Checking your sign-in status…

Private workspace

Finance

Research, portfolio tools, and market analysis in one place.

Finance home
Back to US Equities

US Equities · Finance research note

TEL — TE Connectivity

Research and analysis only
View analysis Browse US Equities

Evidence and analysis

Research evidence pack

Source-backed valuation visuals

Loading verified snapshot
Loading verified market, valuation, and statement data.

2. Company Fundamentals

2.1 Competitiveness

Metric Value
Operating Margins 20.34%
Profit Margins 15.54%
Return on Equity 22.72%
Return on Assets 9.55%
Free Float 0.29B
Dividend Yield 1.49%
Short Int % Utilisation 2.85%

2.2 Growth

Metric Value
Revenue Growth 14.5%
Free Cash Flow 2.32B
EBITDA 13.5 (Ratio)
Enterprise Value 63.86B
EV/Revenue 3.42
EV/EBITDA 13.5

Revenue growth of 14.5% indicates steady, moderate expansion.

2.3 Management

Role Metric
Consensus Rating N/A

2.4 Return

Metric Value
Expected Return (Ann.)* 14.29%
Risk / Std Dev (Ann.)* 33.93%
1-Year Price Return* 7.79%

Latest Market Data (as of 2026-08-14, US Eastern time):

Metric Value
Last Price $216.23
52-Week Range $190.27 – $252.56
Observation Count 251 trading days

The return and risk statistics use daily adjusted closes from the retrieved one-year series and annualise daily moments using 252 trading days. The last price is the latest regular-market price reported for the stated date. Source: Yahoo Finance market data.

DuPont Model Analysis

The DuPont model decomposes return on equity (ROE) into three operating and capital-structure drivers:

ROE = Net Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

The comparison uses the latest two comparable annual periods available for the issuer, with reported statement amounts shown in US$. Revenue and net income are income-statement flows; total assets and shareholders’ equity are year-end balance-sheet figures. This is a simplified year-end-balance DuPont comparison rather than an average-balance ROE calculation.

DuPont component Calculation FY2025 FY2024
Revenue Reported revenue $17.26B $15.85B
Net income Reported net income $1.84B $3.19B
Total assets Year-end reported balance $25.08B $22.85B
Shareholders’ equity Year-end reported balance $12.59B $12.36B
Net margin Net income ÷ revenue 10.67% 20.15%
Asset turnover Revenue ÷ total assets 0.6883x 0.6933x
Equity multiplier Total assets ÷ shareholders’ equity 1.9929x 1.8498x
ROE Net margin × asset turnover × equity multiplier 14.64% 25.84%

Source: Yahoo Finance annual statements. Values are based on the two latest comparable annual periods returned by the source; fiscal period labels use the statement period-end year.

2.5 FCFF DCF Valuation

Valuation basis: This research model follows a five-year, unlevered FCFF DCF. It starts from reported annual operating inputs, forecasts revenue and operating cash conversion under an explicit mechanical policy, discounts FCFF at WACC, applies a Gordon-growth terminal value, and bridges enterprise value to an indicative common-equity value per share. It is an analytical estimate rather than a recommendation or personalised target price.

Step 1 — Forecast Operating Profit and NOPAT

Reported operating input Value
Revenue $17.26B
Prior annual revenue $15.85B
EBIT $3.28B
Tax rate 25.00%
NOPAT = EBIT × (1 − tax rate) $2.46B
Forecast start-growth basis 8.94%
Forecast policy latest reported annual revenue growth, bounded to -10.00% / 15.00%

Step 2 — Calculate FCFF

Current FCFF building block Value
NOPAT $2.46B
Add: depreciation & amortisation $838.00M
Less: capital expenditure -$936.00M
Less/(add): working-capital cash-flow movement $88.00M
Current unlevered FCFF $2.45B

Explicit FCFF forecast

Forecast year Revenue growth NOPAT D&A Capex Change in NWC FCFF Present value
1 8.94% $2.68B $912.94M -$1.02B $95.87M $2.67B $2.54B
2 7.33% $2.88B $979.88M -$1.07B $102.90M $2.89B $2.50B
3 5.72% $3.04B $1.04B -$1.10B $108.79M $3.09B $2.42B
4 4.11% $3.17B $1.08B -$1.11B $113.26M $3.25B $2.31B
5 2.50% $3.25B $1.11B -$1.11B $116.09M $3.36B $2.17B

