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US Equities · Finance research note

ROL — Rollins, Inc.

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2. Company Fundamentals

2.1 Competitiveness

Metric Value
Operating Margins 16.05%
Profit Margins 13.77%
Return on Equity 38.67%
Return on Assets 14.98%
Free Float 0.31B
Dividend Yield 1.69%
Short Int % Utilisation 3.43%

2.2 Growth

Metric Value
Revenue Growth 10.2%
Free Cash Flow 0.52B
EBITDA 27.84 (Ratio)
Enterprise Value 23.95B
EV/Revenue 6.23
EV/EBITDA 27.84

Revenue growth of 10.2% indicates steady, moderate expansion.

2.3 Management

Role Metric
Consensus Rating N/A

2.4 Return

Metric Value
Expected Return (Ann.)* -33.77%
Risk / Std Dev (Ann.)* 26.93%
1-Year Price Return* -35.94%

Latest Market Data (as of 2026-08-14, US Eastern time):

Metric Value
Last Price $36.20
52-Week Range $35.98 – $66.14
Observation Count 251 trading days

The return and risk statistics use daily adjusted closes from the retrieved one-year series and annualise daily moments using 252 trading days. The last price is the latest regular-market price reported for the stated date. Source: Yahoo Finance market data.

DuPont Model Analysis

The DuPont model decomposes return on equity (ROE) into three operating and capital-structure drivers:

ROE = Net Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

The comparison uses the latest two comparable annual periods available for the issuer, with reported statement amounts shown in US$. Revenue and net income are income-statement flows; total assets and shareholders’ equity are year-end balance-sheet figures. This is a simplified year-end-balance DuPont comparison rather than an average-balance ROE calculation.

DuPont component Calculation FY2025 FY2024
Revenue Reported revenue $3.76B $3.39B
Net income Reported net income $526.71M $466.38M
Total assets Year-end reported balance $3.14B $2.82B
Shareholders’ equity Year-end reported balance $1.37B $1.33B
Net margin Net income ÷ revenue 14.00% 13.76%
Asset turnover Revenue ÷ total assets 1.1976x 1.2018x
Equity multiplier Total assets ÷ shareholders’ equity 2.2851x 2.1191x
ROE Net margin × asset turnover × equity multiplier 38.32% 35.05%

Source: Yahoo Finance annual statements. Values are based on the two latest comparable annual periods returned by the source; fiscal period labels use the statement period-end year.

2.5 FCFF DCF Valuation

Valuation basis: This research model follows a five-year, unlevered FCFF DCF. It starts from reported annual operating inputs, forecasts revenue and operating cash conversion under an explicit mechanical policy, discounts FCFF at WACC, applies a Gordon-growth terminal value, and bridges enterprise value to an indicative common-equity value per share. It is an analytical estimate rather than a recommendation or personalised target price.

Step 1 — Forecast Operating Profit and NOPAT

Reported operating input Value
Revenue $3.76B
Prior annual revenue $3.39B
EBIT $729.48M
Tax rate 24.90%
NOPAT = EBIT × (1 − tax rate) $547.84M
Forecast start-growth basis 10.99%
Forecast policy latest reported annual revenue growth, bounded to -10.00% / 15.00%

Step 2 — Calculate FCFF

Current FCFF building block Value
NOPAT $547.84M
Add: depreciation & amortisation $124.74M
Less: capital expenditure -$28.09M
Less/(add): working-capital cash-flow movement -$65.00M
Current unlevered FCFF $579.50M

Explicit FCFF forecast

Forecast year Revenue growth NOPAT D&A Capex Change in NWC FCFF Present value
1 10.99% $608.04M $138.45M -$31.17M -$72.15M $643.17M $617.63M
2 8.87% $661.95M $150.73M -$63.13M -$78.54M $670.99M $594.20M
3 6.74% $706.59M $160.89M -$98.56M -$83.84M $685.08M $559.45M
4 4.62% $739.24M $168.33M -$135.72M -$87.71M $684.14M $515.19M
5 2.50% $757.73M $172.53M -$172.53M -$89.91M $667.82M $463.75M

Step 3 — Determine the Discount Rate (WACC)

