth of 4.3% suggests mature or challenged top-line momentum.

2.3 Management

Role Metric
Consensus Rating N/A

2.4 Return

Metric Value
Expected Return (Ann.)* -33.41%
Risk / Std Dev (Ann.)* 44.99%
1-Year Price Return* -39.76%

Latest Market Data (as of 2026-08-14, US Eastern time):

Metric Value
Last Price $119.55
52-Week Range $104.44 – $225.98
Observation Count 251 trading days

The return and risk statistics use daily adjusted closes from the retrieved one-year series and annualise daily moments using 252 trading days. The last price is the latest regular-market price reported for the stated date. Source: Yahoo Finance market data.

2.5 FCFF DCF Valuation

Valuation basis: This research model follows a five-year, unlevered FCFF DCF. It starts from reported annual operating inputs, forecasts revenue and operating cash conversion under an explicit mechanical policy, discounts FCFF at WACC, applies a Gordon-growth terminal value, and bridges enterprise value to an indicative common-equity value per share. It is an analytical estimate rather than a recommendation or personalised target price.

Step 1 — Forecast Operating Profit and NOPAT

Reported operating input Value
Revenue $11.10B
Prior annual revenue $10.59B
EBIT $2.21B
Tax rate 29.47%
NOPAT = EBIT × (1 − tax rate) $1.56B
Forecast start-growth basis 4.86%
Forecast policy latest reported annual revenue growth, bounded to -10.00% / 15.00%

Step 2 — Calculate FCFF

Current FCFF building block Value
NOPAT $1.56B
Add: depreciation & amortisation $496.23M
Less: capital expenditure -$680.80M
Less/(add): working-capital cash-flow movement -$409.44M
Current unlevered FCFF $965.17M

Explicit FCFF forecast

Forecast year Revenue growth NOPAT D&A Capex Change in NWC FCFF Present value
1 4.86% $1.63B $520.34M -$713.88M -$429.33M $1.01B $969.42M
2 4.27% $1.70B $542.55M -$693.91M -$447.66M $1.11B $971.75M
3 3.68% $1.77B $562.52M -$667.13M -$464.14M $1.20B $966.57M
4 3.09% $1.82B $579.90M -$633.82M -$478.48M $1.29B $954.12M
5 2.50% $1.87B $594.40M -$594.40M -$490.44M $1.38B $934.80M

Step 3 — Determine the Discount Rate (WACC)

WACC input Value
Risk-free rate 4.71%
Equity risk premium assumption 5.50%
Beta 0.86
Cost of equity 9.46%
Pre-tax cost of debt 7.71%
WACC 8.99%
WACC validation within standard range

Step 4 — Estimate Terminal Value

Terminal-value input Value
Perpetuity growth rate 2.50%
Terminal value $21.74B
Implied terminal EV / EBITDA 6.71x
Terminal value as % of enterprise value 74.67%

Step 5 — Discount Cash Flows to Enterprise Value

Enterprise-value component Value
Present value of explicit FCFF $4.80B
Present value of terminal value $14.14B
Indicated enterprise value $18.93B
Discounting convention mid-year for explicit FCFF; terminal value discounted at year-end five

Step 6 — Convert Enterprise Value to Equity Value

Equity bridge Value
Indicated enterprise value $18.93B
Less: gross interest-bearing debt $1.80B
Add: cash and equivalents $1.81B
Add: affiliate investments $0.00
Less: minority interests $0.00
Indicated common equity value $18.94B

Step 7 — Calculate Indicative Value Per Share

Per-share output Value
Shares used 119,068,000.00
Share-count basis reported diluted weighted-average shares
Current market price $120.62
DCF indicative value per share $159.09
Indicative value vs. market price 31.89%

Model Integrity Checks

Check Result
Perpetuity growth is below the risk-free rate pass
Perpetuity growth is below WACC pass
WACC is within the configured operating-company range pass
Terminal-year FCFF is positive pass
Terminal capex converges to D&A pass
Terminal-value concentration within review band
Implied price differs from spot by more than 30% review required

2.6 Investor-Style Research Screen

Educational screen Result
Buffett-inspired cash-quality checks 4/4 evidenced checks
Lynch-inspired balance-and-growth checks 4/4 evidenced checks

Data lineage: Yahoo Finance public market and reported-statement data; retrieval timestamp: 2026-08-18 17:40:47.404268 UTC; latest reported fiscal period: 2026-01-31 00:00:00. Default assumptions: five-year forecast, mid-year discounting for explicit FCFF, a maximum 2.50% perpetuity-growth rate below both WACC and the risk-free rate, historical operating-ratio persistence, and capex convergence to D&A by year five. No sell-side consensus or management guidance is substituted for reported inputs. This is research and analysis only, not personalized financial advice.

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