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US Equities · Finance research note

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2. Company Fundamentals

2.1 Competitiveness

Metric Value
Operating Margins 13.34%
Profit Margins 12.59%
Return on Equity 16.07%
Return on Assets 5.66%
Free Float 1.03B
Short Int % Utilisation 5.93%

2.2 Growth

Metric Value
Revenue Growth 22.1%
Free Cash Flow 5.11B
EBITDA 36.92 (Ratio)
Enterprise Value 106.63B
EV/Revenue 7.64
EV/EBITDA 36.92

Revenue growth of 22.1% places the company in a high-growth category.

2.3 Management

Role Metric
Consensus Rating N/A

2.4 Return

Metric Value
Expected Return (Ann.)* -17.09%
Risk / Std Dev (Ann.)* 54.73%
1-Year Price Return* -28.51%

Latest Market Data (as of 2026-08-14, US Eastern time):

Metric Value
Last Price $124.00
52-Week Range $81.24 – $194.73
Observation Count 251 trading days

The return and risk statistics use daily adjusted closes from the retrieved one-year series and annualise daily moments using 252 trading days. The last price is the latest regular-market price reported for the stated date. Source: Yahoo Finance market data.

DuPont Model Analysis

The DuPont model decomposes return on equity (ROE) into three operating and capital-structure drivers:

ROE = Net Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

The comparison uses the latest two comparable annual periods available for the issuer, with reported statement amounts shown in US$. Revenue and net income are income-statement flows; total assets and shareholders’ equity are year-end balance-sheet figures. This is a simplified year-end-balance DuPont comparison rather than an average-balance ROE calculation.

DuPont component Calculation FY2025 FY2024
Revenue Reported revenue $13.28B $10.98B
Net income Reported net income $1.75B $1.43B
Total assets Year-end reported balance $26.04B $20.38B
Shareholders’ equity Year-end reported balance $12.96B $9.61B
Net margin Net income ÷ revenue 13.16% 12.97%
Asset turnover Revenue ÷ total assets 0.5099x 0.5389x
Equity multiplier Total assets ÷ shareholders’ equity 2.0085x 2.1212x
ROE Net margin × asset turnover × equity multiplier 13.48% 14.83%

Source: Yahoo Finance annual statements. Values are based on the two latest comparable annual periods returned by the source; fiscal period labels use the statement period-end year.

2.5 FCFF DCF Valuation

Valuation basis: This research model follows a five-year, unlevered FCFF DCF. It starts from reported annual operating inputs, forecasts revenue and operating cash conversion under an explicit mechanical policy, discounts FCFF at WACC, applies a Gordon-growth terminal value, and bridges enterprise value to an indicative common-equity value per share. It is an analytical estimate rather than a recommendation or personalised target price.

Step 1 — Forecast Operating Profit and NOPAT

Reported operating input Value
Revenue $13.28B
Prior annual revenue $10.98B
EBIT $2.28B
Tax rate 22.70%
NOPAT = EBIT × (1 − tax rate) $1.77B
Forecast start-growth basis 15.00%
Forecast policy latest reported annual revenue growth, bounded to -10.00% / 15.00%

Step 2 — Calculate FCFF

Current FCFF building block Value
NOPAT $1.77B
Add: depreciation & amortisation $738.00M
Less: capital expenditure -$911.00M
Less/(add): working-capital cash-flow movement $29.00M
Current unlevered FCFF $1.62B

Explicit FCFF forecast

Forecast year Revenue growth NOPAT D&A Capex Change in NWC FCFF Present value
1 15.00% $2.03B $848.70M -$1.05B $33.35M $1.86B $1.78B
2 11.88% $2.27B $949.48M -$1.12B $37.31M $2.14B $1.87B
3 8.75% $2.47B $1.03B -$1.15B $40.57M $2.39B $1.90B
4 5.62% $2.61B $1.09B -$1.15B $42.86M $2.59B $1.87B
5 2.50% $2.67B $1.12B -$1.12B $43.93M $2.72B $1.80B

Step 3 — Determine the Discount Rate (WACC)

