Checking your sign-in status…

Private workspace

Finance

Research, portfolio tools, and market analysis in one place.

Finance home
Back to US Equities

US Equities · Finance research note

PPL — PPL Corporation

Research and analysis only
View analysis Browse US Equities

Evidence and analysis

Research evidence pack

Source-backed valuation visuals

Loading verified snapshot
Loading verified market, valuation, and statement data.

2. Company Fundamentals

2.1 Competitiveness

Metric Value
Operating Margins 27.18%
Profit Margins 13.09%
Return on Equity 8.32%
Return on Assets 3.12%
Free Float 0.75B
Dividend Yield 3.08%
Short Int % Utilisation 6.08%

2.2 Growth

Metric Value
Revenue Growth 10.8%
Free Cash Flow -1.62B
EBITDA 12.55 (Ratio)
Enterprise Value 45.82B
EV/Revenue 4.92
EV/EBITDA 12.55

Revenue growth of 10.8% indicates steady, moderate expansion.

2.3 Management

Role Metric
Consensus Rating N/A

2.4 Return

Metric Value
Expected Return (Ann.)* 3.28%
Risk / Std Dev (Ann.)* 17.61%
1-Year Price Return* 1.68%

Latest Market Data (as of 2026-08-14, US Eastern time):

Metric Value
Last Price $36.02
52-Week Range $33.17 – $40.11
Observation Count 251 trading days

The return and risk statistics use daily adjusted closes from the retrieved one-year series and annualise daily moments using 252 trading days. The last price is the latest regular-market price reported for the stated date. Source: Yahoo Finance market data.

DuPont Model Analysis

The DuPont model decomposes return on equity (ROE) into three operating and capital-structure drivers:

ROE = Net Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

The comparison uses the latest two comparable annual periods available for the issuer, with reported statement amounts shown in US$. Revenue and net income are income-statement flows; total assets and shareholders’ equity are year-end balance-sheet figures. This is a simplified year-end-balance DuPont comparison rather than an average-balance ROE calculation.

DuPont component Calculation FY2025 FY2024
Revenue Reported revenue $9.04B $8.46B
Net income Reported net income $1.18B $886.00M
Total assets Year-end reported balance $45.24B $41.07B
Shareholders’ equity Year-end reported balance $14.88B $14.08B
Net margin Net income ÷ revenue 13.04% 10.47%
Asset turnover Revenue ÷ total assets 0.1998x 0.2060x
Equity multiplier Total assets ÷ shareholders’ equity 3.0404x 2.9175x
ROE Net margin × asset turnover × equity multiplier 7.92% 6.29%

Source: Yahoo Finance annual statements. Values are based on the two latest comparable annual periods returned by the source; fiscal period labels use the statement period-end year.

2.5 FCFF DCF Valuation

Valuation basis: This research model follows a five-year, unlevered FCFF DCF. It starts from reported annual operating inputs, forecasts revenue and operating cash conversion under an explicit mechanical policy, discounts FCFF at WACC, applies a Gordon-growth terminal value, and bridges enterprise value to an indicative common-equity value per share. It is an analytical estimate rather than a recommendation or personalised target price.

Step 1 — Forecast Operating Profit and NOPAT

Reported operating input Value
Revenue $9.04B
Prior annual revenue $8.46B
EBIT $2.28B
Tax rate 19.80%
NOPAT = EBIT × (1 − tax rate) $1.83B
Forecast start-growth basis 6.85%
Forecast policy latest reported annual revenue growth, bounded to -10.00% / 15.00%

Step 2 — Calculate FCFF

Current FCFF building block Value
NOPAT $1.83B
Add: depreciation & amortisation $1.42B
Less: capital expenditure -$4.03B
Less/(add): working-capital cash-flow movement $6.00M
Current unlevered FCFF -$779.44M

Explicit FCFF forecast

Forecast year Revenue growth NOPAT D&A Capex Change in NWC FCFF Present value
1 6.85% $1.95B $1.51B -$4.31B $6.41M -$832.86M -$808.42M
2 5.77% $2.07B $1.60B -$3.82B $6.78M -$142.33M -$130.16M
3 4.68% $2.16B $1.68B -$3.22B $7.10M $624.11M $537.75M
4 3.59% $2.24B $1.74B -$2.54B $7.35M $1.45B $1.17B
5 2.50% $2.30B $1.78B -$1.78B $7.54M $2.30B $1.76B

