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NTAP — NetApp

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2. Company Fundamentals

2.1 Competitiveness

Metric Value
Operating Margins 27.26%
Profit Margins 18.43%
Return on Equity 106.73%
Return on Assets 9.82%
Free Float 0.19B
Dividend Yield 1.36%
Short Int % Utilisation 12.68%

2.2 Growth

Metric Value
Revenue Growth 12.5%
Free Cash Flow 1.3B
EBITDA 16.26 (Ratio)
Enterprise Value 30.63B
EV/Revenue 4.42
EV/EBITDA 16.26

Revenue growth of 12.5% indicates steady, moderate expansion.

2.3 Management

Role Metric
Consensus Rating N/A

2.4 Return

Metric Value
Expected Return (Ann.)* 112.78%
Risk / Std Dev (Ann.)* 43.07%
1-Year Price Return* 93.68%

Latest Market Data (as of 2026-08-14, US Eastern time):

Metric Value
Last Price $207.08
52-Week Range $93.69 – $209.06
Observation Count 251 trading days

The return and risk statistics use daily adjusted closes from the retrieved one-year series and annualise daily moments using 252 trading days. The last price is the latest regular-market price reported for the stated date. Source: Yahoo Finance market data.

DuPont Model Analysis

The DuPont model decomposes return on equity (ROE) into three operating and capital-structure drivers:

ROE = Net Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

The comparison uses the latest two comparable annual periods available for the issuer, with reported statement amounts shown in US$. Revenue and net income are income-statement flows; total assets and shareholders’ equity are year-end balance-sheet figures. This is a simplified year-end-balance DuPont comparison rather than an average-balance ROE calculation.

DuPont component Calculation FY2026 FY2025
Revenue Reported revenue $6.92B $6.57B
Net income Reported net income $1.28B $1.19B
Total assets Year-end reported balance $10.74B $10.82B
Shareholders’ equity Year-end reported balance $1.35B $1.04B
Net margin Net income ÷ revenue 18.43% 18.05%
Asset turnover Revenue ÷ total assets 0.6445x 0.6072x
Equity multiplier Total assets ÷ shareholders’ equity 7.9526x 10.4067x
ROE Net margin × asset turnover × equity multiplier 94.45% 114.04%

Source: Yahoo Finance annual statements. Values are based on the two latest comparable annual periods returned by the source; fiscal period labels use the statement period-end year.

2.5 FCFF DCF Valuation

Valuation basis: This research model follows a five-year, unlevered FCFF DCF. It starts from reported annual operating inputs, forecasts revenue and operating cash conversion under an explicit mechanical policy, discounts FCFF at WACC, applies a Gordon-growth terminal value, and bridges enterprise value to an indicative common-equity value per share. It is an analytical estimate rather than a recommendation or personalised target price.

Step 1 — Forecast Operating Profit and NOPAT

Reported operating input Value
Revenue $6.92B
Prior annual revenue $6.57B
EBIT $1.76B
Tax rate 22.57%
NOPAT = EBIT × (1 − tax rate) $1.36B
Forecast start-growth basis 5.37%
Forecast policy latest reported annual revenue growth, bounded to -10.00% / 15.00%

Step 2 — Calculate FCFF

Current FCFF building block Value
NOPAT $1.36B
Add: depreciation & amortisation $200.00M
Less: capital expenditure -$198.00M
Less/(add): working-capital cash-flow movement -$23.00M
Current unlevered FCFF $1.34B

Explicit FCFF forecast

Forecast year Revenue growth NOPAT D&A Capex Change in NWC FCFF Present value
1 5.37% $1.43B $210.74M -$208.64M -$24.24M $1.41B $1.33B
2 4.65% $1.50B $220.55M -$218.90M -$25.36M $1.48B $1.25B
3 3.94% $1.56B $229.23M -$228.08M -$26.36M $1.53B $1.16B
4 3.22% $1.61B $236.61M -$236.01M -$27.21M $1.58B $1.07B
5 2.50% $1.65B $242.52M -$242.52M -$27.89M $1.62B $975.21M

Step 3 — Determine the Discount Rate (WACC)