WACC input Value
Risk-free rate 4.71%
Equity risk premium assumption 5.50%
Beta 0.93
Cost of equity 9.83%
Pre-tax cost of debt 0.98%
WACC 9.66%
WACC validation within standard range

Step 4 — Estimate Terminal Value

Terminal-value input Value
Perpetuity growth rate 2.50%
Terminal value $38.94B
Implied terminal EV / EBITDA 8.51x
Terminal value as % of enterprise value 72.72%

Step 5 — Discount Cash Flows to Enterprise Value

Enterprise-value component Value
Present value of explicit FCFF $9.21B
Present value of terminal value $24.56B
Indicated enterprise value $33.77B
Discounting convention mid-year for explicit FCFF; terminal value discounted at year-end five

Step 6 — Convert Enterprise Value to Equity Value

Equity bridge Value
Indicated enterprise value $33.77B
Less: gross interest-bearing debt $2.40B
Add: cash and equivalents $6.28B
Add: affiliate investments $0.00
Less: minority interests $0.00
Indicated common equity value $37.65B

Step 7 — Calculate Indicative Value Per Share

Per-share output Value
Shares used 1,047,000,000.00
Share-count basis reported diluted weighted-average shares
Current market price $120.73
DCF indicative value per share $35.96
Indicative value vs. market price -70.21%

Model Integrity Checks

Check Result
Perpetuity growth is below the risk-free rate pass
Perpetuity growth is below WACC pass
WACC is within the configured operating-company range pass
Terminal-year FCFF is positive pass
Terminal capex converges to D&A pass
Terminal-value concentration within review band
Implied price differs from spot by more than 30% review required

2.6 Investor-Style Research Screen

Educational screen Result
Buffett-inspired cash-quality checks 4/4 evidenced checks
Lynch-inspired balance-and-growth checks 4/4 evidenced checks

Data lineage: Yahoo Finance public market and reported-statement data; retrieval timestamp: 2026-08-18 17:43:43.045475 UTC; latest reported fiscal period: 2025-12-31 00:00:00. Default assumptions: five-year forecast, mid-year discounting for explicit FCFF, a maximum 2.50% perpetuity-growth rate below both WACC and the risk-free rate, historical operating-ratio persistence, and capex convergence to D&A by year five. No sell-side consensus or management guidance is substituted for reported inputs. This is research and analysis only, not personalized financial advice.

2.7 Quantitative Factor Diagnostics

Model basis: Daily issuer USD excess returns are regressed in-sample using ordinary least squares on matching regional Fama–French factors. FF3 estimates market, size, and value loadings; FF5 adds profitability and investment. Coefficients are descriptive historical exposures, not predictions.

Estimation input Value
Regional factor set US
Factor-return currency USD
Issuer-return basis USD adjusted total return
Estimation window 2025-08-19 to 2026-06-30
Aligned daily observations 217
Minimum observation requirement 120
Currency conversion for HK listings not required

Fama–French Three-Factor and Five-Factor Results

Diagnostic FF3 FF5
Annualised alpha -28.43% -30.89%
Adjusted R² 0.12 0.12
Annualised residual volatility 50.54% 50.31%
Factor loading (t-statistic) FF3 FF5
Market excess return (Mkt-RF) 0.20 (0.69) 0.16 (0.47)
Size (SMB) 0.43 (1.06) 0.21 (0.48)
Value (HML) -1.63 (-4.72) -1.85 (-4.34)
Profitability (RMW) NM -0.36 (-0.99)
Investment (CMA) NM 0.72 (1.15)

Definitions: Mkt-RF is the market return less the risk-free rate; SMB is small minus big; HML is high minus low book-to-market; RMW is robust minus weak profitability; CMA is conservative minus aggressive investment. Factor returns are sourced from the Kenneth R. French Data Library; issuer adjusted-return history is sourced from Yahoo Finance. For Hong Kong listings, adjusted HKD prices are converted into USD with daily USD/HKD closes before return calculation to match the USD regional factor basis. This is an in-sample historical regression; coefficients and t-statistics do not establish causation or predict future returns. This is research and analysis only, not personalized financial advice.

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