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US Equities · Finance research note

URI — United Rentals

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2. Company Fundamentals

2.1 Competitiveness

Metric Value
Operating Margins 23.09%
Profit Margins 15.32%
Return on Equity 28.24%
Return on Assets 8.86%
Free Float 0.06B
Dividend Yield 0.70%
Short Int % Utilisation 2.5%

2.2 Growth

Metric Value
Revenue Growth 7.2%
Free Cash Flow 1.87B
EBITDA 17.82 (Ratio)
Enterprise Value 81.04B
EV/Revenue 4.95
EV/EBITDA 17.82

Revenue growth of 7.2% indicates steady, moderate expansion.

2.3 Management

Role Metric
Consensus Rating N/A

2.4 Return

Metric Value
Expected Return (Ann.)* 40.11%
Risk / Std Dev (Ann.)* 42.88%
1-Year Price Return* 27.99%

Latest Market Data (as of 2026-08-14, US Eastern time):

Metric Value
Last Price $1,153.83
52-Week Range $701.59 – $1,179.18
Observation Count 251 trading days

The return and risk statistics use daily adjusted closes from the retrieved one-year series and annualise daily moments using 252 trading days. The last price is the latest regular-market price reported for the stated date. Source: Yahoo Finance market data.

DuPont Model Analysis

The DuPont model decomposes return on equity (ROE) into three operating and capital-structure drivers:

ROE = Net Margin × Asset Turnover × Equity Multiplier

The comparison uses the latest two comparable annual periods available for the issuer, with reported statement amounts shown in US$. Revenue and net income are income-statement flows; total assets and shareholders’ equity are year-end balance-sheet figures. This is a simplified year-end-balance DuPont comparison rather than an average-balance ROE calculation.

DuPont component Calculation FY2025 FY2024
Revenue Reported revenue $16.10B $15.35B
Net income Reported net income $2.49B $2.58B
Total assets Year-end reported balance $29.87B $28.16B
Shareholders’ equity Year-end reported balance $8.97B $8.62B
Net margin Net income ÷ revenue 15.49% 16.78%
Asset turnover Revenue ÷ total assets 0.5390x 0.5449x
Equity multiplier Total assets ÷ shareholders’ equity 3.3303x 3.2664x
ROE Net margin × asset turnover × equity multiplier 27.81% 29.87%

Source: Yahoo Finance annual statements. Values are based on the two latest comparable annual periods returned by the source; fiscal period labels use the statement period-end year.

2.5 FCFF DCF Valuation

Valuation basis: This research model follows a five-year, unlevered FCFF DCF. It starts from reported annual operating inputs, forecasts revenue and operating cash conversion under an explicit mechanical policy, discounts FCFF at WACC, applies a Gordon-growth terminal value, and bridges enterprise value to an indicative common-equity value per share. It is an analytical estimate rather than a recommendation or personalised target price.

Step 1 — Forecast Operating Profit and NOPAT

Reported operating input Value
Revenue $16.10B
Prior annual revenue $15.35B
EBIT $4.05B
Tax rate 25.30%
NOPAT = EBIT × (1 − tax rate) $3.03B
Forecast start-growth basis 4.91%
Forecast policy latest reported annual revenue growth, bounded to -10.00% / 15.00%

Step 2 — Calculate FCFF

Current FCFF building block Value
NOPAT $3.03B
Add: depreciation & amortisation $3.11B
Less: capital expenditure -$4.53B
Less/(add): working-capital cash-flow movement -$279.00M
Current unlevered FCFF $1.33B

Explicit FCFF forecast

Forecast year Revenue growth NOPAT D&A Capex Change in NWC FCFF Present value
1 4.91% $3.18B $3.26B -$4.75B -$292.71M $1.39B $1.31B
2 4.31% $3.31B $3.40B -$4.57B -$305.33M $1.84B $1.54B
3 3.71% $3.44B $3.53B -$4.33B -$316.64M $2.31B $1.72B
4 3.10% $3.54B $3.64B -$4.05B -$326.47M $2.80B $1.85B
5 2.50% $3.63B $3.73B -$3.73B -$334.63M $3.30B $1.93B