WACC input Value
Risk-free rate 4.71%
Equity risk premium assumption 5.50%
Beta 0.74
Cost of equity 8.80%
Pre-tax cost of debt 3.09%
WACC 8.44%
WACC validation within standard range

Step 4 — Estimate Terminal Value

Terminal-value input Value
Perpetuity growth rate 2.50%
Terminal value $11.52B
Implied terminal EV / EBITDA 9.75x
Terminal value as % of enterprise value 73.64%

Step 5 — Discount Cash Flows to Enterprise Value

Enterprise-value component Value
Present value of explicit FCFF $2.75B
Present value of terminal value $7.68B
Indicated enterprise value $10.43B
Discounting convention mid-year for explicit FCFF; terminal value discounted at year-end five

Step 6 — Convert Enterprise Value to Equity Value

Equity bridge Value
Indicated enterprise value $10.43B
Less: gross interest-bearing debt $1.04B
Add: cash and equivalents $100.00M
Add: affiliate investments $0.00
Less: minority interests $0.00
Indicated common equity value $9.50B

Step 7 — Calculate Indicative Value Per Share

Per-share output Value
Shares used 484,147,000.00
Share-count basis reported diluted weighted-average shares
Current market price $36.38
DCF indicative value per share $19.61
Indicative value vs. market price -46.10%

Model Integrity Checks

Check Result
Perpetuity growth is below the risk-free rate pass
Perpetuity growth is below WACC pass
WACC is within the configured operating-company range pass
Terminal-year FCFF is positive pass
Terminal capex converges to D&A pass
Terminal-value concentration within review band
Implied price differs from spot by more than 30% review required

2.6 Investor-Style Research Screen

Educational screen Result
Buffett-inspired cash-quality checks 4/4 evidenced checks
Lynch-inspired balance-and-growth checks 4/4 evidenced checks

Data lineage: Yahoo Finance public market and reported-statement data; retrieval timestamp: 2026-08-18 17:47:47.736844 UTC; latest reported fiscal period: 2025-12-31 00:00:00. Default assumptions: five-year forecast, mid-year discounting for explicit FCFF, a maximum 2.50% perpetuity-growth rate below both WACC and the risk-free rate, historical operating-ratio persistence, and capex convergence to D&A by year five. No sell-side consensus or management guidance is substituted for reported inputs. This is research and analysis only, not personalized financial advice.

2.7 Quantitative Factor Diagnostics

Model basis: Daily issuer USD excess returns are regressed in-sample using ordinary least squares on matching regional Fama–French factors. FF3 estimates market, size, and value loadings; FF5 adds profitability and investment. Coefficients are descriptive historical exposures, not predictions.

Estimation input Value
Regional factor set US
Factor-return currency USD
Issuer-return basis USD adjusted total return
Estimation window 2025-08-19 to 2026-06-30
Aligned daily observations 217
Minimum observation requirement 120
Currency conversion for HK listings not required

Fama–French Three-Factor and Five-Factor Results

Diagnostic FF3 FF5
Annualised alpha -37.72% -27.38%
Adjusted R² 0.03 0.09
Annualised residual volatility 24.91% 23.99%
Factor loading (t-statistic) FF3 FF5
Market excess return (Mkt-RF) 0.18 (1.23) 0.50 (3.09)
Size (SMB) 0.32 (1.62) 0.37 (1.81)
Value (HML) 0.31 (1.80) 0.03 (0.14)
Profitability (RMW) NM 0.61 (3.54)
Investment (CMA) NM 0.36 (1.20)

Definitions: Mkt-RF is the market return less the risk-free rate; SMB is small minus big; HML is high minus low book-to-market; RMW is robust minus weak profitability; CMA is conservative minus aggressive investment. Factor returns are sourced from the Kenneth R. French Data Library; issuer adjusted-return history is sourced from Yahoo Finance. For Hong Kong listings, adjusted HKD prices are converted into USD with daily USD/HKD closes before return calculation to match the USD regional factor basis. This is an in-sample historical regression; coefficients and t-statistics do not establish causation or predict future returns. This is research and analysis only, not personalized financial advice.

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