Step 3 — Determine the Discount Rate (WACC)

WACC input Value
Risk-free rate 4.71%
Equity risk premium assumption 5.50%
Beta 1.16
Cost of equity 11.10%
Pre-tax cost of debt 1.52%
WACC 10.22%
WACC validation within standard range

Step 4 — Estimate Terminal Value

Terminal-value input Value
Perpetuity growth rate 2.50%
Terminal value $44.62B
Implied terminal EV / EBITDA 8.21x
Terminal value as % of enterprise value 69.66%

Step 5 — Discount Cash Flows to Enterprise Value

Enterprise-value component Value
Present value of explicit FCFF $11.95B
Present value of terminal value $27.43B
Indicated enterprise value $39.37B
Discounting convention mid-year for explicit FCFF; terminal value discounted at year-end five

Step 6 — Convert Enterprise Value to Equity Value

Equity bridge Value
Indicated enterprise value $39.37B
Less: gross interest-bearing debt $5.82B
Add: cash and equivalents $1.25B
Add: affiliate investments $0.00
Less: minority interests $145.00M
Indicated common equity value $34.66B

Step 7 — Calculate Indicative Value Per Share

Per-share output Value
Shares used 299,000,000.00
Share-count basis reported diluted weighted-average shares
Current market price $207.44
DCF indicative value per share $115.93
Indicative value vs. market price -44.11%

Model Integrity Checks

Check Result
Perpetuity growth is below the risk-free rate pass
Perpetuity growth is below WACC pass
WACC is within the configured operating-company range pass
Terminal-year FCFF is positive pass
Terminal capex converges to D&A pass
Terminal-value concentration within review band
Implied price differs from spot by more than 30% review required

2.6 Investor-Style Research Screen

Educational screen Result
Buffett-inspired cash-quality checks 4/4 evidenced checks
Lynch-inspired balance-and-growth checks 4/4 evidenced checks

Data lineage: Yahoo Finance public market and reported-statement data; retrieval timestamp: 2026-08-18 17:50:28.216980 UTC; latest reported fiscal period: 2025-09-30 00:00:00. Default assumptions: five-year forecast, mid-year discounting for explicit FCFF, a maximum 2.50% perpetuity-growth rate below both WACC and the risk-free rate, historical operating-ratio persistence, and capex convergence to D&A by year five. No sell-side consensus or management guidance is substituted for reported inputs. This is research and analysis only, not personalized financial advice.

2.7 Quantitative Factor Diagnostics

Model basis: Daily issuer USD excess returns are regressed in-sample using ordinary least squares on matching regional Fama–French factors. FF3 estimates market, size, and value loadings; FF5 adds profitability and investment. Coefficients are descriptive historical exposures, not predictions.

Estimation input Value
Regional factor set US
Factor-return currency USD
Issuer-return basis USD adjusted total return
Estimation window 2025-08-19 to 2026-06-30
Aligned daily observations 217
Minimum observation requirement 120
Currency conversion for HK listings not required

Fama–French Three-Factor and Five-Factor Results

Diagnostic FF3 FF5
Annualised alpha -24.02% -24.82%
Adjusted R² 0.37 0.38
Annualised residual volatility 27.18% 26.90%
Factor loading (t-statistic) FF3 FF5
Market excess return (Mkt-RF) 1.61 (10.06) 1.61 (8.85)
Size (SMB) 0.10 (0.46) -0.08 (-0.34)
Value (HML) 0.18 (0.97) -0.04 (-0.15)
Profitability (RMW) NM -0.23 (-1.17)
Investment (CMA) NM 0.66 (1.96)

Definitions: Mkt-RF is the market return less the risk-free rate; SMB is small minus big; HML is high minus low book-to-market; RMW is robust minus weak profitability; CMA is conservative minus aggressive investment. Factor returns are sourced from the Kenneth R. French Data Library; issuer adjusted-return history is sourced from Yahoo Finance. For Hong Kong listings, adjusted HKD prices are converted into USD with daily USD/HKD closes before return calculation to match the USD regional factor basis. This is an in-sample historical regression; coefficients and t-statistics do not establish causation or predict future returns. This is research and analysis only, not personalized financial advice.

us-equitystockequitytelinformation-technologyelectronic-manufacturing-servicesnasdaq