Checking your sign-in status…

Private workspace

Finance

Research, portfolio tools, and market analysis in one place.

Finance home
Back to US Equities

US Equities · Finance research note

NVR — NVR, Inc.

Research and analysis only
View analysis Browse US Equities

Evidence and analysis

Research evidence pack

Source-backed valuation visuals

Loading verified snapshot
Loading verified market, valuation, and statement data.

2. Company Fundamentals

2.1 Competitiveness

Metric Value
Operating Margins 13.52%
Profit Margins 12.49%
Return on Equity 33.26%
Return on Assets 17.39%
Free Float 0.0B
Short Int % Utilisation 6.24%

2.2 Growth

Metric Value
Revenue Growth -21.4%
Free Cash Flow 1.25B
EBITDA 9.89 (Ratio)
Enterprise Value 16.46B
EV/Revenue 1.66
EV/EBITDA 9.89

Revenue growth of -21.4% suggests mature or challenged top-line momentum.

2.3 Management

Role Metric
Consensus Rating N/A

2.4 Return

Metric Value
Expected Return (Ann.)* -20.62%
Risk / Std Dev (Ann.)* 27.52%
1-Year Price Return* -23.40%

Latest Market Data (as of 2026-08-14, US Eastern time):

Metric Value
Last Price $6,307.93
52-Week Range $5,501.01 – $8,618.28
Observation Count 251 trading days

The return and risk statistics use daily adjusted closes from the retrieved one-year series and annualise daily moments using 252 trading days. The last price is the latest regular-market price reported for the stated date. Source: Yahoo Finance market data.

DuPont Model Analysis

The DuPont model decomposes return on equity (ROE) into three operating and capital-structure drivers:

ROE = Net Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

The comparison uses the latest two comparable annual periods available for the issuer, with reported statement amounts shown in US$. Revenue and net income are income-statement flows; total assets and shareholders’ equity are year-end balance-sheet figures. This is a simplified year-end-balance DuPont comparison rather than an average-balance ROE calculation.

DuPont component Calculation FY2025 FY2024
Revenue Reported revenue $10.34B $10.54B
Net income Reported net income $1.34B $1.68B
Total assets Year-end reported balance $5.86B $6.38B
Shareholders’ equity Year-end reported balance $3.86B $4.21B
Net margin Net income ÷ revenue 12.96% 15.95%
Asset turnover Revenue ÷ total assets 1.7657x 1.6523x
Equity multiplier Total assets ÷ shareholders’ equity 1.5154x 1.5156x
ROE Net margin × asset turnover × equity multiplier 34.67% 39.95%

Source: Yahoo Finance annual statements. Values are based on the two latest comparable annual periods returned by the source; fiscal period labels use the statement period-end year.

2.5 FCFF DCF Valuation

Valuation basis: This research model follows a five-year, unlevered FCFF DCF. It starts from reported annual operating inputs, forecasts revenue and operating cash conversion under an explicit mechanical policy, discounts FCFF at WACC, applies a Gordon-growth terminal value, and bridges enterprise value to an indicative common-equity value per share. It is an analytical estimate rather than a recommendation or personalised target price.

Step 1 — Forecast Operating Profit and NOPAT

Reported operating input Value
Revenue $10.34B
Prior annual revenue $10.54B
EBIT $1.79B
Tax rate 23.96%
NOPAT = EBIT × (1 − tax rate) $1.36B
Forecast start-growth basis -1.91%
Forecast policy latest reported annual revenue growth, bounded to -10.00% / 15.00%

Step 2 — Calculate FCFF

Current FCFF building block Value
NOPAT $1.36B
Add: depreciation & amortisation $24.51M
Less: capital expenditure -$24.51M
Less/(add): working-capital cash-flow movement -$138.86M
Current unlevered FCFF $1.22B

Explicit FCFF forecast

Forecast year Revenue growth NOPAT D&A Capex Change in NWC FCFF Present value
1 -1.91% $1.34B $24.04M -$24.04M -$136.21M $1.20B $1.15B
2 -0.81% $1.32B $23.85M -$23.84M -$135.10M $1.19B $1.04B
3 0.29% $1.33B $23.92M -$23.92M -$135.50M $1.19B $955.76M
4 1.40% $1.35B $24.25M -$24.25M -$137.39M $1.21B $886.80M
5 2.50% $1.38B $24.86M -$24.86M -$140.83M $1.24B $831.77M