WACC input Value
Risk-free rate 4.71%
Equity risk premium assumption 5.50%
Beta 1.43
Cost of equity 12.59%
Pre-tax cost of debt 3.50%
WACC 11.97%
WACC validation within standard range

Step 4 — Estimate Terminal Value

Terminal-value input Value
Perpetuity growth rate 2.50%
Terminal value $17.56B
Implied terminal EV / EBITDA 7.40x
Terminal value as % of enterprise value 63.34%

Step 5 — Discount Cash Flows to Enterprise Value

Enterprise-value component Value
Present value of explicit FCFF $5.78B
Present value of terminal value $9.98B
Indicated enterprise value $15.76B
Discounting convention mid-year for explicit FCFF; terminal value discounted at year-end five

Step 6 — Convert Enterprise Value to Equity Value

Equity bridge Value
Indicated enterprise value $15.76B
Less: gross interest-bearing debt $2.73B
Add: cash and equivalents $3.58B
Add: affiliate investments $0.00
Less: minority interests $0.00
Indicated common equity value $16.61B

Step 7 — Calculate Indicative Value Per Share

Per-share output Value
Shares used 201,000,000.00
Share-count basis reported diluted weighted-average shares
Current market price $205.57
DCF indicative value per share $82.63
Indicative value vs. market price -59.81%

Model Integrity Checks

Check Result
Perpetuity growth is below the risk-free rate pass
Perpetuity growth is below WACC pass
WACC is within the configured operating-company range pass
Terminal-year FCFF is positive pass
Terminal capex converges to D&A pass
Terminal-value concentration within review band
Implied price differs from spot by more than 30% review required

2.6 Investor-Style Research Screen

Educational screen Result
Buffett-inspired cash-quality checks 4/4 evidenced checks
Lynch-inspired balance-and-growth checks 4/4 evidenced checks

Data lineage: Yahoo Finance public market and reported-statement data; retrieval timestamp: 2026-08-18 17:43:55.675152 UTC; latest reported fiscal period: 2026-04-30 00:00:00. Default assumptions: five-year forecast, mid-year discounting for explicit FCFF, a maximum 2.50% perpetuity-growth rate below both WACC and the risk-free rate, historical operating-ratio persistence, and capex convergence to D&A by year five. No sell-side consensus or management guidance is substituted for reported inputs. This is research and analysis only, not personalized financial advice.

2.7 Quantitative Factor Diagnostics

Model basis: Daily issuer USD excess returns are regressed in-sample using ordinary least squares on matching regional Fama–French factors. FF3 estimates market, size, and value loadings; FF5 adds profitability and investment. Coefficients are descriptive historical exposures, not predictions.

Estimation input Value
Regional factor set US
Factor-return currency USD
Issuer-return basis USD adjusted total return
Estimation window 2025-08-19 to 2026-06-30
Aligned daily observations 217
Minimum observation requirement 120
Currency conversion for HK listings not required

Fama–French Three-Factor and Five-Factor Results

Diagnostic FF3 FF5
Annualised alpha 20.74% 19.97%
Adjusted R² 0.16 0.20
Annualised residual volatility 39.06% 37.86%
Factor loading (t-statistic) FF3 FF5
Market excess return (Mkt-RF) 1.48 (6.43) 1.53 (5.96)
Size (SMB) -0.36 (-1.15) -0.79 (-2.43)
Value (HML) 0.44 (1.66) -0.13 (-0.40)
Profitability (RMW) NM -0.48 (-1.77)
Investment (CMA) NM 1.67 (3.55)

Definitions: Mkt-RF is the market return less the risk-free rate; SMB is small minus big; HML is high minus low book-to-market; RMW is robust minus weak profitability; CMA is conservative minus aggressive investment. Factor returns are sourced from the Kenneth R. French Data Library; issuer adjusted-return history is sourced from Yahoo Finance. For Hong Kong listings, adjusted HKD prices are converted into USD with daily USD/HKD closes before return calculation to match the USD regional factor basis. This is an in-sample historical regression; coefficients and t-statistics do not establish causation or predict future returns. This is research and analysis only, not personalized financial advice.

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