Step 3 — Determine the Discount Rate (WACC)

WACC input Value
Risk-free rate 4.71%
Equity risk premium assumption 5.50%
Beta 0.59
Cost of equity 7.95%
Pre-tax cost of debt 4.47%
WACC 6.14%
WACC validation requires assumption review

Step 4 — Estimate Terminal Value

Terminal-value input Value
Perpetuity growth rate 2.50%
Terminal value $64.92B
Implied terminal EV / EBITDA 13.98x
Terminal value as % of enterprise value 95.00%

Step 5 — Discount Cash Flows to Enterprise Value

Enterprise-value component Value
Present value of explicit FCFF $2.54B
Present value of terminal value $48.20B
Indicated enterprise value $50.74B
Discounting convention mid-year for explicit FCFF; terminal value discounted at year-end five

Step 6 — Convert Enterprise Value to Equity Value

Equity bridge Value
Indicated enterprise value $50.74B
Less: gross interest-bearing debt $19.35B
Add: cash and equivalents $1.07B
Add: affiliate investments $0.00
Less: minority interests $0.00
Indicated common equity value $32.46B

Step 7 — Calculate Indicative Value Per Share

Per-share output Value
Shares used 743,348,000.00
Share-count basis reported diluted weighted-average shares
Current market price $36.22
DCF indicative value per share $43.67
Indicative value vs. market price 20.57%

Model Integrity Checks

Check Result
Perpetuity growth is below the risk-free rate pass
Perpetuity growth is below WACC pass
WACC is within the configured operating-company range review required
Terminal-year FCFF is positive pass
Terminal capex converges to D&A pass
Terminal-value concentration review required
Implied price differs from spot by more than 30% within review band

2.6 Investor-Style Research Screen

Educational screen Result
Buffett-inspired cash-quality checks 0/4 evidenced checks
Lynch-inspired balance-and-growth checks 1/4 evidenced checks

Data lineage: Yahoo Finance public market and reported-statement data; retrieval timestamp: 2026-08-18 17:46:31.484276 UTC; latest reported fiscal period: 2025-12-31 00:00:00. Default assumptions: five-year forecast, mid-year discounting for explicit FCFF, a maximum 2.50% perpetuity-growth rate below both WACC and the risk-free rate, historical operating-ratio persistence, and capex convergence to D&A by year five. No sell-side consensus or management guidance is substituted for reported inputs. This is research and analysis only, not personalized financial advice.

2.7 Quantitative Factor Diagnostics

Model basis: Daily issuer USD excess returns are regressed in-sample using ordinary least squares on matching regional Fama–French factors. FF3 estimates market, size, and value loadings; FF5 adds profitability and investment. Coefficients are descriptive historical exposures, not predictions.

Estimation input Value
Regional factor set US
Factor-return currency USD
Issuer-return basis USD adjusted total return
Estimation window 2025-08-19 to 2026-06-30
Aligned daily observations 217
Minimum observation requirement 120
Currency conversion for HK listings not required

Fama–French Three-Factor and Five-Factor Results

Diagnostic FF3 FF5
Annualised alpha -6.17% -4.44%
Adjusted R² 0.04 0.04
Annualised residual volatility 16.68% 16.66%
Factor loading (t-statistic) FF3 FF5
Market excess return (Mkt-RF) 0.04 (0.45) 0.08 (0.70)
Size (SMB) 0.13 (0.94) 0.15 (1.06)
Value (HML) 0.32 (2.80) 0.31 (2.23)
Profitability (RMW) NM 0.09 (0.79)
Investment (CMA) NM -0.04 (-0.19)

Definitions: Mkt-RF is the market return less the risk-free rate; SMB is small minus big; HML is high minus low book-to-market; RMW is robust minus weak profitability; CMA is conservative minus aggressive investment. Factor returns are sourced from the Kenneth R. French Data Library; issuer adjusted-return history is sourced from Yahoo Finance. For Hong Kong listings, adjusted HKD prices are converted into USD with daily USD/HKD closes before return calculation to match the USD regional factor basis. This is an in-sample historical regression; coefficients and t-statistics do not establish causation or predict future returns. This is research and analysis only, not personalized financial advice.

us-equitystockequitypplutilitieselectric-utilitiesnasdaq