Step 3 — Determine the Discount Rate (WACC)

WACC input Value
Risk-free rate 4.71%
Equity risk premium assumption 5.50%
Beta 0.91
Cost of equity 9.73%
Pre-tax cost of debt 2.78%
WACC 9.28%
WACC validation within standard range

Step 4 — Estimate Terminal Value

Terminal-value input Value
Perpetuity growth rate 2.50%
Terminal value $18.74B
Implied terminal EV / EBITDA 10.18x
Terminal value as % of enterprise value 71.20%

Step 5 — Discount Cash Flows to Enterprise Value

Enterprise-value component Value
Present value of explicit FCFF $4.86B
Present value of terminal value $12.03B
Indicated enterprise value $16.89B
Discounting convention mid-year for explicit FCFF; terminal value discounted at year-end five

Step 6 — Convert Enterprise Value to Equity Value

Equity bridge Value
Indicated enterprise value $16.89B
Less: gross interest-bearing debt $1.05B
Add: cash and equivalents $1.92B
Add: affiliate investments $0.00
Less: minority interests $0.00
Indicated common equity value $17.75B

Step 7 — Calculate Indicative Value Per Share

Per-share output Value
Shares used 3,069,103.00
Share-count basis reported diluted weighted-average shares
Current market price $6,269.49
DCF indicative value per share $5,784.17
Indicative value vs. market price -7.74%

Model Integrity Checks

Check Result
Perpetuity growth is below the risk-free rate pass
Perpetuity growth is below WACC pass
WACC is within the configured operating-company range pass
Terminal-year FCFF is positive pass
Terminal capex converges to D&A pass
Terminal-value concentration within review band
Implied price differs from spot by more than 30% within review band

2.6 Investor-Style Research Screen

Educational screen Result
Buffett-inspired cash-quality checks 4/4 evidenced checks
Lynch-inspired balance-and-growth checks 4/4 evidenced checks

Data lineage: Yahoo Finance public market and reported-statement data; retrieval timestamp: 2026-08-18 17:44:11.571794 UTC; latest reported fiscal period: 2025-12-31 00:00:00. Default assumptions: five-year forecast, mid-year discounting for explicit FCFF, a maximum 2.50% perpetuity-growth rate below both WACC and the risk-free rate, historical operating-ratio persistence, and capex convergence to D&A by year five. No sell-side consensus or management guidance is substituted for reported inputs. This is research and analysis only, not personalized financial advice.

2.7 Quantitative Factor Diagnostics

Model basis: Daily issuer USD excess returns are regressed in-sample using ordinary least squares on matching regional Fama–French factors. FF3 estimates market, size, and value loadings; FF5 adds profitability and investment. Coefficients are descriptive historical exposures, not predictions.

Estimation input Value
Regional factor set US
Factor-return currency USD
Issuer-return basis USD adjusted total return
Estimation window 2025-08-19 to 2026-06-30
Aligned daily observations 217
Minimum observation requirement 120
Currency conversion for HK listings not required

Fama–French Three-Factor and Five-Factor Results

Diagnostic FF3 FF5
Annualised alpha -37.40% -21.03%
Adjusted R² 0.23 0.40
Annualised residual volatility 23.59% 20.75%
Factor loading (t-statistic) FF3 FF5
Market excess return (Mkt-RF) 0.58 (4.19) 1.10 (7.80)
Size (SMB) 0.84 (4.48) 0.73 (4.08)
Value (HML) 0.50 (3.07) -0.18 (-1.04)
Profitability (RMW) NM 0.72 (4.81)
Investment (CMA) NM 1.30 (5.02)

Definitions: Mkt-RF is the market return less the risk-free rate; SMB is small minus big; HML is high minus low book-to-market; RMW is robust minus weak profitability; CMA is conservative minus aggressive investment. Factor returns are sourced from the Kenneth R. French Data Library; issuer adjusted-return history is sourced from Yahoo Finance. For Hong Kong listings, adjusted HKD prices are converted into USD with daily USD/HKD closes before return calculation to match the USD regional factor basis. This is an in-sample historical regression; coefficients and t-statistics do not establish causation or predict future returns. This is research and analysis only, not personalized financial advice.

us-equitystockequitynvrconsumer-discretionaryhomebuildingnasdaq