Step 3 — Determine the Discount Rate (WACC)

WACC input Value
Risk-free rate 4.71%
Equity risk premium assumption 5.50%
Beta 1.80
Cost of equity 14.61%
Pre-tax cost of debt 4.70%
WACC 12.59%
WACC validation within standard range

Step 4 — Estimate Terminal Value

Terminal-value input Value
Perpetuity growth rate 2.50%
Terminal value $33.51B
Implied terminal EV / EBITDA 3.90x
Terminal value as % of enterprise value 68.90%

Step 5 — Discount Cash Flows to Enterprise Value

Enterprise-value component Value
Present value of explicit FCFF $8.36B
Present value of terminal value $18.53B
Indicated enterprise value $26.89B
Discounting convention mid-year for explicit FCFF; terminal value discounted at year-end five

Step 6 — Convert Enterprise Value to Equity Value

Equity bridge Value
Indicated enterprise value $26.89B
Less: gross interest-bearing debt $15.67B
Add: cash and equivalents $459.00M
Add: affiliate investments $0.00
Less: minority interests $0.00
Indicated common equity value $11.68B

Step 7 — Calculate Indicative Value Per Share

Per-share output Value
Shares used 64,600,000.00
Share-count basis reported diluted weighted-average shares
Current market price $1,130.66
DCF indicative value per share $180.76
Indicative value vs. market price -84.01%

Model Integrity Checks

Check Result
Perpetuity growth is below the risk-free rate pass
Perpetuity growth is below WACC pass
WACC is within the configured operating-company range pass
Terminal-year FCFF is positive pass
Terminal capex converges to D&A pass
Terminal-value concentration within review band
Implied price differs from spot by more than 30% review required

2.6 Investor-Style Research Screen

Educational screen Result
Buffett-inspired cash-quality checks 3/4 evidenced checks
Lynch-inspired balance-and-growth checks 4/4 evidenced checks

Data lineage: Yahoo Finance public market and reported-statement data; retrieval timestamp: 2026-08-18 17:52:56.819803 UTC; latest reported fiscal period: 2025-12-31 00:00:00. Default assumptions: five-year forecast, mid-year discounting for explicit FCFF, a maximum 2.50% perpetuity-growth rate below both WACC and the risk-free rate, historical operating-ratio persistence, and capex convergence to D&A by year five. No sell-side consensus or management guidance is substituted for reported inputs. This is research and analysis only, not personalized financial advice.

2.7 Quantitative Factor Diagnostics

Model basis: Daily issuer USD excess returns are regressed in-sample using ordinary least squares on matching regional Fama–French factors. FF3 estimates market, size, and value loadings; FF5 adds profitability and investment. Coefficients are descriptive historical exposures, not predictions.

Estimation input Value
Regional factor set US
Factor-return currency USD
Issuer-return basis USD adjusted total return
Estimation window 2025-08-19 to 2026-06-30
Aligned daily observations 217
Minimum observation requirement 120
Currency conversion for HK listings not required

Fama–French Three-Factor and Five-Factor Results

Diagnostic FF3 FF5
Annualised alpha -9.40% -4.12%
Adjusted R² 0.17 0.18
Annualised residual volatility 38.98% 38.60%
Factor loading (t-statistic) FF3 FF5
Market excess return (Mkt-RF) 1.23 (5.36) 1.38 (5.28)
Size (SMB) 0.51 (1.64) 0.31 (0.94)
Value (HML) 0.90 (3.37) 0.51 (1.56)
Profitability (RMW) NM -0.00 (-0.00)
Investment (CMA) NM 0.97 (2.02)

Definitions: Mkt-RF is the market return less the risk-free rate; SMB is small minus big; HML is high minus low book-to-market; RMW is robust minus weak profitability; CMA is conservative minus aggressive investment. Factor returns are sourced from the Kenneth R. French Data Library; issuer adjusted-return history is sourced from Yahoo Finance. For Hong Kong listings, adjusted HKD prices are converted into USD with daily USD/HKD closes before return calculation to match the USD regional factor basis. This is an in-sample historical regression; coefficients and t-statistics do not establish causation or predict future returns. This is research and analysis only, not personalized financial advice.

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